Colchester vs Gillingham
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Round 15 • ☁️ 8.3°C, 19 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Away | Current price not available | 39.2% | — |
| Double Chance | X2 | Current price not available | 71.6% | — |
| BTTS | No | Current price not available | 56.8% · Yes 43.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 65% · Over 35% | — |
| Correct Score | 0-1 | Current price not available | 12.8% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~6.5 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Current price not available | 75.2% · Over 24.8% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Colchester · Home
Colchester have taken only two points from their last five matches, with a 1-3 home defeat to Walsall followed by a 0-2 loss at Northampton. They failed to score in three of those five games, and their recent xG for of 0.97 sits just above a model expected goals figure of 0.94.
Gillingham · Away
Gillingham have scored in every one of their last five matches, including a 2-1 win at Shrewsbury and a 4-3 home win over Brighton U21. Their recent xG for of 1.38 is the stronger attacking baseline here, against a model expected goals of 1.15.
Gillingham edge low-scoring history
The latest head-to-head, on 29 Dec 2025, finished 1-1 at Gillingham, while the two earlier meetings produced 0-0 and 2-1. Colchester have failed to score in three of their last five, and the Under 2.5 lean at 65 percent fits a 0-1 correct-score line at 12.8 percent. Gillingham have scored in all five recent matches, so a single-goal away win is a realistic route. The evidence supports Gillingham win.
Published 01 Nov 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Colchester 0.94 – 1.15 Gillingham · expected total 2.10
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Colchester
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Colchester
Gillingham
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: League Two
Colchester
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Gillingham
Rank among 24 League Two teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Colchester at home · Gillingham away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Colchester (home)
Gillingham (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Colchester 4 wins · 3 draws · Gillingham 2 wins · avg 1.8 goals · BTTS in 3 of 9
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec 2025 | Gillingham | 1–1 | Colchester | League Two |
| 06 Dec 2025 | Colchester | 0–0 | Gillingham | League Two |
| 07 Oct 2025 | Colchester | 2–1 | Gillingham | EFL Trophy |
| 01 Apr 2025 | Gillingham | 1–1 | Colchester | League Two |
| 26 Dec 2024 | Colchester | 2–0 | Gillingham | League Two |
| 01 Jan 2024 | Colchester | 0–1 | Gillingham | League Two |
| 26 Aug 2023 | Gillingham | 0–3 | Colchester | League Two |
| 21 Jan 2023 | Colchester | 0–2 | Gillingham | League Two |
| 26 Dec 2022 | Gillingham | 0–1 | Colchester | League Two |
📈 Recent Form
Colchester
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Walsall | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 24/10 | Northampton | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 20/10 | Chesterfield | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 17/10 | Exeter City | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 10/10 | Newport County | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 26/09 | Shrewsbury | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 22/09 | Peterborough | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 19/09 | Cheltenham | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 12/09 | Crewe | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 05/09 | Swindon Town | Away | 1–3 | L |
Gillingham
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Shrewsbury | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 24/10 | Grimsby | Home | 1–4 | L |
| 20/10 | Port Vale | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 17/10 | Accrington ST | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 13/10 | Brighton U21 | Home | 4–3 | W |
| 10/10 | Rotherham | Away | 4–1 | W |
| 03/10 | Newport County | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 26/09 | York | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 22/09 | Cambridge United | Home | 1–4 | L |
| 19/09 | Bristol Rovers | Home | 3–0 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: League Two
Colchester #23 · 12 pts · Gillingham #8 · 20 pts
Colchester
Gillingham
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Colchester
Gillingham
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: League Two predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws