Sunderland W vs Newcastle United W
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 15 Nov 2026 • 17:00 UTC+3 • Round 8 • Stadium of Light • ☁️ 10.2°C, 24 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 10:09 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 44.4% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 75.4% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 66.5% · No 33.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 65% · Under 35% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 9% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Sunderland W · Home
Sunderland W have won four of their last five, including a 1-0 home win over Sheffield United W and a 3-1 home win over Leicester City FC W. Their model expected goals of 1.84 is the higher of the two sides.
Newcastle United W · Away
Newcastle United W have scored 10 goals across their last five but failed to score in two of them, including the latest H2H. Their away results include a 5-1 win at Durham W and a 2-2 draw at Nottingham Forest W.
Sunderland hold the H2H edge
The latest H2H, on 18 Oct 2026, ended 0-1 to Sunderland W away from home, and the earlier meeting at Sunderland finished 1-1. Sunderland W have won four of five recent matches with 8 goals for and 5 against, while Newcastle United W have two wins, one draw and two losses. Newcastle's 10 recent goals show they can score, but their two failed-to-score matches and the 0-1 H2H defeat support a home edge rather than an away one. The evidence supports Sunderland W win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 10:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Sunderland W 1.84 – 1.52 Newcastle United W · expected total 3.35
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Sunderland W
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Sunderland W
Newcastle United W
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Women's Championship
Sunderland W
Newcastle United W
Rank among 12 Women's Championship teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Sunderland W at home · Newcastle United W away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Sunderland W (home)
Newcastle United W (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Newcastle United W 3 wins · 1 draw · Sunderland W 1 win · avg 2.2 goals · BTTS in 3 of 5
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2026 | Newcastle United W | 0–1 | Sunderland W | WSL Cup |
| 29 Mar 2026 | Sunderland W | 1–1 | Newcastle United W | Women's Championship |
| 16 Nov 2025 | Newcastle United W | 3–1 | Sunderland W | Women's Championship |
| 23 Mar 2025 | Newcastle United W | 1–0 | Sunderland W | Women's Championship |
| 13 Oct 2024 | Sunderland W | 1–2 | Newcastle United W | Women's Championship |
📈 Recent Form
Sunderland W
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Sheffield United W | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 25/10 | Ipswich Town W | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 18/10 | Newcastle United W | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 04/10 | Leicester City FC W | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 27/09 | Watford W | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 23/09 | Liverpool W | Away | 2–4 | L |
| 20/09 | Southampton W | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 13/09 | Burnley W | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 06/09 | Bristol City W | Home | 4–1 | W |
| 02/05 | Ipswich Town W | Away | 1–2 | L |
Newcastle United W
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Durham W | Away | 5–1 | W |
| 25/10 | Nottingham Forest W | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 21/10 | Everton W | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 18/10 | Sunderland W | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 04/10 | Durham W | Away | 3–0 | W |
| 30/09 | Aston Villa W | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 27/09 | Leicester City FC W | Home | 4–0 | W |
| 20/09 | Sheffield United W | Home | 4–1 | W |
| 12/09 | Bristol City W | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 06/09 | Wolverhampton W | Home | 2–0 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Women's Championship
Sunderland W #3 · 13 pts · Newcastle United W #1 · 16 pts
Sunderland W
Newcastle United W
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Sunderland W
Newcastle United W
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Women's Championship predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws