Harborough Town vs Worksop Town

Next match: Sat, 24 Oct 2026 • 14:00 UTC+3 • National League North - 13

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Market	Tip	Confidence	Probability	Odds	Bookmaker	Market implied	Edge
Match Result (1X2)	Home	87%	65.2%	—	—	—	—
Double Chance	1X	76%	78.4%	—	—	—	—
BTTS	Yes	84%	54.2%	—	—	—	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	85%	56.7%	—	—	—	—
Correct Score	2-1	63%	7.4%	—	—	—	—

⚽ Model expected goals: Harborough Town 2.37 – 1.27 Worksop Town · expected total 3.64

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Harborough Town

Form (last 5)

WSouthport (H) 1–0 · 10/10/2026WSt Albans City (H) 3–2 · 03/10/2026LMacclesfield (A) 0–1 · 26/09/2026WRushall Olympic (H) 1–0 · 19/09/2026DAFC Telford United (H) 0–0 · 12/09/2026

Goals scored (season avg)1.00

Goals conceded (season avg)1.10

Win streak (best this season)1

Elo strength rating1337

Worksop Town

Form (last 5)

DBuxton (A) 2–2 · 17/10/2026 WMorecambe (H) 2–1 · 10/10/2026LUnited of Manchester (H) 0–3 · 03/10/2026LChester (A) 1–4 · 26/09/2026WAFC Telford United (H) 5–2 · 22/09/2026

Goals scored (season avg)1.20

Goals conceded (season avg)1.60

Win streak (best this season)2

Elo strength rating1413

Harborough TownWorksop Town

WSouthport (H) 1–0 · 10/10/2026WSt Albans City (H) 3–2 · 03/10/2026LMacclesfield (A) 0–1 · 26/09/2026WRushall Olympic (H) 1–0 · 19/09/2026DAFC Telford United (H) 0–0 · 12/09/2026

DBuxton (A) 2–2 · 17/10/2026 WMorecambe (H) 2–1 · 10/10/2026LUnited of Manchester (H) 0–3 · 03/10/2026LChester (A) 1–4 · 26/09/2026WAFC Telford United (H) 5–2 · 22/09/2026

Goals scored (season avg)

1.00

1.20

Goals conceded (season avg)

1.10

1.60

Win streak (best this season)

Elo strength rating

1337

1413

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors — each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Harborough Town

Won 2 in a row

BTTS

1/6

Over 2.5

2/6

Scored

3/6

Clean sheets

3/6

Worksop Town

BTTS

5/6

Over 2.5

6/6

Scored

5/6

Clean sheets

0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — National League North

Harborough Town

2nd worst attack (1.00 goals/game) Worst BTTS rate (17%)

Worksop Town

Best BTTS rate (83%) Best Over 2.5 rate (100%)

Rank among 24 National League North teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Harborough Town at home · Worksop Town away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Harborough Town (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–1D–1L

W 4

D 1

L 1

Played6

Goals scored (avg)1.30

Goals conceded (avg)1.00

Clean sheets3

Failed to score2

Worksop Town (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–1D–3L

W 2

D 1

L 3

Played6

Goals scored (avg)1.20

Goals conceded (avg)1.80

Clean sheets1

Failed to score1

Harborough Town (home)Worksop Town (away)

W 4

D 1

L 1

W 2

D 1

L 3

Played

Goals scored (avg)

1.30

1.20

Goals conceded (avg)

1.00

1.80

Clean sheets

Failed to score

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

2–1

7.4%

3–1

5.9%

2–0

5.8%

3–0

4.6%

1–0

4.3%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture — computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Harborough Town 2 wins · 0 draws · Worksop Town 0 wins · avg 4 goals · BTTS in 2 of 2

Date	Home	Score	Away	Competition
13 Sep 2025	Harborough Town	3–2	Worksop Town	FA Cup
29 Jul 2023	Worksop Town	1–2	Harborough Town	Friendlies Clubs

📈 Recent Form

Harborough Town

Date	Opponent	Venue	Score	Result
10/10	Southport	Home	1–0	W
03/10	St Albans City	Home	3–2	W
26/09	Macclesfield	Away	0–1	L
19/09	Rushall Olympic	Home	1–0	W
12/09	AFC Telford United	Home	0–0	D

Worksop Town

Date	Opponent	Venue	Score	Result
17/10	Buxton	Away	2–2	D
10/10	Morecambe	Home	2–1	W
03/10	United of Manchester	Home	0–3	L
26/09	Chester	Away	1–4	L
22/09	AFC Telford United	Home	5–2	W

📊 Season Comparison — National League North

Harborough Town #17 · 15 pts — Worksop Town #13 · 16 pts

Harborough Town

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–3D–4L

W 4

D 3

L 4

Played11

Goals scored (avg)1.00

Goals conceded (avg)1.10

Clean sheets3

Failed to score4

Yellow cards0

Red cards0

Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Worksop Town

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–1D–6L

W 5

D 1

L 6

Played12

Goals scored (avg)1.20

Goals conceded (avg)1.60

Clean sheets2

Failed to score3

Yellow cards0

Red cards2

Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Harborough TownWorksop Town

W 4

D 3

L 4

W 5

D 1

L 6

Played

Goals scored (avg)

1.00

1.20

Goals conceded (avg)

1.10

1.60

Clean sheets

Failed to score

Yellow cards

Red cards

Penalties (scored/missed)

1/0

0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Harborough Town

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

scored conceded

Worksop Town

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: National League North predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws