Predictions β†’ England FA Cup

Colchester vs Worcester City

Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 β€’ 15:00 UTC+3 β€’ 1/128-finals

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipOddsConfidenceProbabilityMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Draw β€”66% 27.7% β€” β€”
Double Chance 1X β€”66% 65% β€” β€”
BTTS Yes β€”81% 49.5% β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 β€”83% 52.7% β€” β€”
Correct Score 1-1 β€”70% 11.6% β€” β€”

⚽ Model expected goals: Colchester 1.30 – 1.19 Worcester City Β· expected total 2.49

πŸ”‘ What Drives the Prediction

Colchester

Form (last 5)
DChesterfield (A) 1–1 Β· 20/10/2026DExeter City (H) 0–0 Β· 17/10/2026LNewport County (A) 0–1 Β· 10/10/2026DShrewsbury (A) 2–2 Β· 26/09/2026LPeterborough (A) 1–3 Β· 22/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)0.00
Goals conceded (season avg)0.00
Win streak (best this season)0
xG for (recent avg)0.55
xG against (recent avg)0.88
Elo strength ratingβ€”

Worcester City

Form (last 5)
WChorley (H) 1–0 Β· 20/10/2026DChorley (A) 1–1 Β· 17/10/2026LStourbridge (H) 1–3 Β· 13/10/2026LRushall Olympic (A) 0–1 Β· 10/10/2026WKettering Town (A) 3–1 Β· 03/10/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)0.70
Win streak (best this season)3
xG for (recent avg)β€”
xG against (recent avg)β€”
Elo strength rating1363
ColchesterWorcester City
DChesterfield (A) 1–1 Β· 20/10/2026DExeter City (H) 0–0 Β· 17/10/2026LNewport County (A) 0–1 Β· 10/10/2026DShrewsbury (A) 2–2 Β· 26/09/2026LPeterborough (A) 1–3 Β· 22/09/2026
WChorley (H) 1–0 Β· 20/10/2026DChorley (A) 1–1 Β· 17/10/2026LStourbridge (H) 1–3 Β· 13/10/2026LRushall Olympic (A) 0–1 Β· 10/10/2026WKettering Town (A) 3–1 Β· 03/10/2026
Goals scored (season avg)
0.00
1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)
0.00
0.70
Win streak (best this season)
0
3
xG for (recent avg)
0.55
β€”
xG against (recent avg)
0.88
β€”
Elo strength rating
β€”
1363

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors β€” each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict β€” including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

πŸ“ˆ Team Trends

Colchester

Winless 9
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Worcester City

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Colchester at home Β· Worcester City away β€” the split that matters for this fixture.

Colchester (home)

Played0
Goals scored (avg)0.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0

Worcester City (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–2D–0L
W 1
D 2
Played3
Goals scored (avg)1.70
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Colchester (home)Worcester City (away)
W 1
D 2
Played
0
3
Goals scored (avg)
0.00
1.70
Goals conceded (avg)
0.00
1.00
Clean sheets
0
0
Failed to score
0
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

1–1
11.6%
0–0
7.9%
2–2
4.1%
3–3
0.7%
4–4
0.1%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture β€” computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

πŸ“ˆ Recent Form

Colchester

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
20/10 Chesterfield Away 1–1 D
17/10 Exeter City Home 0–0 D
10/10 Newport County Away 0–1 L
26/09 Shrewsbury Away 2–2 D
22/09 Peterborough Away 1–3 L

Worcester City

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
20/10 Chorley Home 1–0 W
17/10 Chorley Away 1–1 D
13/10 Stourbridge Home 1–3 L
10/10 Rushall Olympic Away 0–1 L
03/10 Kettering Town Away 3–1 W

πŸ“Š Season Comparison β€” FA Cup

Colchester

Played0
Goals scored (avg)0.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
xG for (avg)0.55
xG against (avg)0.88
Corners for (avg)2.90
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Worcester City

Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)0.70
Clean sheets2
Failed to score0
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
xG for (avg)β€”
xG against (avg)β€”
Corners for (avg)β€”
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
ColchesterWorcester City
Played
0
6
Goals scored (avg)
0.00
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
0.00
0.70
Clean sheets
0
2
Failed to score
0
0
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
0
xG for (avg)
0.55
β€”
xG against (avg)
0.88
β€”
Corners for (avg)
2.90
β€”
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Colchester

0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90
scored conceded

Worcester City

0-15
16-30
1
31-45
2
46-60
1
61-75
76-90
3
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: FA Cup predictions Β· BTTS Β· Over/Under Β· Correct Score Β· Draws