Predictions → England National League

Gateshead vs Barrow

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Round 17 • Gateshead International Stadium • ☁️ 7.8°C, 11 km/h overcast

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Away Current price not available52.4% —
Double Chance X2 Current price not available78.6% —
BTTS No Current price not available46.5% · Yes 53.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available48.7% · Over 51.3% —
Correct Score 0-1 Current price not available10% —

🧠 Match Preview

Gateshead · Home

Gateshead have lost four of their last five, including a 0-5 defeat at Stafford Rangers and a 1-4 loss at FC Halifax Town, and failed to score in two of those games. Their latest meeting with Barrow ended in a 0-2 home defeat (0-2).

Barrow · Away

Barrow are unbeaten across their last five, winning three and drawing two, with eight goals scored and only four conceded. They also won 3-2 at FC Halifax Town, the same opponent that beat Gateshead 1-4.

Barrow's unbeaten run meets struggling Gateshead

Barrow's recent record of three wins and two draws from five matches contrasts sharply with Gateshead's single point from five. The shared opponent angle is telling: Barrow won 3-2 at FC Halifax Town, while Gateshead lost 1-4 there. The latest head-to-head also favours the visitors, with Barrow winning 0-2 at Gateshead (0-2). The evidence supports Barrow win.

Published 01 Nov 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Gateshead 1.02 – 1.71 Barrow · expected total 2.73

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Gateshead

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)0.60
Goals conceded (season avg)2.30
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1245

Barrow

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.70
Goals conceded (season avg)1.30
Best league winning streak this season6
Elo strength rating1493
GatesheadBarrow
Goals scored (season avg)
0.60
1.70
Goals conceded (season avg)
2.30
1.30
Best league winning streak this season
2
6
Elo strength rating
1245
1493

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Gateshead

Lost 3 in a row Winless 10
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Barrow

Unbeaten 9
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: National League

Gateshead

Worst attack (0.60 goals/game, season) 2nd worst defence (2.30 conceded/game, season)

Barrow

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 24 National League teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Gateshead at home · Barrow away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Gateshead (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–4L
W 1
D 1
L 4
Played6
Goals scored (avg)0.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2

Barrow (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–3D–2L
W 3
D 3
L 2
Played8
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.60
Clean sheets0
Failed to score2
Gateshead (home)Barrow (away)
W 1
D 1
L 4
W 3
D 3
L 2
Played
6
8
Goals scored (avg)
0.80
1.80
Goals conceded (avg)
1.80
1.60
Clean sheets
1
0
Failed to score
2
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

0–1
10.03%
1–2
9.75%
0–2
9.56%
1–3
5.56%
0–3
5.45%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Barrow 4 wins · 4 draws · Gateshead 2 wins · avg 2.3 goals · BTTS in 6 of 10

4
4
2
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
27 Apr 2019 Gateshead 0–2 Barrow National League
25 Sep 2018 Barrow 1–2 Gateshead National League
20 Feb 2018 Barrow 1–1 Gateshead National League
21 Nov 2017 Gateshead 1–2 Barrow National League
31 Dec 2016 Gateshead 4–1 Barrow National League
26 Dec 2016 Barrow 0–0 Gateshead National League
02 Feb 2016 Barrow 0–0 Gateshead National League
02 Jan 2016 Gateshead 1–1 Barrow National League
29 Jan 2013 Gateshead 2–3 Barrow FA Trophy
01 Jan 2013 Gateshead 0–1 Barrow National League

📈 Recent Form

Gateshead

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Aldershot Town Away 0–1 L
27/10 Boston United Away 1–2 L
20/10 Stafford Rangers Away 0–5 L
17/10 Stafford Rangers Home 1–1 D
10/10 FC Halifax Town Away 1–4 L
03/10 Worthing Home 1–2 L
29/09 Altrincham Home 0–1 L
26/09 Wealdstone Away 0–4 L
19/09 Southend Home 1–6 L
16/09 Kidderminster Harriers Away 0–1 L

Barrow

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Eastleigh Home 1–1 D
27/10 FC Halifax Town Away 3–2 W
20/10 Gloucester City Away 2–0 W
17/10 Gloucester City Home 0–0 D
10/10 Tamworth Away 2–1 W
03/10 Wealdstone Home 2–1 W
29/09 Scunthorpe Home 3–0 W
26/09 Southend Away 4–2 W
19/09 Aldershot Town Home 1–0 W
15/09 Solihull Moors Away 0–1 L

📊 Season Comparison: National League

Gateshead #24 · 4 pts ·  Barrow #9 · 25 pts

Gateshead

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–13L
W 1
D 1
L 13
Played15
Goals scored (avg)0.60
Goals conceded (avg)2.30
Clean sheets1
Failed to score7
Yellow cards31
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Barrow

Wins–Draws–Losses7W–4D–4L
W 7
D 4
L 4
Played15
Goals scored (avg)1.70
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets3
Failed to score2
Yellow cards41
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)2/1
GatesheadBarrow
W 1
D 1
L 13
W 7
D 4
L 4
Played
15
15
Goals scored (avg)
0.60
1.70
Goals conceded (avg)
2.30
1.30
Clean sheets
1
3
Failed to score
7
2
Yellow cards
31
41
Red cards
0
1
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
2/1

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Gateshead

5
0-15
5
16-30
2
5
31-45
1
4
46-60
2
3
61-75
2
10
76-90
4
scored conceded

Barrow

1
0-15
2
16-30
4
3
31-45
1
2
46-60
2
5
61-75
7
8
76-90
10
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: National League predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws