Wigan vs Barnsley
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Round 15 • The Brick Community Stadium • ☁️ 7.1°C, 16 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 41.3% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 76.4% | — |
| BTTS | No | Current price not available | 65.3% · Yes 34.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 73.8% · Over 26.2% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-0 | Current price not available | 16.5% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~12.9 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Current price not available | 70.8% · Under 29.2% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Wigan · Home
Wigan have won two of their last five, including a 3-2 home win over Bromley and a 1-0 home win over Reading, though they failed to score in the 0-3 loss at Leicester. Their recent xG for of 0.59 is modest, but the model expected goals of 1.05 points to a more productive home display.
Barnsley · Away
Barnsley are without a win in five, drawing 1-1 with Oxford United and losing four, including 1-2 at Reading and 1-3 at Stockport County. Their recent xG for of 1.23 is higher than Wigan's, yet the model expected goals of 0.72 is the lower of the two.
Draws mask Wigan edge
The latest head-to-head, on 17 Mar 2026, finished 1-1, and the two prior meetings also ended 1-1, so recent history between these sides is unusually level. Wigan's two home wins in their last five contrast with Barnsley's single draw and four defeats, and Barnsley have conceded 10 goals across those five games. The Under 2.5 pick at 73.8% and the 1-0 correct score at 16.5% both fit a low-scoring home edge rather than a repeat draw. The evidence supports Wigan win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Wigan 1.05 – 0.72 Barnsley · expected total 1.77
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Wigan
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Wigan
Barnsley
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: League One
Wigan
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Barnsley
Rank among 24 League One teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Wigan at home · Barnsley away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Wigan (home)
Barnsley (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Barnsley 1 win · 6 draws · Wigan 1 win · avg 1.4 goals · BTTS in 4 of 8
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar 2026 | Barnsley | 1–1 | Wigan | League One |
| 01 Jan 2026 | Wigan | 1–1 | Barnsley | League One |
| 29 Mar 2025 | Wigan | 1–1 | Barnsley | League One |
| 23 Nov 2024 | Barnsley | 0–1 | Wigan | League One |
| 01 Jan 2024 | Barnsley | 1–1 | Wigan | League One |
| 26 Aug 2023 | Wigan | 0–2 | Barnsley | League One |
| 11 Jul 2020 | Barnsley | 0–0 | Wigan | Championship |
| 31 Aug 2019 | Wigan | 0–0 | Barnsley | Championship |
📈 Recent Form
Wigan
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Bromley | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 27/10 | Leicester | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 24/10 | Huddersfield | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 20/10 | Oxford United | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 17/10 | Reading | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 10/10 | Stevenage | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 22/09 | Blackpool | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 19/09 | Wycombe | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 12/09 | Sheffield Wednesday | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 05/09 | Stockport County | Home | 0–4 | L |
Barnsley
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Oxford United | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 24/10 | Reading | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 20/10 | Luton | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 17/10 | Cambridge United | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 10/10 | Stockport County | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 06/10 | Fleetwood Town | Away | 1–4 | L |
| 22/09 | Leeds United U21 | Home | 3–4 | L |
| 19/09 | Leicester | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 12/09 | Plymouth | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 05/09 | Stevenage | Home | 1–5 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: League One
Wigan #21 · 10 pts · Barnsley #23 · 9 pts
Wigan
Barnsley
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Wigan
Barnsley
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: League One predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws