Predictions → England League Two

Swindon Town vs Accrington ST

Swindon Town
1:1
Full Time · 26 Sep 2026
Accrington ST

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Home 79% 47.4% @2.16 — 43.9% +3.5 pp ❌
Double Chance 1X 73% 74.1% @1.33 — 69.5% +4.6 pp ✅
BTTS Yes 85% 56.2% @1.59 — 58.2% -2 pp ✅
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 83% 53% @1.72 — 54.1% -1.1 pp ❌
Correct Score 2-1 63% 7.6% @8.50 — 5% +2.6 pp ❌
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Under 9.5 58% 50.1% @2.08 — 44.5% +5.6 pp ❌

⚽ Model expected goals: Swindon Town 1.74 – 1.20 Accrington ST · expected total 2.94

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Swindon Town

Lost 2 in a row Winless 7
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
1/6
Scored
2/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Accrington ST

Unbeaten 4
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
3/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Swindon Town at home · Accrington ST away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Swindon Town (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–1D–1L
W 3
D 1
L 1
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1

Accrington ST (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–2D–3L
D 2
L 3
Played5
Goals scored (avg)0.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.60
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2
Swindon Town (home)Accrington ST (away)
W 3
D 1
L 1
D 2
L 3
Played
5
5
Goals scored (avg)
1.80
0.80
Goals conceded (avg)
1.00
1.60
Clean sheets
0
1
Failed to score
1
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

📈 Recent Form

Swindon Town

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Crewe Home 0–1 L
03/10 Rochdale Away 0–1 L
26/09 Accrington ST Home 1–1 D
22/09 Newport County Home 0–2 L
19/09 Salford City Away 0–1 L

Accrington ST

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Oldham Away 0–0 D
03/10 Cheltenham Home 2–0 W
26/09 Swindon Town Away 1–1 D
19/09 Newport County Home 0–0 D
12/09 Barnet Away 1–2 L

📊 Season Comparison — League Two

Swindon Town #17 · 11 pts —  Accrington ST #15 · 11 pts

Swindon Town

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–2D–5L
W 3
D 2
L 5
Played10
Goals scored (avg)0.90
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets1
Failed to score6
Yellow cards18
Red cards2
xG for (avg)0.34
xG against (avg)0.78
Corners for (avg)4.70
Penalties (scored/missed)0/1

Accrington ST

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–5D–3L
W 2
D 5
L 3
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets3
Failed to score3
Yellow cards28
Red cards1
xG for (avg)0.37
xG against (avg)0.60
Corners for (avg)4.20
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
Swindon TownAccrington ST
W 3
D 2
L 5
W 2
D 5
L 3
Played
10
10
Goals scored (avg)
0.90
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
1.40
1.40
Clean sheets
1
3
Failed to score
6
3
Yellow cards
18
28
Red cards
2
1
xG for (avg)
0.34
0.37
xG against (avg)
0.78
0.60
Corners for (avg)
4.70
4.20
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/1
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Swindon Town

3
0-15
1
2
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
1
46-60
2
1
61-75
1
6
76-90
3
scored conceded

Accrington ST

3
0-15
4
2
16-30
2
3
31-45
2
3
46-60
3
1
61-75
1
1
76-90
2
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: League Two predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws