Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Round 15 • Memorial Stadium • ☁️ 6.4°C, 14 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 41.5% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 76.4% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 70.8% · No 29.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 70.1% · Under 29.9% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 8.3% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~11 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Current price not available | 60.1% · Under 39.9% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Bristol Rovers · Home
Bristol Rovers have taken just one point from their last five matches, a 0-0 draw with Swindon Town, and failed to score in two of those games. Their most recent meeting with Chesterfield ended in a 2-3 home defeat on 7 Feb 2026.
Chesterfield · Away
Chesterfield scored nine goals across their last five matches, including a 5-1 win over Crewe, but conceded nine as well and kept no clean sheets. They also won the reverse fixture 3-1 at home on 16 Aug 2025.
Rovers' Home H2H Edge
The latest head-to-head went Chesterfield's way at 2-3, yet Bristol Rovers won the earlier home meeting 2-0 on 29 Jul 2023. Rovers' recent form is poor, with 0 wins in five, but their historical weighted xG of 1.94 and model expected goals of 1.9 point to a home attack that can score. Chesterfield's away results include a 1-4 loss at Newport County and a 0-1 defeat at Port Vale, showing vulnerability on the road. The evidence supports Bristol Rovers win.
Published 01 Nov 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Bristol Rovers 1.90 – 1.73 Chesterfield · expected total 3.63
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Bristol Rovers
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Bristol Rovers
Chesterfield
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: League Two
Bristol Rovers
Chesterfield
Rank among 24 League Two teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Bristol Rovers at home · Chesterfield away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Bristol Rovers (home)
Chesterfield (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Bristol Rovers 3 wins · 1 draw · Chesterfield 5 wins · avg 3.3 goals · BTTS in 6 of 9
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb 2026 | Bristol Rovers | 2–3 | Chesterfield | League Two |
| 16 Aug 2025 | Chesterfield | 3–1 | Bristol Rovers | League Two |
| 29 Jul 2023 | Bristol Rovers | 2–0 | Chesterfield | Friendlies Clubs |
| 18 Mar 2017 | Bristol Rovers | 2–1 | Chesterfield | League One |
| 26 Nov 2016 | Chesterfield | 3–2 | Bristol Rovers | League One |
| 01 Feb 2014 | Chesterfield | 3–1 | Bristol Rovers | League Two |
| 26 Oct 2013 | Bristol Rovers | 0–0 | Chesterfield | League Two |
| 09 Mar 2013 | Chesterfield | 2–0 | Bristol Rovers | League Two |
| 10 Nov 2012 | Bristol Rovers | 3–2 | Chesterfield | League Two |
📈 Recent Form
Bristol Rovers
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Fleetwood Town | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 24/10 | Swindon Town | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 20/10 | Salford City | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 17/10 | Shrewsbury | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 10/10 | Barnet | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 06/10 | Wycombe | Away | 1–4 | L |
| 03/10 | Crewe | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 26/09 | Exeter City | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 19/09 | Gillingham | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 12/09 | Grimsby | Away | 0–2 | L |
Chesterfield
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Newport County | Away | 1–4 | L |
| 24/10 | Crewe | Home | 5–1 | W |
| 20/10 | Colchester | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 17/10 | Port Vale | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 10/10 | Crawley Town | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 03/10 | Tranmere | Home | 4–2 | W |
| 26/09 | Cheltenham | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 19/09 | York | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 15/09 | Manchester City U21 | Home | 5–3 | W |
| 12/09 | Oldham | Away | 2–1 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: League Two
Bristol Rovers #17 · 16 pts · Chesterfield #10 · 19 pts
Bristol Rovers
Chesterfield
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Bristol Rovers
Chesterfield
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: League Two predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws