Predictions β†’ England EFL Trophy

Rotherham vs Newcastle United U21

Next match: Tue, 03 Nov 2026 β€’ 19:00 UTC+3 β€’ Group North - 3 β€’ Aesseal New York Stadium β€’ β˜€οΈ 4.6Β°C, 6 km/h clear

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipOddsConfidenceProbabilityMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Home β€”80% 44.8% β€” β€”
Double Chance 12 β€”72% 72.7% β€” β€”
BTTS Yes β€”86% 58.5% β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 β€”86% 58.6% β€” β€”
Correct Score 2-1 β€”63% 7.2% β€” β€”
Corners O/U 9.5 (~7.6 exp.) Under 9.5 β€”66% 56.9% β€” β€”

⚽ Model expected goals: Rotherham 1.88 – 1.47 Newcastle United U21 Β· expected total 3.35

πŸ”‘ What Drives the Prediction

Rotherham

Form (last 5)
DNewport County (H) 2–2 Β· 20/10/2026LFleetwood Town (A) 0–2 Β· 17/10/2026LGillingham (H) 1–4 Β· 10/10/2026LBradford (H) 0–4 Β· 06/10/2026LExeter City (A) 0–1 Β· 03/10/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.00
Goals conceded (season avg)2.50
Win streak (best this season)1
xG for (recent avg)0.61
xG against (recent avg)1.12

Newcastle United U21

Form (last 5)
WHartlepool (A) 2–1 Β· 13/10/2026WLuton Town U21 (H) 4–1 Β· 09/10/2026LSolihull Moors (A) 1–2 Β· 06/10/2026LBradford (A) 1–2 Β· 22/09/2026LLeeds United U21 (A) 0–2 Β· 19/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)2.00
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Win streak (best this season)1
xG for (recent avg)0.00
xG against (recent avg)0.00
RotherhamNewcastle United U21
DNewport County (H) 2–2 Β· 20/10/2026LFleetwood Town (A) 0–2 Β· 17/10/2026LGillingham (H) 1–4 Β· 10/10/2026LBradford (H) 0–4 Β· 06/10/2026LExeter City (A) 0–1 Β· 03/10/2026
WHartlepool (A) 2–1 Β· 13/10/2026WLuton Town U21 (H) 4–1 Β· 09/10/2026LSolihull Moors (A) 1–2 Β· 06/10/2026LBradford (A) 1–2 Β· 22/09/2026LLeeds United U21 (A) 0–2 Β· 19/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)
1.00
2.00
Goals conceded (season avg)
2.50
1.50
Win streak (best this season)
1
1
xG for (recent avg)
0.61
0.00
xG against (recent avg)
1.12
0.00

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors β€” each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict β€” including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

πŸ“ˆ Team Trends

Rotherham

Winless 6
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
3/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Newcastle United U21

Won 2 in a row
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

πŸ… League Benchmarks β€” EFL Trophy

Rotherham

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Newcastle United U21

3rd best BTTS rate (83%)

Rank among 40 EFL Trophy teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets β€” season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates β€” last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Rotherham at home Β· Newcastle United U21 away β€” the split that matters for this fixture.

Rotherham (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–0D–1L
L 1
Played1
Goals scored (avg)0.00
Goals conceded (avg)4.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1

Newcastle United U21 (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–0D–1L
W 1
L 1
Played2
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Rotherham (home)Newcastle United U21 (away)
L 1
W 1
L 1
Played
1
2
Goals scored (avg)
0.00
2.00
Goals conceded (avg)
4.00
1.50
Clean sheets
0
0
Failed to score
1
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

2–1
7.2%
2–0
4.9%
3–1
4.5%
1–0
4.5%
3–2
3.3%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture β€” computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

βš”οΈ Head-to-Head

Newcastle United U21 0 wins Β· 0 draws Β· Rotherham 1 win Β· avg 4 goals Β· BTTS in 1 of 1

1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
08 Oct 2024 Rotherham 3–1 Newcastle United U21 EFL Trophy

πŸ“ˆ Recent Form

Rotherham

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
20/10 Newport County Home 2–2 D
17/10 Fleetwood Town Away 0–2 L
10/10 Gillingham Home 1–4 L
06/10 Bradford Home 0–4 L
03/10 Exeter City Away 0–1 L

Newcastle United U21

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
13/10 Hartlepool Away 2–1 W
09/10 Luton Town U21 Home 4–1 W
06/10 Solihull Moors Away 1–2 L
22/09 Bradford Away 1–2 L
19/09 Leeds United U21 Away 0–2 L

πŸ“Š Season Comparison β€” EFL Trophy

Rotherham

Played2
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)2.50
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1
Yellow cards3
Red cards0
xG for (avg)0.61
xG against (avg)1.12
Corners for (avg)3.70
Penalties (scored/missed)5/0

Newcastle United U21

Played2
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Yellow cards4
Red cards1
xG for (avg)0.00
xG against (avg)0.00
Corners for (avg)2.00
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
RotherhamNewcastle United U21
Played
2
2
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
2.00
Goals conceded (avg)
2.50
1.50
Clean sheets
0
0
Failed to score
1
0
Yellow cards
3
4
Red cards
0
1
xG for (avg)
0.61
0.00
xG against (avg)
1.12
0.00
Corners for (avg)
3.70
2.00
Penalties (scored/missed)
5/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Rotherham

2
0-15
16-30
1
31-45
46-60
1
1
61-75
5
76-90
5
scored conceded

Newcastle United U21

1
0-15
16-30
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
76-90
1
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: EFL Trophy predictions Β· BTTS Β· Over/Under Β· Correct Score Β· Draws