Predictions → England League Two

Rochdale vs Swindon Town

Rochdale
1:0
Full Time · 03 Oct 2026
Swindon Town

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Home 80% 46.6% @2.30 — 43.4% +3.2 pp ✅
Double Chance 1X 75% 77.5% @1.42 — 68.5% +9 pp ✅
BTTS Yes 81% 48.8% @1.67 — 58.8% -10 pp ❌
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 83% 52.8% @1.85 — 54.4% -1.6 pp ❌
Correct Score 2-1 64% 7.9% @10.70 — 5.1% +2.8 pp ❌
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Under 9.5 61% 52.4% @1.99 — 47.8% +4.6 pp ❌

⚽ Model expected goals: Rochdale 2.05 – 1.13 Swindon Town · expected total 3.17

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Rochdale

BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
3/6

Swindon Town

Lost 2 in a row Winless 7
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
1/6
Scored
2/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — League Two

Rochdale

3rd best clean sheets (4)

Swindon Town

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 24 League Two teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Rochdale at home · Swindon Town away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Rochdale (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–0D–2L
W 3
L 2
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets3
Failed to score0

Swindon Town (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–1D–4L
D 1
L 4
Played5
Goals scored (avg)0.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets1
Failed to score5
Rochdale (home)Swindon Town (away)
W 3
L 2
D 1
L 4
Played
5
5
Goals scored (avg)
1.60
0.00
Goals conceded (avg)
1.20
1.80
Clean sheets
3
1
Failed to score
0
5

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

📈 Recent Form

Rochdale

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Tranmere Away 1–1 D
06/10 Huddersfield Away 0–5 L
03/10 Swindon Town Home 1–0 W
26/09 Fleetwood Town Away 2–1 W
19/09 Oldham Home 2–0 W

Swindon Town

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Crewe Home 0–1 L
03/10 Rochdale Away 0–1 L
26/09 Accrington ST Home 1–1 D
22/09 Newport County Home 0–2 L
19/09 Salford City Away 0–1 L

📊 Season Comparison — League Two

Rochdale #10 · 14 pts —  Swindon Town #17 · 11 pts

Rochdale

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–2D–4L
W 4
D 2
L 4
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets4
Failed to score3
Yellow cards19
Red cards3
xG for (avg)0.42
xG against (avg)1.50
Corners for (avg)3.30
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Swindon Town

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–2D–5L
W 3
D 2
L 5
Played10
Goals scored (avg)0.90
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets1
Failed to score6
Yellow cards18
Red cards2
xG for (avg)0.34
xG against (avg)0.78
Corners for (avg)4.70
Penalties (scored/missed)0/1
RochdaleSwindon Town
W 4
D 2
L 4
W 3
D 2
L 5
Played
10
10
Goals scored (avg)
1.10
0.90
Goals conceded (avg)
1.20
1.40
Clean sheets
4
1
Failed to score
3
6
Yellow cards
19
18
Red cards
3
2
xG for (avg)
0.42
0.34
xG against (avg)
1.50
0.78
Corners for (avg)
3.30
4.70
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
0/1

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Rochdale

2
0-15
3
2
16-30
2
31-45
2
2
46-60
2
2
61-75
1
2
76-90
3
scored conceded

Swindon Town

3
0-15
1
2
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
1
46-60
2
1
61-75
1
6
76-90
3
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: League Two predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws