Predictions → England National League South

Salisbury vs Braintree

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Tue, 10 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • National League South - 12 • ☁️ 13.4°C, 14 km/h overcast

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 10:09 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available69.8% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available86.3% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available69.3% · No 30.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available79% · Under 21% —
Correct Score 2-1 Current price not available8.3% —

🧠 Match Preview

Salisbury · Home

Salisbury enter unbeaten in their last five with 4 wins and a draw, scoring 10 and conceding 3, including a 3-0 home win over Eastbourne Borough. The model gives them 2.96 expected goals for this fixture.

Braintree · Away

Braintree have lost 3 of their last five, conceding 13 goals, and their 0-6 defeat at Farnham Town stands out. Their two recent wins were both narrow home results, 1-0 and 2-1.

Salisbury's scoring run meets leaky Braintree

The latest head-to-head, on 8 Jan 2019, finished 2-1 to Salisbury, and the current records point the same way. Salisbury have scored in all five recent matches, while Braintree failed to score once and conceded 13 across their last five. Salisbury's 10 goals in that stretch against Braintree's 6 reflect the gap the model sees, with 2.96 expected goals for Salisbury against 1.29 for Braintree. The evidence supports Salisbury win.

Published 01 Nov 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Salisbury 2.96 – 1.29 Braintree · expected total 4.26

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Salisbury

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.80
Goals conceded (season avg)0.70
Best league winning streak this season3
Elo strength rating1521

Braintree

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)2.40
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1321
SalisburyBraintree
Goals scored (season avg)
1.80
1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)
0.70
2.40
Best league winning streak this season
3
2
Elo strength rating
1521
1321

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Salisbury

Won 2 in a row Unbeaten 10
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
3/6

Braintree

Won 2 in a row
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: National League South

Salisbury

Best defence (0.70 conceded/game, season) 2nd best clean sheets (6, season)

Braintree

3rd best Over 2.5 rate (83%, last 6)

Rank among 24 National League South teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Salisbury at home · Braintree away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Salisbury (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–1D–1L
W 4
D 1
L 1
Played6
Goals scored (avg)2.50
Goals conceded (avg)0.70
Clean sheets3
Failed to score0

Braintree (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–3L
W 1
D 1
L 3
Played5
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)3.40
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1
Salisbury (home)Braintree (away)
W 4
D 1
L 1
W 1
D 1
L 3
Played
6
5
Goals scored (avg)
2.50
2.00
Goals conceded (avg)
0.70
3.40
Clean sheets
3
0
Failed to score
0
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
8.32%
3–1
8.21%
2–0
6.43%
3–0
6.35%
4–1
6.08%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Braintree 0 wins · 0 draws · Salisbury 1 win · avg 3 goals · BTTS in 1 of 1

1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
08 Jan 2019 Salisbury 2–1 Braintree FA Trophy

📈 Recent Form

Salisbury

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Tonbridge Angels Away 2–1 W
27/10 Walton & Hersham Away 2–0 W
24/10 Dover Home 1–1 D
17/10 Eastbourne Borough Home 3–0 W
10/10 Farnham Town Away 2–1 W
03/10 Dulwich Hamlet Home 5–0 W
26/09 Folkestone Invicta Home 2–0 W
19/09 Taunton Town Home 4–1 W
15/09 Truro City Away 1–0 W
12/09 Ebbsfleet United Away 1–1 D

Braintree

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Hampton & Richmond Home 1–0 W
27/10 Dagenham & Redbridge Home 2–1 W
24/10 Farnham Town Away 0–6 L
13/10 West Ham United U21 Home 2–4 L
10/10 Truro City Home 1–2 L
06/10 Walton & Hersham Home 1–3 L
03/10 AFC Rushden & Diamonds Away 1–2 L
26/09 Dorking Wanderers Away 3–4 L
22/09 Needham Market Home 3–0 W
19/09 Needham Market Away 3–3 D

📊 Season Comparison: National League South

Salisbury #4 · 28 pts ·  Braintree #17 · 16 pts

Salisbury

Wins–Draws–Losses8W–4D–2L
W 8
D 4
L 2
Played14
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)0.70
Clean sheets6
Failed to score1
Yellow cards2
Red cards2
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0

Braintree

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–1D–8L
W 5
D 1
L 8
Played14
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)2.40
Clean sheets1
Failed to score3
Yellow cards0
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)2/1
SalisburyBraintree
W 8
D 4
L 2
W 5
D 1
L 8
Played
14
14
Goals scored (avg)
1.80
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
0.70
2.40
Clean sheets
6
1
Failed to score
1
3
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
2
1
Penalties (scored/missed)
2/0
2/1

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Salisbury

2
0-15
2
1
16-30
7
2
31-45
3
46-60
8
61-75
1
5
76-90
4
scored conceded

Braintree

4
0-15
4
4
16-30
1
5
31-45
3
9
46-60
3
4
61-75
3
8
76-90
7
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: National League South predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws