Predictions → England Premier League 2 Division One

Stoke City U21 vs Fulham U21

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Fri, 06 Nov 2026 • 22:00 UTC+3 • Regular Season • Bet365 Stadium • 🌦 8.6°C, 5 km/h, 0.1mm drizzle

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available40.9% —
Double Chance 12 Current price not available80.3% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available84.7% · No 15.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available87.4% · Under 12.6% —
Correct Score 3-2 Current price not available5.7% —

🧠 Match Preview

Stoke City U21 · Home

Stoke City U21 are without a win in five, drawing 2-2 at Leeds United U21 and losing four, including a 0-2 home defeat to Nordsjælland U21. They have still scored in four of those five matches, with 8 goals in total.

Fulham U21 · Away

Fulham U21 have lost four of five, conceding 17 goals, including a 1-6 defeat at Leicester and a 2-4 loss at home to Brighton U21. Their only win was 2-1 at Brentford U21.

Stoke's H2H Edge Holds

The latest head-to-head is the strongest angle: Stoke City U21 beat Fulham U21 3-2 on 23 Mar 2026, and the two meetings before that ended 0-1 and 1-6. Fulham U21 have conceded 17 goals across their last five, while Stoke City U21 found the net in four of five. The model gives Stoke City U21 a model expected goals figure of 2.54 against 2.49 for Fulham U21, so a home win is realistic even though Stoke's recent record shows no wins. Historical draws and Fulham wins are evidence only, not the recommendation. The evidence supports Stoke City U21 win.

Published 01 Nov 2026 10:46 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Stoke City U21 2.54 – 2.49 Fulham U21 · expected total 5.03

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Stoke City U21

Form (last 5)
DLLLL
Goals scored (season avg)1.80
Goals conceded (season avg)1.80
Best league winning streak this season4
Elo strength rating1370

Fulham U21

Form (last 5)
LWLLL
Goals scored (season avg)2.70
Goals conceded (season avg)2.30
Best league winning streak this season4
Elo strength rating1740
Stoke City U21Fulham U21
DLLLL
LWLLL
Goals scored (season avg)
1.80
2.70
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.80
2.30
Best league winning streak this season
4
4
Elo strength rating
1370
1740

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Stoke City U21

Winless 8
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Fulham U21

BTTS
6/6
Over 2.5
6/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Premier League 2 Division One

Stoke City U21

3rd best BTTS rate (83%, last 6) 2nd best clean sheets (2, season)

Fulham U21

Best BTTS rate (100%, last 6) Best Over 2.5 rate (100%, last 6)

Rank among 28 Premier League 2 Division One teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Stoke City U21 at home · Fulham U21 away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Stoke City U21 (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–0D–2L
W 1
L 2
Played3
Goals scored (avg)2.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.70
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0

Fulham U21 (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–0D–1L
W 2
L 1
Played3
Goals scored (avg)2.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0
Stoke City U21 (home)Fulham U21 (away)
W 1
L 2
W 2
L 1
Played
3
3
Goals scored (avg)
2.30
2.30
Goals conceded (avg)
1.70
1.30
Clean sheets
1
1
Failed to score
0
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

3–2
5.7%
2–1
5.4%
3–1
4.57%
4–2
3.62%
4–3
3.01%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Fulham U21 2 wins · 0 draws · Stoke City U21 1 win · avg 4.3 goals · BTTS in 2 of 3

2
1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
23 Mar 2026 Stoke City U21 3–2 Fulham U21 Premier League 2 Division One
25 Oct 2024 Stoke City U21 0–1 Fulham U21 Premier League 2 Division One
11 Mar 2023 Stoke City U21 1–6 Fulham U21 Premier League Cup

📈 Recent Form

Stoke City U21

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Leeds United U21 Away 2–2 D
23/10 Manchester City U21 Away 3–4 L
20/10 Nordsjælland U21 Home 0–2 L
16/10 Chelsea U21 Home 1–2 L
13/10 FC Halifax Town Away 2–4 L
09/10 Charlton Athletic U21 Home 2–2 D
21/09 AFC Bournemouth U21 Away 1–2 L
16/09 Borussia M'gladbach II Home 0–2 L
11/09 Wolves U21 Home 4–0 W
08/09 Wealdstone Away 0–6 L

Fulham U21

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
23/10 Brighton U21 Home 2–4 L
18/10 Brentford U21 Away 2–1 W
13/10 Walsall Away 2–3 L
22/09 Leicester Away 1–6 L
19/09 Chelsea U21 Away 1–3 L
11/09 Aston Villa U21 Home 3–3 D
08/09 Braintree Away 1–2 L
31/08 Newcastle United U21 Away 4–0 W
26/08 Borussia Dortmund II Home 1–4 L
21/08 Burnley U21 Home 4–3 W

📊 Season Comparison: Premier League 2 Division One

Stoke City U21 #23 · 4 pts ·  Fulham U21 #8 · 10 pts

Stoke City U21

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–4L
W 1
D 1
L 4
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets2
Failed to score1
Yellow cards13
Red cards0
Corners for (avg)—
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0

Fulham U21

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–1D–2L
W 3
D 1
L 2
Played6
Goals scored (avg)2.70
Goals conceded (avg)2.30
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0
Yellow cards11
Red cards0
Corners for (avg)3.20
Penalties (scored/missed)3/0
Stoke City U21Fulham U21
W 1
D 1
L 4
W 3
D 1
L 2
Played
6
6
Goals scored (avg)
1.80
2.70
Goals conceded (avg)
1.80
2.30
Clean sheets
2
1
Failed to score
1
0
Yellow cards
13
11
Red cards
0
0
Corners for (avg)
—
3.20
Penalties (scored/missed)
2/0
3/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Stoke City U21

2
0-15
1
3
16-30
1
31-45
2
46-60
4
1
61-75
2
3
76-90
3
scored conceded

Fulham U21

2
0-15
2
1
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
3
46-60
2
1
61-75
3
6
76-90
5
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Premier League 2 Division One predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws