Rochdale vs York
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Round 15 • Spotland Stadium • ☁️ 6.5°C, 16 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 10:09 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Draw | Current price not available | 27.9% | — |
| Double Chance | X2 | Current price not available | 64.5% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 57.2% · No 42.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 47.9% · Over 52.1% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-1 | Current price not available | 13.3% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.6 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Current price not available | 50.5% · Under 49.5% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Rochdale · Home
Rochdale are without a win in five, drawing two and losing three, and have failed to score in only one of those matches. Their latest home results include a 0-5 loss to Accrington ST and a 2-2 draw with Grimsby, while their recent xG for stands at 1.27.
York · Away
York have one win in five, a 2-0 home victory over Port Vale, and have failed to score in none of those matches. Their recent xG for of 1.91 is higher than Rochdale's, though they lost 2-5 at Grimsby and 1-3 at Barnet.
H2H draws and shared scoring
The latest head-to-head, on 25 Apr 2026, finished 1-1, and the two meetings before it produced a 4-1 York win and a 1-2 York win. Both teams scored in four of Rochdale's five recent matches and in all five of York's, which supports the BTTS Yes pick at 57.2%. Rochdale's model expected goals of 1.37 and York's 1.39 point to a close, low-margin contest rather than a clear winner. The evidence supports Draw.
Published 01 Nov 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Rochdale 1.37 – 1.39 York · expected total 2.76
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Rochdale
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Rochdale
York
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: League Two
Rochdale
York
Rank among 24 League Two teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Rochdale at home · York away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Rochdale (home)
York (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Rochdale 1 win · 5 draws · York 4 wins · avg 1.9 goals · BTTS in 4 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr 2026 | Rochdale | 1–1 | York | National League |
| 11 Nov 2025 | York | 4–1 | Rochdale | National League |
| 11 Oct 2025 | Rochdale | 1–2 | York | FA Cup |
| 25 Mar 2025 | Rochdale | 0–4 | York | National League |
| 20 Aug 2024 | York | 1–0 | Rochdale | National League |
| 16 Dec 2023 | Rochdale | 0–0 | York | National League |
| 28 Aug 2023 | York | 1–3 | Rochdale | National League |
| 05 Apr 2014 | Rochdale | 0–0 | York | League Two |
| 30 Nov 2013 | York | 0–0 | Rochdale | League Two |
| 12 Mar 2013 | York | 0–0 | Rochdale | League Two |
📈 Recent Form
Rochdale
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Port Vale | Away | 2–4 | L |
| 24/10 | Accrington ST | Home | 0–5 | L |
| 20/10 | Grimsby | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 17/10 | Crewe | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 10/10 | Tranmere | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 06/10 | Huddersfield | Away | 0–5 | L |
| 03/10 | Swindon Town | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 26/09 | Fleetwood Town | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 19/09 | Oldham | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 12/09 | Walsall | Away | 0–0 | D |
York
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Grimsby | Away | 2–5 | L |
| 27/10 | Barnet | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 24/10 | Port Vale | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 20/10 | Accrington ST | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 17/10 | Newport County | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 10/10 | Northampton | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 26/09 | Gillingham | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 19/09 | Chesterfield | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 15/09 | Newcastle United U21 | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 12/09 | Swindon Town | Home | 4–0 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: League Two
Rochdale #19 · 15 pts · York #7 · 20 pts
Rochdale
York
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Rochdale
York
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: League Two predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws