Predictions → England EFL Trophy

Crewe vs Wigan

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Tue, 10 Nov 2026 • 22:00 UTC+3 • Group North - 2 • Alexandra Stadium • 🌦 8.4°C, 8 km/h, 0.1mm drizzle

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available49.4% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available76.6% —
BTTS No Current price not available46.8% · Yes 53.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available50.3% · Over 49.7% —
Correct Score 1-0 Current price not available10.1% —
Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.3 exp.) Under 9.5 Current price not available51.4% · Over 48.6% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Crewe 49.4% · Draw 27.2% · Wigan 23.4%. Selected outcome: Crewe win.

Goals

Model expected goals: Crewe 1.62, Wigan 1.05, expected total 2.66.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

Crewe: D-L-L-W-W in their last five matches.
Wigan: W-L-L-L-W in their last five matches.
Last meeting: Crewe 0–2 Wigan, 15 Mar 2022.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Crewe

Form (last 5)
DLLWW
Goals scored (season avg)3.00
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Best league winning streak this season3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.68
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.76
Elo strength rating—

Wigan

Form (last 5)
WLLLW
Goals scored (season avg)3.00
Goals conceded (season avg)2.00
Best league winning streak this season2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.59
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.69
Elo strength rating1462
CreweWigan
DLLWW
WLLLW
Goals scored (season avg)
3.00
3.00
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.50
2.00
Best league winning streak this season
3
2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.68
0.59
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.76
1.69
Elo strength rating
—
1462

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Crewe

Winless 3
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Wigan

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Crewe at home · Wigan away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Crewe (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–0D–0L
W 1
Played1
Goals scored (avg)4.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0

Wigan (away)

Played0
Goals scored (avg)0.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Crewe (home)Wigan (away)
W 1
Played
1
0
Goals scored (avg)
4.00
0.00
Goals conceded (avg)
1.00
0.00
Clean sheets
0
0
Failed to score
0
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–0
10.1%
2–1
9.55%
2–0
9.13%
3–1
5.15%
3–0
4.92%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Crewe 2 wins · 1 draw · Wigan 5 wins · avg 2.4 goals · BTTS in 2 of 8

2
1
5
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
15 Mar 2022 Crewe 0–2 Wigan League One
15 Feb 2022 Wigan 2–0 Crewe League One
05 Oct 2021 Crewe 2–0 Wigan EFL Trophy
17 Apr 2021 Wigan 2–0 Crewe League One
10 Oct 2020 Crewe 3–0 Wigan League One
23 Jan 2016 Crewe 1–1 Wigan League One
06 Oct 2015 Crewe 2–3 Wigan EFL Trophy
29 Aug 2015 Wigan 1–0 Crewe League One

📈 Recent Form

Crewe

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Barnet Home 1–1 D
24/10 Chesterfield Away 1–5 L
20/10 Exeter City Away 0–2 L
17/10 Rochdale Home 3–2 W
10/10 Swindon Town Away 1–0 W
03/10 Bristol Rovers Home 3–1 W
26/09 Rotherham Away 1–1 D
22/09 Aston Villa U21 Home 4–1 W
19/09 Shrewsbury Home 1–1 D
12/09 Colchester Away 1–1 D

Wigan

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Bromley Home 3–2 W
27/10 Leicester Away 0–3 L
24/10 Huddersfield Away 1–2 L
20/10 Oxford United Away 1–2 L
17/10 Reading Home 1–0 W
10/10 Stevenage Away 0–1 L
22/09 Blackpool Home 3–2 W
19/09 Wycombe Home 0–1 L
12/09 Sheffield Wednesday Away 0–0 D
05/09 Stockport County Home 0–4 L

📊 Season Comparison: EFL Trophy

Crewe

Played2
Goals scored (avg)3.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Yellow cards5
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.68
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.76
Corners for (avg)3.90
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Wigan

Played2
Goals scored (avg)3.00
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Yellow cards3
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.59
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.69
Corners for (avg)5.40
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
CreweWigan
Played
2
2
Goals scored (avg)
3.00
3.00
Goals conceded (avg)
1.50
2.00
Clean sheets
0
0
Failed to score
0
0
Yellow cards
5
3
Red cards
0
0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.68
0.59
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.76
1.69
Corners for (avg)
3.90
5.40
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Crewe

0-15
16-30
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
2
61-75
1
76-90
2
scored conceded

Wigan

0-15
1
16-30
1
1
31-45
46-60
1
2
61-75
2
76-90
2
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: EFL Trophy predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws