Burnley W vs Southampton W
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 15 Nov 2026 • 17:00 UTC+3 • Round 8 • Turf Moor
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 03 Nov 2026 10:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Away | Current price not available | 41.9% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 71.8% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 55% · No 45% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 49.8% · Under 50.2% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-2 | Current price not available | 9% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Model view
Model 1X2 split: Burnley W 29.9% · Draw 28.2% · Southampton W 41.9%. Selected outcome: Southampton W win.
Goals
Model expected goals: Burnley W 1.20, Southampton W 1.46, expected total 2.67.
Price check
No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.
Form / H2H
Burnley W: L-L-L-L-W in their last five matches.
Southampton W: D-W-L-L-D in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.
Limitations
Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Burnley W
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Burnley W
Southampton W
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Women's Championship
Burnley W
Southampton W
Rank among 12 Women's Championship teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Burnley W at home · Southampton W away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Burnley W (home)
Southampton W (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
📈 Recent Form
Burnley W
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Nottingham Forest W | Away | 0–4 | L |
| 28/10 | Manchester United W | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 25/10 | Sheffield United W | Home | 3–4 | L |
| 21/10 | Aston Villa W | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 18/10 | Durham W | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 04/10 | Nottingham Forest W | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 26/09 | Bristol City W | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 18/09 | Wolverhampton W | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 13/09 | Sunderland W | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 04/09 | Watford W | Away | 0–0 | D |
Southampton W
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Leicester City FC W | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 25/10 | Leicester City FC W | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 21/10 | Crystal Palace W | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 04/10 | Bristol City W | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 30/09 | West Ham W | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 27/09 | Nottingham Forest W | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 20/09 | Sunderland W | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 13/09 | Ipswich Town W | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 06/09 | Durham W | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 02/05 | Nottingham Forest W | Away | 3–0 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Women's Championship
Burnley W #11 · 2 pts · Southampton W #6 · 7 pts
Burnley W
Southampton W
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Burnley W
Southampton W
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Women's Championship predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws