Predictions → Germany Frauen Bundesliga

Nürnberg W vs FC Koln W

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sun, 15 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Round 10 • Max-Morlock-Stadion • ☁️ 6.4°C, 1 km/h overcast

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available42.5% —
Double Chance 12 Current price not available79.3% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available80.9% · No 19.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available83% · Under 17% —
Correct Score 2-1 Current price not available6.5% —
Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.3 exp.) Under 9.5 Current price not available51.4% · Over 48.6% —

🧠 Match Preview

Nürnberg W · Home

Nürnberg W have scored in all five recent matches, including a 2-0 home win over Bayer Leverkusen W and a 10-0 away rout at Buntentor W. Their recent xG for those matches with recorded statistics is 1.51, while the model expects 2.36 goals here.

FC Koln W · Away

FC Koln W won three of five but failed to score twice, including a 0-3 loss at VfL Wolfsburg W. Their recent xG over the same window is 0.93, well below the model's 2.2 expected goals for this fixture.

Koln's H2H edge meets home scoring

The latest H2H, on 22 Mar 2026, ended 1-2 to FC Koln W, and the previous meeting finished 3-0 in Koln's favour, so the historical series leans away. Yet Nürnberg W have failed to score in none of their last five and carry a 1.51 recent xG, against Koln's 0.93. The model's 2.36 home expected goals and 80.9% BTTS probability point to a scoring home side rather than a repeat of those defeats. The evidence supports Nürnberg W win.

Published 01 Nov 2026 04:46 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Nürnberg W 2.36 – 2.20 FC Koln W · expected total 4.56

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Nürnberg W

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)2.90
Best league winning streak this season2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.51
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.79
Elo strength rating1430

FC Koln W

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Best league winning streak this season3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.93
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.31
Elo strength rating1510
Nürnberg WFC Koln W
Goals scored (season avg)
1.50
1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)
2.90
1.50
Best league winning streak this season
2
3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.51
0.93
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.79
1.31
Elo strength rating
1430
1510

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Nürnberg W

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
3/6

FC Koln W

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Frauen Bundesliga

Nürnberg W

2nd worst defence (2.90 conceded/game, season)

FC Koln W

Best clean sheets (3, season)

Rank among 14 Frauen Bundesliga teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Nürnberg W at home · FC Koln W away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Nürnberg W (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–2L
W 1
D 1
L 2
Played4
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)3.30
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0

FC Koln W (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–0D–3L
W 1
L 3
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)2.50
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2
Nürnberg W (home)FC Koln W (away)
W 1
D 1
L 2
W 1
L 3
Played
4
4
Goals scored (avg)
2.00
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
3.30
2.50
Clean sheets
1
1
Failed to score
0
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
6.54%
3–2
5.65%
3–1
5.15%
4–2
3.33%
4–1
3.04%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

FC Koln W 3 wins · 0 draws · Nürnberg W 1 win · avg 4.3 goals · BTTS in 3 of 4

3
1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
22 Mar 2026 Nürnberg W 1–2 FC Koln W Frauen Bundesliga
31 Oct 2025 FC Koln W 3–0 Nürnberg W Frauen Bundesliga
23 Mar 2024 FC Koln W 3–4 Nürnberg W Frauen Bundesliga
05 Nov 2023 Nürnberg W 1–3 FC Koln W Frauen Bundesliga

📈 Recent Form

Nürnberg W

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Eintracht Frankfurt W Home 0–0 D
25/10 Bayer Leverkusen W Home 2–0 W
18/10 Union Berlin W Away 1–2 L
04/10 1899 Hoffenheim W Home 1–2 L
27/09 Buntentor W Away 10–0 W
20/09 Hamburger SV W Away 1–5 L
12/09 RB Leipzig W Away 1–2 L
06/09 Stuttgart W Home 3–3 D
30/08 Eintracht Frankfurt W Away 1–1 D
22/08 VfL Wolfsburg W Home 2–8 L

FC Koln W

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 RB Leipzig W Home 1–0 W
24/10 VfL Wolfsburg W Away 0–3 L
17/10 Hamburger SV W Home 3–1 W
03/10 SC Freiburg W Home 0–1 L
26/09 Hertha Berlin W Away 2–1 W
19/09 Bayern Munich W Away 2–5 L
12/09 Union Berlin W Home 3–0 W
05/09 Mainz 05 W Away 4–0 W
28/08 1899 Hoffenheim W Home 1–0 W
22/08 Eintracht Frankfurt W Away 0–2 L

📊 Season Comparison: Frauen Bundesliga

Nürnberg W #13 · 5 pts ·  FC Koln W #6 · 12 pts

Nürnberg W

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–2D–5L
W 1
D 2
L 5
Played8
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)2.90
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0
Yellow cards22
Red cards2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.51
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.79
Corners for (avg)5.00
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

FC Koln W

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–0D–4L
W 4
L 4
Played8
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets3
Failed to score3
Yellow cards22
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.93
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.31
Corners for (avg)3.80
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
Nürnberg WFC Koln W
W 1
D 2
L 5
W 4
L 4
Played
8
8
Goals scored (avg)
1.50
1.60
Goals conceded (avg)
2.90
1.50
Clean sheets
1
3
Failed to score
0
3
Yellow cards
22
22
Red cards
2
0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.51
0.93
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.79
1.31
Corners for (avg)
5.00
3.80
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Nürnberg W

1
0-15
1
2
16-30
2
3
31-45
3
3
46-60
1
6
61-75
2
8
76-90
3
scored conceded

FC Koln W

4
0-15
1
16-30
3
2
31-45
3
2
46-60
3
3
61-75
1
76-90
3
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Frauen Bundesliga predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws