Sheffield Wednesday vs Cambridge United
Next match: Tue, 27 Oct 2026 • 19:45 UTC+3 • Round 9 • Hillsborough • ☀️ 10°C, 14 km/h clear
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
| Market | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Probability | Market implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | 1xBet1.95 | 82% | 51.1% | 48.6% | +2.5 pp |
| Double Chance | 12 | — | 74% | 75.7% | 75.6% | +0.1 pp |
| BTTS | Yes | — | 85% | 55.9% | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | — | 86% | 57.9% | — | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | — | 62% | 7% | — | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~12 exp.) | Over 9.5 | — | 66% | 56.9% | — | — |
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⚽ Model expected goals: Sheffield Wednesday 2.34 – 1.47 Cambridge United · expected total 3.81
🧠 Match Preview
The model leans on Wednesday's home edge and a clear goals gap: expected goals read 2.3413 for the hosts against 1.4734 for Cambridge, though recent form is more modest at 1.31 and 1.61 respectively. Wednesday's last five (LWDWW) is solid; Cambridge arrive unbeaten in that stretch (DWWWD) and no injuries are listed on either side. History is lopsided — 5-0 and 6-0 home wins in 2023 and 2022, plus a 2-0 away success — which supports the home case.
The headline tip is a home win at 51.1 percent, priced at 1.95. The double chance 12 lands at 75.7 percent and looks the safer anchor. Both teams to score is favoured at 55.9 percent, Over 2.5 goals at 57.9 percent, and corners Over 9.5 at 56.9 percent with an expected 12. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 at 9 percent, ahead of 3-1 at 7.03 and 2-0 at 6.11. Value may hide in the goals and corners markets rather than the outright, where 1.95 offers little margin over a 51.1 percent model read.
The honest caveat: Cambridge are the higher-placed, in-form side, and the model's recent xG figures are far tighter than the season-long lambdas suggest. Treat the home win as a lean, not a lock.
Updated 21 Oct 2026, 16:10 UTC+3 — refreshed when the underlying data changes.
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Sheffield Wednesday
Cambridge United
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors — each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Sheffield Wednesday
Cambridge United
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks — League One
Sheffield Wednesday
Cambridge United
Rank among 24 League One teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Sheffield Wednesday at home · Cambridge United away — the split that matters for this fixture.
Sheffield Wednesday (home)
Cambridge United (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scorelines
The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture — computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Cambridge United 0 wins · 1 draw · Sheffield Wednesday 3 wins · avg 3.8 goals · BTTS in 1 of 4
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan 2023 | Sheffield Wednesday | 5–0 | Cambridge United | League One |
| 15 Oct 2022 | Cambridge United | 0–2 | Sheffield Wednesday | League One |
| 12 Mar 2022 | Sheffield Wednesday | 6–0 | Cambridge United | League One |
| 19 Oct 2021 | Cambridge United | 1–1 | Sheffield Wednesday | League One |
📈 Recent Form
Sheffield Wednesday
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Notts County | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 17/10 | AFC Wimbledon | Home | 5–0 | W |
| 10/10 | Huddersfield | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 06/10 | Sunderland U21 | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 22/09 | Salford City | Away | 2–1 | W |
Cambridge United
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Wycombe | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 17/10 | Barnsley | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 10/10 | Blackpool | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 06/10 | Northampton | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 26/09 | AFC Wimbledon | Home | 1–1 | D |
📊 Season Comparison — League One
Sheffield Wednesday #6 · 18 pts — Cambridge United #4 · 20 pts
Sheffield Wednesday
Cambridge United
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Sheffield Wednesday
Cambridge United
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: League One predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws