Predictions → England EFL Trophy

Oxford United vs Cheltenham

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Tue, 10 Nov 2026 • 22:00 UTC+3 • Group South - 1 • Kassam Stadium • ☁️ 10°C, 0 km/h overcast

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available48.6% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available74.8% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available57.7% · No 42.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available54.9% · Under 45.1% —
Correct Score 2-1 Current price not available9.6% —
Corners O/U 9.5 (~10 exp.) Over 9.5 Current price not available53.5% · Under 46.5% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Oxford United 48.6% · Draw 26.2% · Cheltenham 25.2%. Selected outcome: Oxford United win.

Goals

Model expected goals: Oxford United 1.71, Cheltenham 1.18, expected total 2.88.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

Oxford United: D-W-D-W-D in their last five matches.
Cheltenham: L-W-W-L-L in their last five matches.
Last meeting: Oxford United 2–1 Cheltenham, 09 Mar 2024.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Oxford United

Form (last 5)
DWDWD
Goals scored (season avg)2.00
Goals conceded (season avg)2.00
Best league winning streak this season0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.21
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.55
Elo strength rating—

Cheltenham

Form (last 5)
LWWLD
Goals scored (season avg)2.50
Goals conceded (season avg)2.00
Best league winning streak this season—
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.69
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.94
Elo strength rating1347
Oxford UnitedCheltenham
DWDWD
LWWLD
Goals scored (season avg)
2.00
2.50
Goals conceded (season avg)
2.00
2.00
Best league winning streak this season
0
—
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.21
0.69
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.55
1.94
Elo strength rating
—
1347

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Oxford United

Unbeaten 9
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Cheltenham

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Oxford United at home · Cheltenham away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Oxford United (home)

Played0
Goals scored (avg)0.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0

Cheltenham (away)

Played0
Goals scored (avg)0.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Oxford United (home)Cheltenham (away)
Played
0
0
Goals scored (avg)
0.00
0.00
Goals conceded (avg)
0.00
0.00
Clean sheets
0
0
Failed to score
0
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
9.61%
1–0
8.44%
2–0
8.17%
3–1
5.47%
3–0
4.65%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Cheltenham 3 wins · 2 draws · Oxford United 3 wins · avg 2.5 goals · BTTS in 5 of 8

3
2
3
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
09 Mar 2024 Oxford United 2–1 Cheltenham League One
25 Nov 2023 Cheltenham 2–0 Oxford United League One
25 Apr 2023 Oxford United 4–0 Cheltenham League One
27 Aug 2022 Cheltenham 1–2 Oxford United League One
01 Jan 2022 Oxford United 1–1 Cheltenham League One
18 Sep 2021 Cheltenham 1–0 Oxford United League One
03 Jan 2015 Oxford United 1–2 Cheltenham League Two
29 Nov 2014 Cheltenham 1–1 Oxford United League Two

📈 Recent Form

Oxford United

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Barnsley Away 1–1 D
27/10 Stockport County Home 1–0 W
24/10 Bradford Home 0–0 D
20/10 Wigan Home 2–1 W
15/10 Mansfield Town Away 1–1 D
10/10 Notts County Away 2–1 W
19/09 Cambridge United Home 1–1 D
12/09 Burton Albion Home 3–0 W
05/09 Leicester Away 4–0 W
01/09 Huddersfield Away 1–3 L

Cheltenham

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Tranmere Away 1–3 L
24/10 Newport County Home 1–0 W
20/10 Fleetwood Town Home 4–2 W
17/10 Oldham Away 1–4 L
13/10 Tottenham Hotspur U21 Home 2–2 D
10/10 Salford City Home 0–2 L
03/10 Accrington ST Away 0–2 L
26/09 Chesterfield Home 2–1 W
19/09 Colchester Away 1–1 D
12/09 Crawley Town Away 3–1 W

📊 Season Comparison: EFL Trophy

Oxford United

Played1
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Yellow cards2
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.21
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.55
Corners for (avg)3.70
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Cheltenham

Played2
Goals scored (avg)2.50
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Yellow cards1
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.69
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.94
Corners for (avg)3.80
Penalties (scored/missed)5/1
Oxford UnitedCheltenham
Played
1
2
Goals scored (avg)
2.00
2.50
Goals conceded (avg)
2.00
2.00
Clean sheets
0
0
Failed to score
0
0
Yellow cards
2
1
Red cards
0
0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.21
0.69
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.55
1.94
Corners for (avg)
3.70
3.80
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
5/1

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Oxford United

1
0-15
16-30
1
1
31-45
46-60
61-75
1
76-90
scored conceded

Cheltenham

0-15
16-30
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
61-75
5
76-90
6
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: EFL Trophy predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws