Predictions → Italy Campionato Primavera 2

Bari U19 vs Monopoli U19

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Round 8 • ⛅ 15.9°C, 8 km/h partly cloudy

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available42.8% —
Double Chance 12 Current price not available73.9% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available61.8% · No 38.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available58.5% · Under 41.5% —
Correct Score 2-1 Current price not available9.1% —

🧠 Match Preview

Bari U19 · Home

Bari U19 have won the latest H2H 2-1 and lead the head-to-head series 3-0, including a 1-0 home win and a 3-1 away win. Their recent record is modest at 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 4 goals for and 4 against, but the model gives them 1.66 expected goals.

Monopoli U19 · Away

Monopoli U19 are unbeaten in five with 2 wins and 3 draws, scoring 8 and conceding 4, and they kept clean sheets in 3 of those matches. Yet they have lost all three H2H meetings, including 1-3 away and 1-2 at Bari.

H2H Dominance Backs Bari

The clearest angle is the head-to-head: Bari U19 have won all three meetings, scoring 2, 3 and 1 goals. Monopoli U19's unbeaten five-match run (2 wins, 3 draws, 8 goals for) is real, but it has not translated against this opponent. Bari's latest H2H win was 2-1, and the model's 1.66 expected goals for Bari against 1.39 for Monopoli supports a narrow home edge rather than a comfortable one. The evidence supports Bari U19 win.

Published 02 Nov 2026 04:48 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Bari U19 1.66 – 1.39 Monopoli U19 · expected total 3.04

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Bari U19

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)0.80
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1348

Monopoli U19

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.70
Goals conceded (season avg)1.00
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1369
Bari U19Monopoli U19
Goals scored (season avg)
1.50
1.70
Goals conceded (season avg)
0.80
1.00
Best league winning streak this season
2
2
Elo strength rating
1348
1369

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Bari U19

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Monopoli U19

Unbeaten 5
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
3/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Campionato Primavera 2

Bari U19

2nd best defence (0.80 conceded/game, season)

Monopoli U19

Best clean sheets (4, season)

Rank among 32 Campionato Primavera 2 teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Bari U19 at home · Monopoli U19 away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Bari U19 (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–1L
W 1
D 1
L 1
Played3
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1

Monopoli U19 (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–0D–1L
W 2
L 1
Played3
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets2
Failed to score1
Bari U19 (home)Monopoli U19 (away)
W 1
D 1
L 1
W 2
L 1
Played
3
3
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
1.00
1.00
Clean sheets
0
2
Failed to score
1
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
9.09%
1–0
6.82%
2–0
6.55%
3–1
5.02%
3–0
3.62%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Bari U19 4 wins · 0 draws · Monopoli U19 2 wins · avg 1.8 goals · BTTS in 2 of 6

4
2
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
07 Mar 2026 Bari U19 2–1 Monopoli U19 Campionato Primavera - 2
01 Nov 2025 Monopoli U19 1–3 Bari U19 Campionato Primavera - 2
25 Jan 2025 Bari U19 1–0 Monopoli U19 Campionato Primavera - 2
15 Sep 2024 Monopoli U19 1–0 Bari U19 Campionato Primavera - 2
06 Apr 2024 Monopoli U19 1–0 Bari U19 Campionato Primavera - 2
02 Dec 2023 Bari U19 1–0 Monopoli U19 Campionato Primavera - 2

📈 Recent Form

Bari U19

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Pisa U19 Away 2–1 W
27/10 Torino U20 Away 1–1 D
24/10 Pescara U19 Home 0–1 L
17/10 Napoli U19 Home 1–1 D
10/10 Latina U19 Away 0–0 D
26/09 Palermo U19 Home 3–2 W
19/09 Palermo U19 Away 2–2 D
12/09 Ascoli U19 Home 2–1 W
05/09 Salernitana U19 Away 4–0 W
29/08 Padova U19 Home 1–0 W

Monopoli U19

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Napoli U19 Home 0–0 D
24/10 Ascoli U19 Away 2–0 W
17/10 Benevento U19 Home 2–2 D
10/10 Spezia U19 Away 2–0 W
19/09 Pescara U19 Home 2–2 D
12/09 Perugia U19 Away 0–3 L
05/09 Cosenza U19 Home 4–0 W
22/08 Brescia U19 Home 2–3 L
09/05 Cosenza U19 Home 1–1 D
02/05 Catanzaro U19 Away 0–3 L

📊 Season Comparison: Campionato Primavera 2

Bari U19 #6 · 12 pts ·  Monopoli U19 #5 · 12 pts

Bari U19

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–3D–1L
W 3
D 3
L 1
Played7
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Monopoli U19

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–3D–1L
W 3
D 3
L 1
Played7
Goals scored (avg)1.70
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets4
Failed to score2
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0
Bari U19Monopoli U19
W 3
D 3
L 1
W 3
D 3
L 1
Played
7
7
Goals scored (avg)
1.50
1.70
Goals conceded (avg)
0.80
1.00
Clean sheets
2
4
Failed to score
2
2
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
2/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Bari U19

0-15
1
16-30
2
1
31-45
3
2
46-60
2
61-75
1
1
76-90
1
scored conceded

Monopoli U19

1
0-15
4
16-30
1
2
31-45
1
46-60
2
61-75
1
1
76-90
3
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

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