Predictions → England League Two

Newport County vs Colchester

Newport County
1:0
Full Time · 10 Oct 2026
Colchester

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Home 77% 37.9% @2.70 — 35.9% +2 pp ✅
Double Chance 1X 76% 78% @1.55 — 62.1% +15.9 pp ✅
BTTS Yes 82% 51.8% @1.67 — 56.6% -4.8 pp ❌
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 81% 50.1% @1.87 — 51.7% -1.6 pp ❌
Correct Score 1-0 66% 9.2% @10.00 — 5% +4.2 pp ✅
Draw (value pick) Draw 58% 26.7% @3.58 — 26.3% +0.4 pp ❌
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Under 9.5 64% 54.7% @1.98 — 49.4% +5.3 pp ✅

⚽ Model expected goals: Newport County 1.69 – 0.91 Colchester · expected total 2.59

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Newport County

Unbeaten 6
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
1/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
4/6

Colchester

Winless 7
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — League Two

Newport County

3rd best clean sheets (4)

Colchester

2nd best BTTS rate (83%)

Rank among 24 League Two teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Newport County at home · Colchester away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Newport County (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–2D–0L
W 3
D 2
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets2
Failed to score0

Colchester (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–2D–3L
D 2
L 3
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score2
Newport County (home)Colchester (away)
W 3
D 2
D 2
L 3
Played
5
5
Goals scored (avg)
1.80
1.00
Goals conceded (avg)
0.80
2.00
Clean sheets
2
0
Failed to score
0
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

📈 Recent Form

Newport County

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Colchester Home 1–0 W
03/10 Gillingham Away 0–0 D
26/09 Grimsby Home 2–1 W
22/09 Swindon Town Away 2–0 W
19/09 Accrington ST Away 0–0 D

Colchester

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Newport County Away 0–1 L
26/09 Shrewsbury Away 2–2 D
22/09 Peterborough Away 1–3 L
19/09 Cheltenham Home 1–1 D
12/09 Crewe Home 1–1 D

📊 Season Comparison — League Two

Newport County #12 · 13 pts —  Colchester #19 · 10 pts

Newport County

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–4D–3L
W 3
D 4
L 3
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets4
Failed to score3
Yellow cards16
Red cards0
xG for (avg)0.58
xG against (avg)0.41
Corners for (avg)4.90
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Colchester

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–4D–3L
W 2
D 4
L 3
Played9
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2
Yellow cards10
Red cards1
xG for (avg)0.42
xG against (avg)0.50
Corners for (avg)2.90
Penalties (scored/missed)0/1
Newport CountyColchester
W 3
D 4
L 3
W 2
D 4
L 3
Played
10
9
Goals scored (avg)
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded (avg)
1.20
1.40
Clean sheets
4
1
Failed to score
3
2
Yellow cards
16
10
Red cards
0
1
xG for (avg)
0.58
0.42
xG against (avg)
0.41
0.50
Corners for (avg)
4.90
2.90
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
0/1

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Newport County

0-15
2
16-30
1
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
2
4
61-75
3
4
76-90
5
scored conceded

Colchester

0-15
1
4
16-30
3
1
31-45
1
46-60
1
61-75
2
8
76-90
2
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: League Two predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws