Predictions → Italy Serie B

Mantova vs Hellas Verona

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 19:15 UTC+3 • Round 11 • Stadio Danilo Martelli • ⛅ 10.4°C, 1 km/h partly cloudy

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available45.3% —
Double Chance 12 Current price not available74.2% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available61.6% · No 38.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available58.8% · Under 41.2% —
Correct Score 2-1 Current price not available9.3% —
Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.6 exp.) Over 9.5 Current price not available57.6% · Under 42.4% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Mantova 45.3% · Draw 25.8% · Hellas Verona 28.9%. Selected outcome: Mantova win.

Goals

Model expected goals: Mantova 1.72, Hellas Verona 1.34, expected total 3.05.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

Mantova: D-L-W-L-W in their last five matches.
Hellas Verona: W-D-D-L-W in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Mantova

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)1.10
Best league winning streak this season3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.77
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.37
Elo strength rating1540

Hellas Verona

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.80
Goals conceded (season avg)1.40
Best league winning streak this season2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.88
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.59
Elo strength rating1431
MantovaHellas Verona
Goals scored (season avg)
1.50
1.80
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.10
1.40
Best league winning streak this season
3
2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.77
1.88
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.37
1.59
Elo strength rating
1540
1431

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Mantova

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Hellas Verona

Won 2 in a row Unbeaten 4
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie B

Mantova

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Hellas Verona

3rd best attack (1.80 goals/game, season)

Rank among 20 Serie B teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Mantova at home · Hellas Verona away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Mantova (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–1D–2L
W 2
D 1
L 2
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2

Hellas Verona (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–2L
W 1
D 1
L 2
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0
Mantova (home)Hellas Verona (away)
W 2
D 1
L 2
W 1
D 1
L 2
Played
5
4
Goals scored (avg)
1.40
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
1.40
1.80
Clean sheets
1
1
Failed to score
2
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
9.32%
1–0
7.03%
2–0
6.97%
3–1
5.33%
3–0
3.99%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

📈 Recent Form

Mantova

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Modena Away 1–1 D
27/10 Cremonese Home 0–2 L
24/10 Virtus Entella Away 1–0 W
17/10 Palermo Home 0–2 L
11/10 Catanzaro Away 3–1 W
20/09 Pisa Home 2–2 D
13/09 Sampdoria Home 2–0 W
06/09 Cesena Away 1–1 D
03/09 Palermo Away 2–5 L
30/08 Empoli Home 3–1 W

Hellas Verona

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Carrarese Home 3–0 W
28/10 Juve Stabia Away 1–0 W
25/10 Pisa Home 1–1 D
16/10 Catanzaro Home 2–2 D
11/10 Modena Away 2–3 L
02/10 FC Lugano Away 3–1 W
20/09 Vicenza Virtus Home 2–1 W
11/09 Benevento Away 1–3 L
06/09 Arezzo Home 5–0 W
03/09 Cagliari Away 2–1 W

📊 Season Comparison: Serie B

Mantova #4 · 18 pts ·  Hellas Verona #7 · 15 pts

Mantova

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–3D–2L
W 5
D 3
L 2
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2
Yellow cards22
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.77
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.37
Corners for (avg)4.80
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Hellas Verona

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–3D–3L
W 4
D 3
L 3
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets2
Failed to score0
Yellow cards18
Red cards2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.88
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.59
Corners for (avg)7.70
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
MantovaHellas Verona
W 5
D 3
L 2
W 4
D 3
L 3
Played
10
10
Goals scored (avg)
1.50
1.80
Goals conceded (avg)
1.10
1.40
Clean sheets
2
2
Failed to score
2
0
Yellow cards
22
18
Red cards
0
2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.77
1.88
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.37
1.59
Corners for (avg)
4.80
7.70
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Mantova

1
0-15
2
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
3
46-60
3
1
61-75
3
5
76-90
3
scored conceded

Hellas Verona

2
0-15
1
16-30
5
31-45
1
4
46-60
3
2
61-75
4
3
76-90
4
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Serie B predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws