Predictions → England EFL Trophy

Leicester vs Walsall

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Tue, 10 Nov 2026 • 22:00 UTC+3 • Group South - 2 • King Power Stadium • ☁️ 8.5°C, 2 km/h overcast

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available55.5% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available82.3% —
BTTS No Current price not available53.4% · Yes 46.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available55.2% · Over 44.8% —
Correct Score 1-0 Current price not available12.7% —
Corners O/U 9.5 (~11.2 exp.) Over 9.5 Current price not available61.5% · Under 38.5% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Leicester 55.5% · Draw 26.8% · Walsall 17.7%. Selected outcome: Leicester win.

Goals

Model expected goals: Leicester 1.64, Walsall 0.83, expected total 2.47.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

Leicester: D-W-L-W-W in their last five matches.
Walsall: W-L-W-D-W in their last five matches.
Last meeting: Walsall 0–1 Leicester, 28 Jan 2023.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Leicester

Form (last 5)
DWLWW
Goals scored (season avg)3.50
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Best league winning streak this season1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.18
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.70
Elo strength rating—

Walsall

Form (last 5)
WLWDW
Goals scored (season avg)2.00
Goals conceded (season avg)4.00
Best league winning streak this season1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.82
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.03
Elo strength rating1363
LeicesterWalsall
DWLWW
WLWDW
Goals scored (season avg)
3.50
2.00
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.50
4.00
Best league winning streak this season
1
1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
2.18
1.82
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.70
2.03
Elo strength rating
—
1363

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Leicester

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
6/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Walsall

BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: EFL Trophy

Leicester

Best Over 2.5 rate (100%, last 6)

Walsall

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 40 EFL Trophy teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Leicester at home · Walsall away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Leicester (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–0D–0L
W 1
Played1
Goals scored (avg)6.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0

Walsall (away)

Played0
Goals scored (avg)0.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Leicester (home)Walsall (away)
W 1
Played
1
0
Goals scored (avg)
6.00
0.00
Goals conceded (avg)
1.00
0.00
Clean sheets
0
0
Failed to score
0
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–0
12.75%
2–0
11.42%
2–1
9.46%
3–0
6.26%
3–1
5.18%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Leicester 1 win · 0 draws · Walsall 0 wins · avg 1 goals · BTTS in 0 of 1

1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
28 Jan 2023 Walsall 0–1 Leicester FA Cup

📈 Recent Form

Leicester

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Stevenage Home 2–2 D
27/10 Wigan Home 3–0 W
24/10 Luton Away 1–2 L
20/10 Bromley Away 4–0 W
17/10 Doncaster Home 2–1 W
10/10 Peterborough Home 1–3 L
06/10 Stevenage Away 1–2 L
22/09 Fulham U21 Home 6–1 W
19/09 Barnsley Away 1–1 D
12/09 Stockport County Away 4–3 W

Walsall

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Colchester Away 3–1 W
26/10 Salford City Home 2–4 L
20/10 Oldham Home 3–0 W
17/10 Swindon Town Away 1–1 D
13/10 Fulham U21 Home 3–2 W
10/10 Fleetwood Town Away 1–1 D
26/09 Tranmere Away 1–1 D
22/09 Stevenage Home 1–6 L
19/09 Port Vale Home 2–0 W
12/09 Rochdale Home 0–0 D

📊 Season Comparison: EFL Trophy

Leicester

Played2
Goals scored (avg)3.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.18
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.70
Corners for (avg)6.90
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Walsall

Played2
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)4.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.82
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.03
Corners for (avg)4.00
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
LeicesterWalsall
Played
2
2
Goals scored (avg)
3.50
2.00
Goals conceded (avg)
1.50
4.00
Clean sheets
0
0
Failed to score
0
0
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
2.18
1.82
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.70
2.03
Corners for (avg)
6.90
4.00
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Leicester

0-15
1
1
16-30
1
1
31-45
3
1
46-60
1
61-75
1
76-90
scored conceded

Walsall

1
0-15
1
16-30
3
2
31-45
1
2
46-60
2
61-75
76-90
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: EFL Trophy predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws