Salford City vs Northampton
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Round 15 • Peninsula Stadium • ☁️ 7.8°C, 10 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 63.3% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 85.2% | — |
| BTTS | No | Current price not available | 45.9% · Yes 54.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 41.8% · Over 58.2% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-0 | Current price not available | 10.7% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.9 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Current price not available | 59.4% · Under 40.6% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Salford City · Home
Salford City have won all five of their recent matches, scoring 12 goals and failing to score in none of them. Their latest meeting with Northampton ended 2-1 at home, and they also won the reverse fixture 0-1.
Northampton · Away
Northampton have won two, drawn two and lost one of their last five, with 6 goals scored and 3 conceded. They failed to score in the 0-1 home defeat to Tranmere, and their most recent away match finished 1-1.
Salford's Edge in Head-to-Head
The latest head-to-head is the clearest angle: Salford City beat Northampton 2-1 at home in January 2023, and Salford also won 0-1 away in October 2022. Salford's five-match winning run includes 12 goals scored and only 5 conceded, while Northampton have 6 goals in five and failed to score once. Salford's recent xG for of 1.71 sits well above Northampton's 0.94, supporting a home edge rather than a high-scoring game. The evidence supports Salford City win.
Published 01 Nov 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Salford City 2.11 – 0.93 Northampton · expected total 3.04
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Salford City
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Salford City
Northampton
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: League Two
Salford City
Northampton
Rank among 24 League Two teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Salford City at home · Northampton away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Salford City (home)
Northampton (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Northampton 3 wins · 1 draw · Salford City 2 wins · avg 2.3 goals · BTTS in 3 of 6
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan 2023 | Salford City | 2–1 | Northampton | League Two |
| 08 Oct 2022 | Northampton | 0–1 | Salford City | League Two |
| 29 Jan 2022 | Northampton | 1–0 | Salford City | League Two |
| 25 Sep 2021 | Salford City | 2–2 | Northampton | League Two |
| 11 Jan 2020 | Salford City | 1–2 | Northampton | League Two |
| 19 Oct 2019 | Northampton | 2–0 | Salford City | League Two |
📈 Recent Form
Salford City
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Exeter City | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 26/10 | Walsall | Away | 4–2 | W |
| 20/10 | Bristol Rovers | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 17/10 | Crawley Town | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 10/10 | Cheltenham | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 03/10 | Fleetwood Town | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 26/09 | Oldham | Away | 4–1 | W |
| 22/09 | Sheffield Wednesday | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 19/09 | Swindon Town | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 12/09 | Rotherham | Away | 3–3 | D |
Northampton
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Accrington ST | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 24/10 | Colchester | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 20/10 | Tranmere | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 17/10 | Grimsby | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 10/10 | York | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 06/10 | Cambridge United | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 19/09 | Rotherham | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 12/09 | Shrewsbury | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 05/09 | Newport County | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 01/09 | Crawley Town | Home | 1–1 | D |
📊 Season Comparison: League Two
Salford City #1 · 31 pts · Northampton #20 · 14 pts
Salford City
Northampton
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Salford City
Northampton
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: League Two predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws