Predictions → Germany 2. Bundesliga

1. FC Nürnberg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern

Next match: Sat, 24 Oct 2026 • 18:30 UTC+3 • Round 9 • Max-Morlock-Stadion

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Home 83% 54.1% 1.91 William Hill 52.1% +2 pp
Double Chance 1X 74% 75.4% 1.29 William Hill 75.6% -0.2 pp
BTTS Yes 83% 53.2% 1.52 1xBet 61.7% -8.5 pp
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 84% 55.6% 1.57 Pinnacle 60.8% -5.2 pp
Correct Score 2-1 64% 7.8% 8.00 William Hill 5.7% +2.1 pp
Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.9 exp.) Over 9.5 64% 54.9% — — — —

⚽ Model expected goals: 1. FC Nürnberg 1.98 – 1.18 1. FC Kaiserslautern · expected total 3.16

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

1. FC Nürnberg

Form (last 5)
DEnergie Cottbus (A) 1–1 · 16/10/2026DVfL Wolfsburg (H) 4–4 · 10/10/2026WFC Ingolstadt 04 (H) 3–1 · 02/10/2026WKarlsruher SC (A) 1–0 · 19/09/2026WHannover 96 (H) 2–1 · 11/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)2.60
Goals conceded (season avg)1.40
Win streak (best this season)3
xG for (recent avg)1.66
xG against (recent avg)1.96
Elo strength rating1562

1. FC Kaiserslautern

Form (last 5)
WVfL Bochum (H) 2–0 · 17/10/2026D1. FC Heidenheim (A) 0–0 · 09/10/2026DSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach (H) 1–1 · 02/10/2026WEintracht Braunschweig (H) 1–0 · 19/09/2026L1. FC Magdeburg (A) 0–3 · 12/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.00
Goals conceded (season avg)0.50
Win streak (best this season)2
xG for (recent avg)1.65
xG against (recent avg)1.00
Elo strength rating1593
1. FC Nürnberg1. FC Kaiserslautern
Goals scored (season avg)
2.60
1.00
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.40
0.50
Win streak (best this season)
3
2
xG for (recent avg)
1.66
1.65
xG against (recent avg)
1.96
1.00
Elo strength rating
1562
1593

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors — each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

1. FC Nürnberg

Unbeaten 10
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
6/6
Clean sheets
1/6

1. FC Kaiserslautern

Unbeaten 4
BTTS
1/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
4/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — 2. Bundesliga

1. FC Nürnberg

2nd best attack (2.60 goals/game) Best BTTS rate (83%)

1. FC Kaiserslautern

Best defence (0.50 conceded/game) Worst BTTS rate (17%) Best clean sheets (6)

Rank among 18 2. Bundesliga teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

1. FC Nürnberg at home · 1. FC Kaiserslautern away — the split that matters for this fixture.

1. FC Nürnberg (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–1D–0L
W 3
D 1
Played4
Goals scored (avg)3.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0

1. FC Kaiserslautern (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–2D–1L
W 1
D 2
L 1
Played4
Goals scored (avg)0.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets2
Failed to score3
1. FC Nürnberg (home)1. FC Kaiserslautern (away)
W 3
D 1
W 1
D 2
L 1
Played
4
4
Goals scored (avg)
3.30
0.50
Goals conceded (avg)
1.50
1.00
Clean sheets
1
2
Failed to score
0
3

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

2–1
7.8%
2–0
6.6%
1–0
5.9%
3–1
5.1%
3–0
4.3%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture — computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

1. FC Kaiserslautern 2 wins · 5 draws · 1. FC Nürnberg 2 wins · avg 2.4 goals · BTTS in 5 of 9

2
5
2
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
21 Mar 2026 1. FC Nürnberg 3–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern 2. Bundesliga
26 Oct 2025 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg 2. Bundesliga
12 Apr 2025 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1–2 1. FC Nürnberg 2. Bundesliga
08 Nov 2024 1. FC Nürnberg 0–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern 2. Bundesliga
18 Feb 2024 FC Nurnberg 1–1 FC Kaiserslautern 2. Bundesliga
05 Dec 2023 FC Kaiserslautern 2–0 FC Nurnberg DFB Pokal
02 Sep 2023 FC Kaiserslautern 3–1 FC Nurnberg 2. Bundesliga
07 May 2023 FC Nurnberg 3–3 FC Kaiserslautern 2. Bundesliga
29 Oct 2022 FC Kaiserslautern 0–0 FC Nurnberg 2. Bundesliga

📈 Recent Form

1. FC Nürnberg

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
16/10 Energie Cottbus Away 1–1 D
10/10 VfL Wolfsburg Home 4–4 D
02/10 FC Ingolstadt 04 Home 3–1 W
19/09 Karlsruher SC Away 1–0 W
11/09 Hannover 96 Home 2–1 W

1. FC Kaiserslautern

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17/10 VfL Bochum Home 2–0 W
09/10 1. FC Heidenheim Away 0–0 D
02/10 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Home 1–1 D
19/09 Eintracht Braunschweig Home 1–0 W
12/09 1. FC Magdeburg Away 0–3 L

📊 Season Comparison — 2. Bundesliga

1. FC Nürnberg #2 · 18 pts —  1. FC Kaiserslautern #4 · 15 pts

1. FC Nürnberg

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–3D–0L
W 5
D 3
Played8
Goals scored (avg)2.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets2
Failed to score0
Yellow cards18
Red cards0
xG for (avg)1.66
xG against (avg)1.96
Corners for (avg)6.40
Penalties (scored/missed)0/1

1. FC Kaiserslautern

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–3D–1L
W 4
D 3
L 1
Played8
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.50
Clean sheets6
Failed to score4
Yellow cards15
Red cards0
xG for (avg)1.65
xG against (avg)1.00
Corners for (avg)6.80
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
1. FC Nürnberg1. FC Kaiserslautern
W 5
D 3
W 4
D 3
L 1
Played
8
8
Goals scored (avg)
2.60
1.00
Goals conceded (avg)
1.40
0.50
Clean sheets
2
6
Failed to score
0
4
Yellow cards
18
15
Red cards
0
0
xG for (avg)
1.66
1.65
xG against (avg)
1.96
1.00
Corners for (avg)
6.40
6.80
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/1
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

1. FC Nürnberg

2
0-15
3
2
16-30
3
2
31-45
4
2
46-60
4
61-75
5
3
76-90
2
scored conceded

1. FC Kaiserslautern

1
0-15
1
16-30
1
31-45
2
2
46-60
1
61-75
3
76-90
1
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: 2. Bundesliga predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws