Under 2.5 goals in 9 of Exeter City's last 10 matches
England League Two Over 2.5 Goals Football Predictions
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Regular Season, Round 11
Saturday, October 17
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Goals O/U | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:30 | DWLLL | LLLDW | 82% | 51.2% | Under 2.5 | 1.90 | β | |
| 14:30 | LLWDL | LLLWL | 84% | 55.5% | Under 2.5 | 1.75 | β | |
| 17:00 | DLWLL | LLWDW | 80% | 47.7% | Under 2.5 | 2.15 | β | |
| 17:00 | WWLWL | DWLWW | 81% | 49.6% | Under 2.5 | 2.10 | β | |
| 17:00 | LLDLL | DDLWD | 82% | 51.1% | Under 2.5 | 2.22 | β | |
| 17:00 | DWDDL | WDLLW | 80% | 47.7% | Over 2.5 | 1.88 | β | |
| 17:00 | LDLDD | WWLDL | 83% | 52.9% | Under 2.5 | 1.95 | β | |
| 17:00 | WWDWD | DLWWW | 83% | 53.5% | Over 2.5 | 1.78 | β | |
| 17:00 | LLLLW | DLLLW | 84% | 54.7% | Under 2.5 | 1.95 | β | |
| 17:00 | WDWWD | DWLLW | 80% | 47% | Under 2.5 | 2.14 | β | |
| 17:00 | DLDWD | WWWDD | 80% | 47.6% | Under 2.5 | 2.20 | β | |
| 17:00 | WWWLW | DWLLL | 81% | 49.1% | Over 2.5 | 1.48 | β |
Top Trends from League Two Teams for Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Colchester — Exeter City
Over 2.5 goals in 9 of Barnet's last 10 matches
Tranmere — Barnet
Under 2.5 goals in 8 of Port Vale's last 10 matches
Port Vale — Chesterfield
Under 2.5 goals in 8 of Northampton's last 10 matches
Grimsby — Northampton
Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Fleetwood Town's last 10 matches
Fleetwood Town — Rotherham
Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Shrewsbury's last 10 matches
Shrewsbury — Bristol Rovers
Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Cheltenham's last 10 matches
Oldham — Cheltenham
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AI Prediction Accuracy β Season 2026/27
Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types β wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.
π―
Match Result (1X2)
39.5%
45/114
β½
Both Teams to Score
49.1%
56/114
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Over / Under 2.5
50.0%
57/114
π’
Correct Score
13.2%
15/114
π‘οΈ
Double Chance
70.2%
80/114
π
Corners Over/Under
55.3%
42/76
π€
Draw Predictions
25.7%
9/35
Recent Form β Last 30 Days
π―
Match Result (1X2)
33.3%
14/42
β½
Both Teams to Score
54.8%
23/42
π
Over / Under 2.5
45.2%
19/42
π‘οΈ
Double Chance
71.4%
30/42
Probability Calibration β Does 70% Really Mean 70%?
Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.
| Market | Predicted | Actual | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) Β· <60% | 44.0% | 40.6% | 96 |
| Match Result (1X2) Β· 70-79% | 71.7% | 50.0% | 2 |
| Match Result (1X2) Β· 60-69% | 63.5% | 50.0% | 4 |
| Both Teams to Score Β· <60% | 53.1% | 50.0% | 86 |
| Both Teams to Score Β· 60-69% | 63.3% | 46.7% | 15 |
| Both Teams to Score Β· 70-79% | 71.1% | 100.0% | 1 |
| Over / Under 2.5 Β· <60% | 52.6% | 46.2% | 78 |
| Over / Under 2.5 Β· 60-69% | 63.1% | 66.7% | 21 |
| Over / Under 2.5 Β· 70-79% | 75.3% | 33.3% | 3 |
| Correct Score Β· <60% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 102 |
| Double Chance Β· 70-79% | 74.6% | 70.0% | 80 |
| Double Chance Β· 80+% | 83.4% | 90.0% | 10 |
| Double Chance Β· 60-69% | 68.4% | 50.0% | 12 |
| Corners Over/Under Β· 60-69% | 64.7% | 82.4% | 17 |
| Corners Over/Under Β· 70-79% | 73.9% | 54.5% | 11 |
| Corners Over/Under Β· <60% | 54.7% | 44.7% | 47 |
| Corners Over/Under Β· 80+% | 89.1% | 100.0% | 1 |
| Draw Predictions Β· <60% | 27.3% | 27.6% | 29 |
Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.
Previous Round Results: Regular Season, Round 10
| Date / Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Goals O/U | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 14:30 | DLWLL | DWDDL | 81% | 48.9% | Over 2.5 β | N/A | 0 β 0 FT | |
| 10/10 14:30 | LLDLL | WWDWD | 81% | 49.6% | Under 2.5 β | N/A | 0 β 1 FT | |
| 10/10 17:00 | LLLWL | WWWDD | 83% | 52.3% | Over 2.5 β | @1.70 | 1 β 3 FT | |
| 10/10 17:00 | LLLDW | WDLLW | 83% | 53.5% | Over 2.5 β | @1.95 | 1 β 4 FT | |
| 10/10 17:00 | DWLLL | DWLWW | 80% | 47.2% | Under 2.5 β | @2.63 | 2 β 2 FT | |
| 10/10 17:00 | DWLLL | DDLWD | 80% | 48.2% | Under 2.5 β | @2.00 | 1 β 1 FT | |
| 10/10 17:00 | WWLWL | LLLLW | 81% | 49.5% | Under 2.5 β | @1.86 | 1 β 0 FT | |
| 10/10 17:00 | LLWDL | WWLDL | 84% | 55% | Under 2.5 β | @1.67 | 0 β 1 FT | |
| 10/10 17:00 | LLWDW | WWWLW | 87% | 59.9% | Over 2.5 β | @1.70 | 0 β 2 FT | |
| 10/10 17:00 | WDWWD | LDLDD | 81% | 50.1% | Over 2.5 β | @1.87 | 1 β 0 FT | |
| 10/10 17:00 | DLDWD | DLWWW | 81% | 49.1% | Under 2.5 β | @1.92 | 1 β 1 FT | |
| 10/10 17:00 | DWLLW | DLLLW | 80% | 48% | Under 2.5 β | @2.05 | 1 β 1 FT |