Predictions → England League Two

Port Vale vs Grimsby

Port Vale
1:0
Full Time · 10 Oct 2026
Grimsby

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Away 75% 32.7% @2.57 — 38.2% -5.5 pp ❌
Double Chance 12 68% 67.4% @1.33 — 71.9% -4.5 pp ❌
BTTS Yes 81% 49.2% @1.73 — 54.8% -5.6 pp ❌
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 81% 49.5% @1.86 — 51.9% -2.4 pp ✅
Correct Score 0-1 63% 7.6% @9.00 — 5.6% +2 pp ❌
Draw (value pick) Draw 63% 27.4% @3.40 — 28.1% -0.7 pp ❌
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Over 9.5 62% 53.7% @1.77 — 53.3% +0.4 pp ✅

⚽ Model expected goals: Port Vale 1.19 – 1.26 Grimsby · expected total 2.44

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Port Vale

Won 2 in a row
BTTS
1/6
Over 2.5
1/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
3/6

Grimsby

Lost 4 in a row Winless 4
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — League Two

Port Vale

2nd worst attack (0.50 goals/game) 2nd worst BTTS rate (17%)

Grimsby

3rd best clean sheets (4)

Rank among 24 League Two teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Port Vale at home · Grimsby away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Port Vale (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–0L
W 2
D 2
Played4
Goals scored (avg)0.80
Goals conceded (avg)0.30
Clean sheets3
Failed to score1

Grimsby (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–3D–2L
D 3
L 2
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2
Port Vale (home)Grimsby (away)
W 2
D 2
D 3
L 2
Played
4
5
Goals scored (avg)
0.80
1.00
Goals conceded (avg)
0.30
1.40
Clean sheets
3
1
Failed to score
1
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

📈 Recent Form

Port Vale

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Grimsby Home 1–0 W
06/10 Mansfield Town Home 2–0 W
19/09 Walsall Away 0–2 L
12/09 Exeter City Home 1–0 W
05/09 Salford City Away 0–1 L

Grimsby

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Port Vale Away 0–1 L
03/10 Shrewsbury Home 1–2 L
26/09 Newport County Away 1–2 L
22/09 Notts County Away 1–2 L
19/09 Crawley Town Home 2–0 W

📊 Season Comparison — League Two

Port Vale #22 · 8 pts —  Grimsby #11 · 13 pts

Port Vale

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–4L
W 2
D 2
L 4
Played8
Goals scored (avg)0.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets3
Failed to score4
Yellow cards16
Red cards0
xG for (avg)0.98
xG against (avg)1.06
Corners for (avg)4.70
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0

Grimsby

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–4D–3L
W 3
D 4
L 3
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets4
Failed to score2
Yellow cards14
Red cards0
xG for (avg)0.95
xG against (avg)0.22
Corners for (avg)5.40
Penalties (scored/missed)1/1
Port ValeGrimsby
W 2
D 2
L 4
W 3
D 4
L 3
Played
8
10
Goals scored (avg)
0.50
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
1.10
1.10
Clean sheets
3
4
Failed to score
4
2
Yellow cards
16
14
Red cards
0
0
xG for (avg)
0.98
0.95
xG against (avg)
1.06
0.22
Corners for (avg)
4.70
5.40
Penalties (scored/missed)
2/0
1/1

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Port Vale

1
0-15
1
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
2
46-60
3
61-75
1
2
76-90
scored conceded

Grimsby

3
0-15
1
16-30
2
3
31-45
5
3
46-60
1
2
61-75
2
1
76-90
1
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: League Two predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws