Predictions → England League Two

Crewe vs Bristol Rovers

Crewe
3:1
Full Time · 03 Oct 2026
Bristol Rovers

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Away 75% 33.2% @2.34 — 43% -9.8 pp ❌
Double Chance 12 72% 73.1% @1.32 — 74.6% -1.5 pp ❌
BTTS Yes 84% 54.4% @1.67 — 56.8% -2.4 pp ✅
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 83% 53.1% @1.88 — 51.5% +1.6 pp ✅
Correct Score 1-2 59% 5.1% @10.70 — 5% +0.1 pp ❌
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Over 9.5 61% 52.9% @1.87 — 51.4% +1.5 pp ❌

⚽ Model expected goals: Crewe 1.96 – 1.40 Bristol Rovers · expected total 3.37

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Crewe

Won 2 in a row Unbeaten 9
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
6/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Bristol Rovers

Lost 3 in a row Winless 3
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — League Two

Crewe

2nd best defence (0.70 conceded/game) 2nd best BTTS rate (83%) 3rd best clean sheets (4)

Bristol Rovers

2nd worst defence (1.70 conceded/game) 3rd best clean sheets (4)

Rank among 24 League Two teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Crewe at home · Bristol Rovers away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Crewe (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–3D–0L
W 2
D 3
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0

Bristol Rovers (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–0D–4L
W 1
L 4
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)2.20
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2
Crewe (home)Bristol Rovers (away)
W 2
D 3
W 1
L 4
Played
5
5
Goals scored (avg)
1.60
1.00
Goals conceded (avg)
1.00
2.20
Clean sheets
1
1
Failed to score
0
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

📈 Recent Form

Crewe

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Swindon Town Away 1–0 W
03/10 Bristol Rovers Home 3–1 W
26/09 Rotherham Away 1–1 D
22/09 Aston Villa U21 Home 4–1 W
19/09 Shrewsbury Home 1–1 D

Bristol Rovers

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Barnet Home 1–3 L
06/10 Wycombe Away 1–4 L
03/10 Crewe Away 1–3 L
26/09 Exeter City Home 1–0 W
19/09 Gillingham Away 0–3 L

📊 Season Comparison — League Two

Crewe #3 · 18 pts —  Bristol Rovers #9 · 15 pts

Crewe

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–6D–0L
W 4
D 6
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)0.70
Clean sheets4
Failed to score1
Yellow cards18
Red cards1
xG for (avg)0.46
xG against (avg)0.91
Corners for (avg)5.20
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Bristol Rovers

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–0D–5L
W 5
L 5
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.70
Clean sheets4
Failed to score2
Yellow cards23
Red cards2
xG for (avg)0.23
xG against (avg)0.77
Corners for (avg)5.40
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
CreweBristol Rovers
W 4
D 6
W 5
L 5
Played
10
10
Goals scored (avg)
1.20
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
0.70
1.70
Clean sheets
4
4
Failed to score
1
2
Yellow cards
18
23
Red cards
1
2
xG for (avg)
0.46
0.23
xG against (avg)
0.91
0.77
Corners for (avg)
5.20
5.40
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Crewe

0-15
2
2
16-30
2
4
31-45
1
46-60
3
61-75
1
1
76-90
3
scored conceded

Bristol Rovers

2
0-15
1
2
16-30
3
1
31-45
3
3
46-60
1
3
61-75
2
7
76-90
4
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: League Two predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws