Leeds United U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 15:00 UTC+3 • Regular Season • LNER Community Stadium • ☁️ 8.4°C, 12 km/h, 0.2mm overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 54.2% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 82.3% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 87.5% · No 12.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 91.7% · Under 8.3% | — |
| Correct Score | 3-2 | Current price not available | 6.2% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Leeds United U21 · Home
Leeds United U21 have scored in four of their last five, including 2-2 against Stoke City U21 and 3-1 over Stockport County U21, though they failed to score once. Their model expected goals of 3.28 is the highest figure in this matchup.
AFC Bournemouth U21 · Away
AFC Bournemouth U21 have scored 15 goals across their last five, with 6-1 over Plymouth U21 and 3-3 at Brighton U21, but they have not kept a clean sheet. Their model expected goals of 2.4 still trails the home side.
Leeds edge high-scoring H2H
The latest head-to-head is the clearest angle: Leeds United U21 won 2-3 away at AFC Bournemouth U21 on 16 Feb 2024. Both teams arrive with open recent records, Leeds scoring 8 and conceding 12 in five, Bournemouth scoring 15 and conceding 12. The contract's 3-2 correct score fits that pattern, and the 3.28 versus 2.4 model expected goals gap supports a home edge. The evidence supports Leeds United U21 win.
Published 01 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Leeds United U21 3.28 – 2.40 AFC Bournemouth U21 · expected total 5.67
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Leeds United U21
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Leeds United U21
AFC Bournemouth U21
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Premier League 2 Division One
Leeds United U21
AFC Bournemouth U21
Rank among 28 Premier League 2 Division One teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Leeds United U21 at home · AFC Bournemouth U21 away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Leeds United U21 (home)
AFC Bournemouth U21 (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
AFC Bournemouth U21 0 wins · 0 draws · Leeds United U21 1 win · avg 5 goals · BTTS in 1 of 1
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb 2024 | AFC Bournemouth U21 | 2–3 | Leeds United U21 | Premier League Cup |
📈 Recent Form
Leeds United U21
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Stoke City U21 | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 18/10 | Crystal Palace U21 | Home | 1–4 | L |
| 13/10 | Oldham | Away | 2–4 | L |
| 09/10 | Stockport County U21 | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 06/10 | Tamworth | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 22/09 | Barnsley | Away | 4–3 | W |
| 19/09 | Newcastle United U21 | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 13/09 | Middlesbrough U21 | Away | 4–4 | D |
| 08/09 | Solihull Moors | Away | 3–2 | W |
| 04/09 | Charlton Athletic U21 | Away | 0–1 | L |
AFC Bournemouth U21
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Brentford U21 | Home | 3–4 | L |
| 18/10 | Brighton U21 | Away | 3–3 | D |
| 12/10 | Plymouth U21 | Home | 6–1 | W |
| 21/09 | Stoke City U21 | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 12/09 | Southampton U21 | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 04/09 | Leicester City U21 | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 31/08 | Middlesbrough U21 | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 21/08 | Chelsea U21 | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 14/08 | Cardiff City U21 | Away | 1–4 | L |
| 10/07 | Worthing | Home | 2–2 | D |
📊 Season Comparison: Premier League 2 Division One
Leeds United U21 #19 · 7 pts · AFC Bournemouth U21 #9 · 10 pts
Leeds United U21
AFC Bournemouth U21
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Leeds United U21
AFC Bournemouth U21
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Premier League 2 Division One predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws