Predictions → England League Two

Shrewsbury vs Oldham

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Round 15 • The Croud Meadow • ☁️ 6.5°C, 13 km/h overcast

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available53.6% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available81% —
BTTS No Current price not available52.6% · Yes 47.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available55.3% · Over 44.7% —
Correct Score 1-0 Current price not available12.4% —
Corners O/U 9.5 (~10 exp.) Over 9.5 Current price not available53.8% · Under 46.2% —

🧠 Match Preview

Shrewsbury · Home

Shrewsbury have scored in all five recent matches, including a 3-3 draw at Rotherham and a 3-2 win at Crawley Town, and their recent xG for of 1.66 sits close to a model expected goals figure of 1.6. They also beat Oldham 1-0 in the latest head-to-head, 1-0 on 11 Apr 2026.

Oldham · Away

Oldham failed to score in two of their last five, including a 0-1 home loss to Crawley Town and a 0-3 defeat at Walsall. Their recent xG for of 1.39 is well above a model expected goals figure of 0.86 for this fixture.

Shrewsbury edge tight H2H

The latest head-to-head is the clearest angle: Shrewsbury won it 1-0, 1-0, while the two earlier meetings produced a 2-2 draw and a 1-0 Oldham win. Shrewsbury have scored in all five recent matches, and Oldham failed to score in two of their last five. Oldham's away results in that run were a 1-1 draw at Barnet and a 0-3 loss at Walsall. The evidence supports Shrewsbury win.

Published 01 Nov 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Shrewsbury 1.60 – 0.86 Oldham · expected total 2.47

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Shrewsbury

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.20
Goals conceded (season avg)1.60
Best league winning streak this season5
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.66
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.42
Elo strength rating1375

Oldham

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.10
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Best league winning streak this season5
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.39
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.45
Elo strength rating1459
ShrewsburyOldham
Goals scored (season avg)
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.60
1.50
Best league winning streak this season
5
5
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.66
1.39
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.42
1.45
Elo strength rating
1375
1459

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Shrewsbury

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Oldham

Winless 3
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
3/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Shrewsbury at home · Oldham away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Shrewsbury (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–1D–3L
W 3
D 1
L 3
Played7
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets3
Failed to score1

Oldham (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–2D–4L
D 2
L 4
Played6
Goals scored (avg)0.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets0
Failed to score3
Shrewsbury (home)Oldham (away)
W 3
D 1
L 3
D 2
L 4
Played
7
6
Goals scored (avg)
1.10
0.50
Goals conceded (avg)
1.10
1.80
Clean sheets
3
0
Failed to score
1
3

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–0
12.44%
2–0
10.91%
2–1
9.43%
3–0
5.83%
3–1
5.04%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Oldham 2 wins · 1 draw · Shrewsbury 7 wins · avg 2.2 goals · BTTS in 4 of 10

2
1
7
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
11 Apr 2026 Shrewsbury 1–0 Oldham League Two
25 Oct 2025 Oldham 2–2 Shrewsbury League Two
03 Aug 2024 Oldham 1–0 Shrewsbury Friendlies Clubs
23 Jan 2018 Shrewsbury 2–1 Oldham EFL Trophy
01 Jan 2018 Shrewsbury 1–0 Oldham League One
16 Sep 2017 Oldham 1–2 Shrewsbury League One
21 Jan 2017 Shrewsbury 1–0 Oldham League One
03 Sep 2016 Oldham 2–3 Shrewsbury League One
26 Jan 2016 Shrewsbury 0–1 Oldham League One
01 Sep 2015 Shrewsbury 2–0 Oldham EFL Trophy

📈 Recent Form

Shrewsbury

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Gillingham Home 1–2 L
27/10 Everton U21 Home 2–1 W
24/10 Rotherham Away 3–3 D
20/10 Crawley Town Away 3–2 W
17/10 Bristol Rovers Home 1–0 W
10/10 Exeter City Home 0–1 L
06/10 Stockport County Home 0–2 L
03/10 Grimsby Away 2–1 W
26/09 Colchester Home 2–2 D
22/09 Tranmere Away 0–1 L

Oldham

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Crawley Town Home 0–1 L
24/10 Barnet Away 1–1 D
20/10 Walsall Away 0–3 L
17/10 Cheltenham Home 4–1 W
13/10 Leeds United U21 Home 4–2 W
10/10 Accrington ST Home 0–0 D
26/09 Salford City Home 1–4 L
22/09 Fleetwood Town Home 1–0 W
19/09 Rochdale Away 0–2 L
12/09 Chesterfield Home 1–2 L

📊 Season Comparison: League Two

Shrewsbury #15 · 18 pts ·  Oldham #21 · 12 pts

Shrewsbury

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–3D–6L
W 5
D 3
L 6
Played14
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.60
Clean sheets3
Failed to score4
Yellow cards39
Red cards3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.66
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.42
Corners for (avg)5.30
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0

Oldham

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–3D–7L
W 3
D 3
L 7
Played13
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets3
Failed to score5
Yellow cards20
Red cards3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.39
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.45
Corners for (avg)4.80
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
ShrewsburyOldham
W 5
D 3
L 6
W 3
D 3
L 7
Played
14
13
Goals scored (avg)
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded (avg)
1.60
1.50
Clean sheets
3
3
Failed to score
4
5
Yellow cards
39
20
Red cards
3
3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.66
1.39
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.42
1.45
Corners for (avg)
5.30
4.80
Penalties (scored/missed)
2/0
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Shrewsbury

4
0-15
1
3
16-30
3
4
31-45
3
46-60
3
2
61-75
3
9
76-90
4
scored conceded

Oldham

2
0-15
6
16-30
4
31-45
3
5
46-60
2
2
61-75
1
3
76-90
5
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

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