Predictions → Germany 2. Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden

Next match: Sun, 25 Oct 2026 • 12:30 UTC+3 • Round 9 • Holstein-Stadion

PREDICTLIX BEST BET
BTTS — No
Model 45.4% · Market best price ≈ 40.8% · Edge +7.3 pp
Best odds 2.45 BetVictor 2.451xBet 2.42William Hill 2.40
Bet this pick →
¼ Kelly sizing: 1.9% of bank

Snapshotted at publish: pick + best price. Prices move constantly — confirm at the bookmaker. 18+, gamble responsibly.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Home 79% 43% 2.19 Pinnacle 44.6% -1.6 pp
Double Chance 1X 71% 71.7% 1.38 1xBet 68.6% +3.1 pp
BTTS No 79% 45.4% 2.45 BetVictor 38.1% +7.3 pp
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 80% 47.6% 2.36 Pinnacle 40.6% +7 pp
Correct Score 1-0 64% 8.2% 11.00 1xBet 4.1% +4.1 pp
Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.1 exp.) Over 9.5 62% 53.4% — — — —

⚽ Model expected goals: Holstein Kiel 1.52 – 1.06 Dynamo Dresden · expected total 2.58

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Holstein Kiel

Form (last 5)
DHertha BSC (H) 0–0 · 16/10/2026LEintracht Braunschweig (A) 0–1 · 09/10/2026WViborg (H) 3–1 · 03/10/2026DVfL Osnabrück (H) 1–1 · 19/09/2026L1. FC Heidenheim (A) 0–1 · 13/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)0.90
Goals conceded (season avg)1.40
Win streak (best this season)0
xG for (recent avg)1.12
xG against (recent avg)1.67
Elo strength rating1391

Dynamo Dresden

Form (last 5)
W1. FC Magdeburg (H) 2–0 · 18/10/2026DVfL Osnabrück (A) 1–1 · 10/10/2026LTeplice (A) 0–2 · 02/10/2026LHertha BSC (H) 1–2 · 19/09/2026DEintracht Braunschweig (A) 2–2 · 12/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.40
Goals conceded (season avg)1.90
Win streak (best this season)1
xG for (recent avg)0.64
xG against (recent avg)1.47
Elo strength rating1434
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
Goals scored (season avg)
0.90
1.40
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.40
1.90
Win streak (best this season)
0
1
xG for (recent avg)
1.12
0.64
xG against (recent avg)
1.67
1.47
Elo strength rating
1391
1434

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors — each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Holstein Kiel

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
3/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Dynamo Dresden

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — 2. Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel

2nd worst attack (0.90 goals/game)

Dynamo Dresden

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 18 2. Bundesliga teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Holstein Kiel at home · Dynamo Dresden away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Holstein Kiel (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–4D–0L
D 4
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1

Dynamo Dresden (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–2D–2L
D 2
L 2
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)2.80
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1
Holstein Kiel (home)Dynamo Dresden (away)
D 4
D 2
L 2
Played
4
4
Goals scored (avg)
1.30
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
1.30
2.80
Clean sheets
1
0
Failed to score
1
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

1–0
8.2%
2–1
7.4%
2–0
7%
3–1
3.7%
3–0
3.5%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture — computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Dynamo Dresden 1 win · 1 draw · Holstein Kiel 8 wins · avg 2.6 goals · BTTS in 4 of 10

1
1
8
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
17 May 2026 Dynamo Dresden 2–1 Holstein Kiel 2. Bundesliga
20 Dec 2025 Holstein Kiel 2–1 Dynamo Dresden 2. Bundesliga
16 Apr 2022 Dynamo Dresden 0–0 Holstein Kiel 2. Bundesliga
05 Nov 2021 Holstein Kiel 2–1 Dynamo Dresden 2. Bundesliga
18 Jun 2020 Holstein Kiel 2–0 Dynamo Dresden 2. Bundesliga
30 Nov 2019 Dynamo Dresden 1–2 Holstein Kiel 2. Bundesliga
12 May 2019 Holstein Kiel 3–0 Dynamo Dresden 2. Bundesliga
09 Dec 2018 Dynamo Dresden 0–2 Holstein Kiel 2. Bundesliga
14 Apr 2018 Dynamo Dresden 0–4 Holstein Kiel 2. Bundesliga
05 Nov 2017 Holstein Kiel 3–0 Dynamo Dresden 2. Bundesliga

📈 Recent Form

Holstein Kiel

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
16/10 Hertha BSC Home 0–0 D
09/10 Eintracht Braunschweig Away 0–1 L
03/10 Viborg Home 3–1 W
19/09 VfL Osnabrück Home 1–1 D
13/09 1. FC Heidenheim Away 0–1 L

Dynamo Dresden

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18/10 1. FC Magdeburg Home 2–0 W
10/10 VfL Osnabrück Away 1–1 D
02/10 Teplice Away 0–2 L
19/09 Hertha BSC Home 1–2 L
12/09 Eintracht Braunschweig Away 2–2 D

📊 Season Comparison — 2. Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel #18 · 5 pts —  Dynamo Dresden #11 · 8 pts

Holstein Kiel

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–5D–3L
D 5
L 3
Played8
Goals scored (avg)0.90
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets1
Failed to score4
Yellow cards25
Red cards2
xG for (avg)1.12
xG against (avg)1.67
Corners for (avg)4.70
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Dynamo Dresden

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–4L
W 2
D 2
L 4
Played8
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.90
Clean sheets2
Failed to score1
Yellow cards16
Red cards1
xG for (avg)0.64
xG against (avg)1.47
Corners for (avg)7.50
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
D 5
L 3
W 2
D 2
L 4
Played
8
8
Goals scored (avg)
0.90
1.40
Goals conceded (avg)
1.40
1.90
Clean sheets
1
2
Failed to score
4
1
Yellow cards
25
16
Red cards
2
1
xG for (avg)
1.12
0.64
xG against (avg)
1.67
1.47
Corners for (avg)
4.70
7.50
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Holstein Kiel

1
0-15
1
16-30
3
31-45
3
1
46-60
2
1
61-75
1
4
76-90
1
scored conceded

Dynamo Dresden

3
0-15
4
2
16-30
1
1
31-45
2
46-60
1
3
61-75
2
5
76-90
2
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

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