Durham W vs Sunderland W
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 15:00 UTC+3 • Round 7 • Maiden Castle • ☀️ 8.5°C, 3 km/h clear
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Away | Current price not available | 50.1% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 77% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 68.7% · No 31.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 69.1% · Under 30.9% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-2 | Current price not available | 9.1% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Durham W · Home
Durham W have lost all five recent matches, conceding 20 goals and failing to score in two of them, including a 0-5 home defeat to Birmingham City W. Their latest meeting with Sunderland W ended 2-3 at home on 20 Feb 2026.
Sunderland W · Away
Sunderland W have won three of their last five, scoring nine goals, and have taken all three head-to-heads in the supplied data, including 2-3 and 2-1. Their model expected goals of 2.08 is the higher of the two forecasts.
Sunderland's H2H edge
The latest H2H on 20 Feb 2026 finished 2-3 to Sunderland W, and they also won the two prior meetings 2-1 and 2-0. Durham W's recent record of five defeats with 5 scored and 20 conceded contrasts with Sunderland W's three wins from five and nine goals scored. Sunderland W's model expected goals of 2.08 against Durham W's 1.49 supports the away side's edge in this fixture. The evidence supports Sunderland W win.
Published 31 Oct 2026 22:50 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Durham W 1.49 – 2.08 Sunderland W · expected total 3.58
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Durham W
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Durham W
Sunderland W
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Women's Championship
Durham W
Sunderland W
Rank among 12 Women's Championship teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Durham W at home · Sunderland W away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Durham W (home)
Sunderland W (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Durham W 1 win · 0 draws · Sunderland W 7 wins · avg 3.8 goals · BTTS in 6 of 8
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb 2026 | Durham W | 2–3 | Sunderland W | Women's Championship |
| 19 Sep 2025 | Sunderland W | 2–1 | Durham W | Women's Championship |
| 02 Mar 2025 | Sunderland W | 2–0 | Durham W | Women's Championship |
| 11 Dec 2024 | Sunderland W | 1–2 | Durham W | WSL Cup |
| 20 Oct 2024 | Durham W | 1–2 | Sunderland W | Women's Championship |
| 24 Mar 2024 | Sunderland W | 5–3 | Durham W | Women's Championship |
| 05 Nov 2023 | Durham W | 0–1 | Sunderland W | Women's Championship |
| 15 Jan 2023 | Sunderland W | 3–2 | Durham W | Women's Championship |
📈 Recent Form
Durham W
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Newcastle United W | Home | 1–5 | L |
| 25/10 | Watford W | Away | 2–4 | L |
| 21/10 | Birmingham City W | Home | 0–5 | L |
| 18/10 | Burnley W | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 04/10 | Newcastle United W | Home | 0–3 | L |
| 30/09 | Manchester United W | Home | 1–5 | L |
| 27/09 | Sheffield United W | Away | 1–4 | L |
| 20/09 | Nottingham Forest W | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 13/09 | Leicester City FC W | Away | 2–4 | L |
| 06/09 | Southampton W | Home | 1–3 | L |
Sunderland W
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Sheffield United W | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 25/10 | Ipswich Town W | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 18/10 | Newcastle United W | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 04/10 | Leicester City FC W | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 27/09 | Watford W | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 23/09 | Liverpool W | Away | 2–4 | L |
| 20/09 | Southampton W | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 13/09 | Burnley W | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 06/09 | Bristol City W | Home | 4–1 | W |
| 02/05 | Ipswich Town W | Away | 1–2 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Women's Championship
Durham W #12 · 0 pts · Sunderland W #3 · 13 pts
Durham W
Sunderland W
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Durham W
Sunderland W
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Women's Championship predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws