Predictions → Germany 2. Bundesliga

Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Next match: Fri, 06 Nov 2026 • 17:30 UTC+3 • Round 11 • Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Home 78% 40.1% — — — —
Double Chance 1X 69% 69.3% — — — —
BTTS No 79% 45.9% — — — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 80% 47.2% — — — —
Correct Score 1-0 64% 8.1% — — — —
Corners O/U 9.5 (~11.7 exp.) Over 9.5 66% 56.4% — — — —

⚽ Model expected goals: Dynamo Dresden 1.42 – 1.09 SpVgg Greuther Fürth · expected total 2.51

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Dynamo Dresden

Form (last 5)
W1. FC Magdeburg (H) 2–0 · 18/10/2026DVfL Osnabrück (A) 1–1 · 10/10/2026LTeplice (A) 0–2 · 02/10/2026LHertha BSC (H) 1–2 · 19/09/2026DEintracht Braunschweig (A) 2–2 · 12/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.40
Goals conceded (season avg)1.90
Win streak (best this season)1
xG for (recent avg)0.64
xG against (recent avg)1.47
Elo strength rating1434

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Form (last 5)
WEintracht Braunschweig (H) 2–0 · 17/10/2026LHertha BSC (A) 1–2 · 11/10/2026LVfB Stuttgart (A) 0–5 · 01/10/2026D1. FC Magdeburg (H) 1–1 · 18/09/2026DVfL Bochum (A) 1–1 · 12/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)1.60
Win streak (best this season)1
xG for (recent avg)1.01
xG against (recent avg)1.33
Elo strength rating1364
Dynamo DresdenSpVgg Greuther Fürth
Goals scored (season avg)
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.90
1.60
Win streak (best this season)
1
1
xG for (recent avg)
0.64
1.01
xG against (recent avg)
1.47
1.33
Elo strength rating
1434
1364

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors — each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Dynamo Dresden

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
1/6

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Dynamo Dresden at home · SpVgg Greuther Fürth away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Dynamo Dresden (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–0D–2L
W 2
L 2
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets2
Failed to score0

SpVgg Greuther Fürth (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–2D–1L
W 1
D 2
L 1
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Dynamo Dresden (home)SpVgg Greuther Fürth (away)
W 2
L 2
W 1
D 2
L 1
Played
4
4
Goals scored (avg)
1.30
1.80
Goals conceded (avg)
1.00
1.80
Clean sheets
2
0
Failed to score
0
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

1–0
8.1%
2–1
7%
2–0
6.4%
3–1
3.3%
3–0
3%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture — computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Dynamo Dresden 2 wins · 3 draws · SpVgg Greuther Fürth 5 wins · avg 1.9 goals · BTTS in 4 of 10

2
3
5
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
17 Jan 2026 Dynamo Dresden 2–0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2. Bundesliga
03 Aug 2025 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3–2 Dynamo Dresden 2. Bundesliga
09 Jun 2020 Dynamo Dresden 1–1 SpVgg Greuther Furth 2. Bundesliga
18 Oct 2019 SpVgg Greuther Furth 2–0 Dynamo Dresden 2. Bundesliga
04 Apr 2019 SpVgg Greuther Furth 0–0 Dynamo Dresden 2. Bundesliga
30 Sep 2018 Dynamo Dresden 0–1 SpVgg Greuther Furth 2. Bundesliga
11 Feb 2018 SpVgg Greuther Furth 1–0 Dynamo Dresden 2. Bundesliga
08 Sep 2017 Dynamo Dresden 1–1 SpVgg Greuther Furth 2. Bundesliga
21 Apr 2017 SpVgg Greuther Furth 1–0 Dynamo Dresden 2. Bundesliga
20 Nov 2016 Dynamo Dresden 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Furth 2. Bundesliga

📈 Recent Form

Dynamo Dresden

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18/10 1. FC Magdeburg Home 2–0 W
10/10 VfL Osnabrück Away 1–1 D
02/10 Teplice Away 0–2 L
19/09 Hertha BSC Home 1–2 L
12/09 Eintracht Braunschweig Away 2–2 D

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17/10 Eintracht Braunschweig Home 2–0 W
11/10 Hertha BSC Away 1–2 L
01/10 VfB Stuttgart Away 0–5 L
18/09 1. FC Magdeburg Home 1–1 D
12/09 VfL Bochum Away 1–1 D

📊 Season Comparison — 2. Bundesliga

Dynamo Dresden #11 · 8 pts —  SpVgg Greuther Fürth #10 · 9 pts

Dynamo Dresden

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–4L
W 2
D 2
L 4
Played8
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.90
Clean sheets2
Failed to score1
Yellow cards16
Red cards1
xG for (avg)0.64
xG against (avg)1.47
Corners for (avg)7.50
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–3D–3L
W 2
D 3
L 3
Played8
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.60
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1
Yellow cards8
Red cards0
xG for (avg)1.01
xG against (avg)1.33
Corners for (avg)7.60
Penalties (scored/missed)2/1
Dynamo DresdenSpVgg Greuther Fürth
W 2
D 2
L 4
W 2
D 3
L 3
Played
8
8
Goals scored (avg)
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
1.90
1.60
Clean sheets
2
1
Failed to score
1
1
Yellow cards
16
8
Red cards
1
0
xG for (avg)
0.64
1.01
xG against (avg)
1.47
1.33
Corners for (avg)
7.50
7.60
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
2/1

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Dynamo Dresden

3
0-15
4
2
16-30
1
1
31-45
2
46-60
1
3
61-75
2
5
76-90
2
scored conceded

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

3
0-15
2
16-30
2
1
31-45
3
3
46-60
1
3
61-75
3
2
76-90
2
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: 2. Bundesliga predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws