Predictions → England League Two

Fleetwood Town vs Tranmere

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 20:30 UTC+3 • Round 15 • Highbury Stadium • ☀️ 15.6°C, 21 km/h clear

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available44.3% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available74.9% —
BTTS No Current price not available54.2% · Yes 45.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available60.9% · Over 39.1% —
Correct Score 1-0 Current price not available12.6% —
Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.7 exp.) Over 9.5 Current price not available51.3% · Under 48.7% —

🧠 Match Preview

Fleetwood Town · Home

Fleetwood Town have scored in all five recent matches, including a 3-1 win over Bristol Rovers and a 2-0 win over Rotherham. Their recent_xg_for of 3.17 is well above Tranmere's 1.09, and the model_expected_goals of 1.32 points to a modest but real attacking edge.

Tranmere · Away

Tranmere have drawn two of their last five and won 1-0 at Northampton, but their model_expected_goals of 0.93 is the lower figure here. The latest H2H, a 0-0 draw at Fleetwood, shows Tranmere can be hard to break down.

Fleetwood's scoring run

Fleetwood have scored in each of their last five matches, while Tranmere's most recent away wins were narrow 1-0 and 1-1 results. The latest H2H at Fleetwood ended 0-0, and the earlier meeting there was a 0-3 Fleetwood win, so the venue has not been a barrier. The evidence supports Fleetwood Town win.

Published 01 Nov 2026 16:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Fleetwood Town 1.32 – 0.93 Tranmere · expected total 2.25

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Fleetwood Town

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)1.30
Best league winning streak this season2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)3.17
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.25
Elo strength rating1420

Tranmere

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.40
Goals conceded (season avg)1.20
Best league winning streak this season2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.09
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.92
Elo strength rating1356
Fleetwood TownTranmere
Goals scored (season avg)
1.30
1.40
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.30
1.20
Best league winning streak this season
2
2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
3.17
1.09
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.25
1.92
Elo strength rating
1420
1356

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Fleetwood Town

BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Tranmere

Unbeaten 3
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: League Two

Fleetwood Town

3rd best BTTS rate (83%, last 6)

Tranmere

3rd best BTTS rate (83%, last 6)

Rank among 24 League Two teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Fleetwood Town at home · Tranmere away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Fleetwood Town (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–3D–1L
W 3
D 3
L 1
Played7
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)0.70
Clean sheets3
Failed to score1

Tranmere (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–4D–2L
W 1
D 4
L 2
Played7
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2
Fleetwood Town (home)Tranmere (away)
W 3
D 3
L 1
W 1
D 4
L 2
Played
7
7
Goals scored (avg)
1.40
1.00
Goals conceded (avg)
0.70
1.40
Clean sheets
3
2
Failed to score
1
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–0
12.58%
2–0
9.16%
2–1
8.55%
3–0
4.03%
3–1
3.76%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Fleetwood Town 3 wins · 4 draws · Tranmere 2 wins · avg 2 goals · BTTS in 3 of 9

3
4
2
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
14 Mar 2026 Fleetwood Town 0–0 Tranmere League Two
26 Dec 2025 Tranmere 1–0 Fleetwood Town League Two
02 Dec 2025 Tranmere 0–3 Fleetwood Town EFL Trophy
22 Mar 2025 Fleetwood Town 0–0 Tranmere League Two
11 Feb 2025 Tranmere 0–0 Fleetwood Town League Two
05 Sep 2023 Fleetwood Town 2–0 Tranmere EFL Trophy
15 Jul 2023 Tranmere 4–1 Fleetwood Town Friendlies Clubs
02 Jul 2022 Fleetwood Town 2–2 Tranmere Friendlies Clubs
23 Nov 2019 Fleetwood Town 2–1 Tranmere League One

📈 Recent Form

Fleetwood Town

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Bristol Rovers Home 3–1 W
27/10 Arsenal Home 1–1 D
24/10 Exeter City Away 1–2 L
20/10 Cheltenham Away 2–4 L
17/10 Rotherham Home 2–0 W
10/10 Walsall Home 1–1 D
06/10 Barnsley Home 4–1 W
03/10 Salford City Away 0–1 L
26/09 Rochdale Home 1–2 L
22/09 Oldham Away 0–1 L

Tranmere

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Cheltenham Home 3–1 W
24/10 Crawley Town Away 1–1 D
20/10 Northampton Away 1–0 W
17/10 Barnet Home 1–2 L
10/10 Rochdale Home 1–1 D
03/10 Chesterfield Away 2–4 L
26/09 Walsall Home 1–1 D
22/09 Shrewsbury Home 1–0 W
19/09 Exeter City Away 0–0 D
12/09 Gillingham Away 0–2 L

📊 Season Comparison: League Two

Fleetwood Town #16 · 17 pts ·  Tranmere #11 · 19 pts

Fleetwood Town

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–5D–5L
W 4
D 5
L 5
Played14
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets4
Failed to score2
Yellow cards34
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)3.17
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.25
Corners for (avg)4.70
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Tranmere

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–7D–3L
W 4
D 7
L 3
Played14
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets4
Failed to score2
Yellow cards31
Red cards2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.09
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.92
Corners for (avg)3.40
Penalties (scored/missed)1/1
Fleetwood TownTranmere
W 4
D 5
L 5
W 4
D 7
L 3
Played
14
14
Goals scored (avg)
1.30
1.40
Goals conceded (avg)
1.30
1.20
Clean sheets
4
4
Failed to score
2
2
Yellow cards
34
31
Red cards
0
2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
3.17
1.09
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.25
1.92
Corners for (avg)
4.70
3.40
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
1/1

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Fleetwood Town

3
0-15
1
1
16-30
2
4
31-45
4
2
46-60
3
4
61-75
5
3
76-90
4
scored conceded

Tranmere

3
0-15
1
1
16-30
4
31-45
3
3
46-60
3
1
61-75
5
9
76-90
3
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: League Two predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws