Predictions β†’ England National League North

Southport vs Macclesfield

Next match: Tue, 27 Oct 2026 β€’ 19:45 UTC+3 β€’ National League North - 14

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Away 80% 47.3% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Double Chance X2 71% 72.1% β€” β€” β€” β€”
BTTS Yes 83% 53% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 81% 49.7% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Correct Score 1-2 63% 7.5% β€” β€” β€” β€”

⚽ Model expected goals: Southport 1.13 – 1.64 Macclesfield Β· expected total 2.77

πŸ”‘ What Drives the Prediction

Southport

Form (last 5)
LRadcliffe (H) 0–2 Β· 17/10/2026LHarborough Town (A) 0–1 Β· 10/10/2026DSpennymoor Town (H) 2–2 Β· 26/09/2026LMorecambe (A) 0–2 Β· 19/09/2026LWorksop Town (A) 0–2 Β· 12/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.10
Goals conceded (season avg)1.90
Win streak (best this season)1
Elo strength rating1359

Macclesfield

Form (last 5)
WSouth Shields (H) 4–3 Β· 10/10/2026DScarborough Athletic (H) 2–2 Β· 03/10/2026WHarborough Town (H) 1–0 Β· 26/09/2026WRedcar Athletic (A) 2–1 Β· 19/09/2026DSpennymoor Town (A) 1–1 Β· 12/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)0.80
Win streak (best this season)3
Elo strength rating1715
SouthportMacclesfield
WSouth Shields (H) 4–3 Β· 10/10/2026DScarborough Athletic (H) 2–2 Β· 03/10/2026WHarborough Town (H) 1–0 Β· 26/09/2026WRedcar Athletic (A) 2–1 Β· 19/09/2026DSpennymoor Town (A) 1–1 Β· 12/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)
1.10
1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.90
0.80
Win streak (best this season)
1
3
Elo strength rating
1359
1715

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors β€” each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict β€” including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

πŸ“ˆ Team Trends

Southport

Lost 2 in a row Winless 5
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
2/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Macclesfield

Unbeaten 6
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

πŸ… League Benchmarks β€” National League North

Southport

2nd worst clean sheets (0)

Macclesfield

3rd best defence (0.80 conceded/game) 3rd best clean sheets (5)

Rank among 24 National League North teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets β€” season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates β€” last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Southport at home Β· Macclesfield away β€” the split that matters for this fixture.

Southport (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–2L
W 2
D 2
L 2
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets0
Failed to score2

Macclesfield (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–1L
W 2
D 2
L 1
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets2
Failed to score1
Southport (home)Macclesfield (away)
W 2
D 2
L 2
W 2
D 2
L 1
Played
6
5
Goals scored (avg)
1.50
1.00
Goals conceded (avg)
1.30
0.80
Clean sheets
0
2
Failed to score
2
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

1–2
7.5%
0–1
7.2%
0–2
6.7%
1–3
4.1%
0–3
3.6%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture β€” computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

βš”οΈ Head-to-Head

Macclesfield 5 wins Β· 3 draws Β· Southport 2 wins Β· avg 3.1 goals Β· BTTS in 8 of 10

5
3
2
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
21 Apr 2026 Macclesfield 2–1 Southport National League - North
19 Aug 2025 Southport 1–2 Macclesfield National League - North
04 Apr 2017 Southport 1–2 Macclesfield National League
16 Aug 2016 Macclesfield 3–1 Southport National League
05 Dec 2015 Southport 3–1 Macclesfield National League
11 Aug 2015 Macclesfield 0–0 Southport National League
14 Feb 2015 Southport 1–1 Macclesfield National League
20 Sep 2014 Macclesfield 3–0 Southport National League
15 Mar 2014 Southport 4–1 Macclesfield National League
17 Oct 2013 Macclesfield 2–2 Southport National League

πŸ“ˆ Recent Form

Southport

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17/10 Radcliffe Home 0–2 L
10/10 Harborough Town Away 0–1 L
26/09 Spennymoor Town Home 2–2 D
19/09 Morecambe Away 0–2 L
12/09 Worksop Town Away 0–2 L

Macclesfield

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 South Shields Home 4–3 W
03/10 Scarborough Athletic Home 2–2 D
26/09 Harborough Town Home 1–0 W
19/09 Redcar Athletic Away 2–1 W
12/09 Spennymoor Town Away 1–1 D

πŸ“Š Season Comparison β€” National League North

Southport #22 Β· 9 pts β€”  Macclesfield #1 Β· 24 pts

Southport

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–3D–7L
W 2
D 3
L 7
Played12
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.90
Clean sheets0
Failed to score5
Yellow cards0
Red cards3
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Macclesfield

Wins–Draws–Losses7W–3D–1L
W 7
D 3
L 1
Played11
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets5
Failed to score2
Yellow cards0
Red cards2
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
SouthportMacclesfield
W 2
D 3
L 7
W 7
D 3
L 1
Played
12
11
Goals scored (avg)
1.10
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
1.90
0.80
Clean sheets
0
5
Failed to score
5
2
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
3
2
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Southport

2
0-15
1
2
16-30
4
6
31-45
2
46-60
3
6
61-75
1
5
76-90
4
scored conceded

Macclesfield

3
0-15
16-30
3
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
4
61-75
5
4
76-90
3
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: National League North predictions Β· BTTS Β· Over/Under Β· Correct Score Β· Draws