Predictions → Germany 2. Bundesliga

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel

Next match: Sun, 01 Nov 2026 • 12:30 UTC+3 • Round 10 • Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Home 83% 54.1% — — — —
Double Chance 1X 75% 76.7% — — — —
BTTS No 81% 50% — — — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 82% 51.8% — — — —
Correct Score 1-0 66% 9% — — — —
Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.3 exp.) Over 9.5 62% 53.6% — — — —

⚽ Model expected goals: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1.65 – 0.94 Holstein Kiel · expected total 2.59

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Form (last 5)
WEintracht Braunschweig (H) 2–0 · 17/10/2026LHertha BSC (A) 1–2 · 11/10/2026LVfB Stuttgart (A) 0–5 · 01/10/2026D1. FC Magdeburg (H) 1–1 · 18/09/2026DVfL Bochum (A) 1–1 · 12/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)1.60
Win streak (best this season)1
xG for (recent avg)1.01
xG against (recent avg)1.33
Elo strength rating1364

Holstein Kiel

Form (last 5)
DHertha BSC (H) 0–0 · 16/10/2026LEintracht Braunschweig (A) 0–1 · 09/10/2026WViborg (H) 3–1 · 03/10/2026DVfL Osnabrück (H) 1–1 · 19/09/2026L1. FC Heidenheim (A) 0–1 · 13/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)0.90
Goals conceded (season avg)1.40
Win streak (best this season)0
xG for (recent avg)1.12
xG against (recent avg)1.67
Elo strength rating1391
SpVgg Greuther FürthHolstein Kiel
Goals scored (season avg)
1.50
0.90
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.60
1.40
Win streak (best this season)
1
0
xG for (recent avg)
1.01
1.12
xG against (recent avg)
1.33
1.67
Elo strength rating
1364
1391

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors — each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Holstein Kiel

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
3/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — 2. Bundesliga

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Holstein Kiel

2nd worst attack (0.90 goals/game)

Rank among 18 2. Bundesliga teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

SpVgg Greuther Fürth at home · Holstein Kiel away — the split that matters for this fixture.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–2L
W 1
D 1
L 2
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1

Holstein Kiel (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–1D–3L
D 1
L 3
Played4
Goals scored (avg)0.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets0
Failed to score3
SpVgg Greuther Fürth (home)Holstein Kiel (away)
W 1
D 1
L 2
D 1
L 3
Played
4
4
Goals scored (avg)
1.30
0.50
Goals conceded (avg)
1.50
1.50
Clean sheets
1
0
Failed to score
1
3

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

1–0
9%
2–0
8.2%
2–1
7.7%
3–0
4.5%
3–1
4.3%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture — computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Holstein Kiel 4 wins · 2 draws · SpVgg Greuther Fürth 4 wins · avg 3 goals · BTTS in 8 of 10

4
2
4
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
31 Jan 2026 Holstein Kiel 1–2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2. Bundesliga
24 Aug 2025 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0–2 Holstein Kiel 2. Bundesliga
28 Jan 2024 SpVgg Greuther Furth 2–1 Holstein Kiel 2. Bundesliga
05 Aug 2023 Holstein Kiel 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Furth 2. Bundesliga
28 Jan 2023 Holstein Kiel 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Furth 2. Bundesliga
16 Jul 2022 SpVgg Greuther Furth 2–2 Holstein Kiel 2. Bundesliga
22 Feb 2021 SpVgg Greuther Furth 2–1 Holstein Kiel 2. Bundesliga
24 Oct 2020 Holstein Kiel 1–3 SpVgg Greuther Furth 2. Bundesliga
08 Mar 2020 Holstein Kiel 1–1 SpVgg Greuther Furth 2. Bundesliga
29 Sep 2019 SpVgg Greuther Furth 0–3 Holstein Kiel 2. Bundesliga

📈 Recent Form

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17/10 Eintracht Braunschweig Home 2–0 W
11/10 Hertha BSC Away 1–2 L
01/10 VfB Stuttgart Away 0–5 L
18/09 1. FC Magdeburg Home 1–1 D
12/09 VfL Bochum Away 1–1 D

Holstein Kiel

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
16/10 Hertha BSC Home 0–0 D
09/10 Eintracht Braunschweig Away 0–1 L
03/10 Viborg Home 3–1 W
19/09 VfL Osnabrück Home 1–1 D
13/09 1. FC Heidenheim Away 0–1 L

📊 Season Comparison — 2. Bundesliga

SpVgg Greuther Fürth #10 · 9 pts —  Holstein Kiel #18 · 5 pts

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–3D–3L
W 2
D 3
L 3
Played8
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.60
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1
Yellow cards8
Red cards0
xG for (avg)1.01
xG against (avg)1.33
Corners for (avg)7.60
Penalties (scored/missed)2/1

Holstein Kiel

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–5D–3L
D 5
L 3
Played8
Goals scored (avg)0.90
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets1
Failed to score4
Yellow cards25
Red cards2
xG for (avg)1.12
xG against (avg)1.67
Corners for (avg)4.70
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
SpVgg Greuther FürthHolstein Kiel
W 2
D 3
L 3
D 5
L 3
Played
8
8
Goals scored (avg)
1.50
0.90
Goals conceded (avg)
1.60
1.40
Clean sheets
1
1
Failed to score
1
4
Yellow cards
8
25
Red cards
0
2
xG for (avg)
1.01
1.12
xG against (avg)
1.33
1.67
Corners for (avg)
7.60
4.70
Penalties (scored/missed)
2/1
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

3
0-15
2
16-30
2
1
31-45
3
3
46-60
1
3
61-75
3
2
76-90
2
scored conceded

Holstein Kiel

1
0-15
1
16-30
3
31-45
3
1
46-60
2
1
61-75
1
4
76-90
1
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: 2. Bundesliga predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws