Predictions → Italy Campionato Primavera 2

Brescia U19 vs Padova U19

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Round 8 • ⛅ 11.7°C, 4 km/h partly cloudy

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available51.4% —
Double Chance 12 Current price not available80.5% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available81.7% · No 18.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available85.1% · Under 14.9% —
Correct Score 2-1 Current price not available6.6% —

🧠 Match Preview

Brescia U19 · Home

Brescia U19 have won only once in their last five, but that win came at home, 2-1 against Modena U19. Their home matches in this run produced goals at both ends, including a 1-3 loss to Lecco U19.

Padova U19 · Away

Padova U19 have also won once in five, though their away record includes a 2-0 win at Cittadella U19. They failed to score at home against Sampdoria U19 in a 0-4 defeat.

Brescia's home edge in H2H

The latest head-to-head is the clearest angle: Brescia U19 won 2-3 at Padova U19 on 21 Mar 2026. Brescia also won the earlier home meeting 3-1, while Padova's 1-2 away win is the counterweight. Both teams have scored 5 goals across their last five matches, and Brescia's model expected goals of 2.73 sit above Padova's 2.06. The evidence supports Brescia U19 win.

Published 01 Nov 2026 10:46 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Brescia U19 2.72 – 2.05 Padova U19 · expected total 4.77

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Brescia U19

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.40
Goals conceded (season avg)2.10
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1303

Padova U19

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.40
Goals conceded (season avg)1.60
Best league winning streak this season3
Elo strength rating1362
Brescia U19Padova U19
Goals scored (season avg)
1.40
1.40
Goals conceded (season avg)
2.10
1.60
Best league winning streak this season
2
3
Elo strength rating
1303
1362

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Brescia U19

Winless 4
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Padova U19

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Campionato Primavera 2

Brescia U19

Best BTTS rate (83%, last 6) 2nd best Over 2.5 rate (83%, last 6)

Padova U19

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 32 Campionato Primavera 2 teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Brescia U19 at home · Padova U19 away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Brescia U19 (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–0D–1L
W 2
L 1
Played3
Goals scored (avg)2.30
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0

Padova U19 (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–0D–2L
W 2
L 2
Played4
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets2
Failed to score0
Brescia U19 (home)Padova U19 (away)
W 2
L 1
W 2
L 2
Played
3
4
Goals scored (avg)
2.30
2.00
Goals conceded (avg)
2.00
1.50
Clean sheets
0
2
Failed to score
0
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
6.6%
3–2
6.14%
3–1
5.98%
4–2
4.17%
4–1
4.07%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Brescia U19 7 wins · 0 draws · Padova U19 1 win · avg 4.5 goals · BTTS in 7 of 8

7
1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
21 Mar 2026 Padova U19 2–3 Brescia U19 Campionato Primavera - 2
13 Dec 2025 Brescia U19 1–2 Padova U19 Campionato Primavera - 2
12 Apr 2025 Brescia U19 3–1 Padova U19 Campionato Primavera - 2
11 Jan 2025 Padova U19 2–5 Brescia U19 Campionato Primavera - 2
20 Apr 2024 Brescia U19 3–1 Padova U19 Campionato Primavera - 2
16 Dec 2023 Padova U19 3–5 Brescia U19 Campionato Primavera - 2
04 Mar 2023 Brescia U19 2–0 Padova U19 Campionato Primavera - 2
22 Oct 2022 Padova U19 1–2 Brescia U19 Campionato Primavera - 2

📈 Recent Form

Brescia U19

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Renate U19 Away 0–0 D
27/10 Monza U20 Away 1–5 L
24/10 Lecco U19 Home 1–3 L
17/10 Sampdoria U19 Away 1–5 L
10/10 Modena U19 Home 2–1 W
26/09 Venezia U19 Home 3–2 W
19/09 Venezia U19 Away 1–1 D
12/09 Udinese U19 Home 4–2 W
05/09 Virtus Entella U19 Away 1–3 L
22/08 Monopoli U19 Away 3–2 W

Padova U19

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Mantova U19 Home 1–1 D
24/10 Cittadella U19 Away 2–0 W
17/10 Renate U19 Away 1–2 L
10/10 Sampdoria U19 Home 0–4 L
19/09 Virtus Entella U19 Away 1–4 L
12/09 Reggiana U19 Home 1–0 W
05/09 Udinese U19 Away 4–0 W
29/08 Bari U19 Away 0–1 L
23/05 Venezia U19 Away 1–0 W
16/05 Venezia U19 Home 1–1 D

📊 Season Comparison: Campionato Primavera 2

Brescia U19 #10 · 8 pts ·  Padova U19 #9 · 10 pts

Brescia U19

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–3L
W 2
D 2
L 3
Played7
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)2.10
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Padova U19

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–1D–3L
W 3
D 1
L 3
Played7
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.60
Clean sheets3
Failed to score1
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
Brescia U19Padova U19
W 2
D 2
L 3
W 3
D 1
L 3
Played
7
7
Goals scored (avg)
1.40
1.40
Goals conceded (avg)
2.10
1.60
Clean sheets
1
3
Failed to score
1
1
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Brescia U19

2
0-15
1
2
16-30
1
2
31-45
1
2
46-60
1
1
61-75
1
3
76-90
4
scored conceded

Padova U19

0-15
2
3
16-30
2
1
31-45
1
3
46-60
1
1
61-75
2
3
76-90
2
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Campionato Primavera 2 predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws