Virtus Entella vs Modena
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 17:00 UTC+3 • Round 11 • Stadio Comunale • 🌧 15.5°C, 2 km/h, 0.3mm rain
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Away | Current price not available | 42.2% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 73% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 58.8% · No 41.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 54.7% · Under 45.3% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-2 | Current price not available | 9.1% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~8.5 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Current price not available | 58.2% · Over 41.8% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Virtus Entella · Home
Virtus Entella have taken only one win from their last five, with two of those matches ending in defeat and two in draws. They failed to score in two of those five games, including the 0-2 loss at Sampdoria.
Modena · Away
Modena have won three of their last five and scored 10 goals across that run, including a 3-0 win over Cesena and a 3-2 win over Hellas Verona. Their recent xG for is 1.65, above Entella's 1.12.
Modena edge recent H2H and form
The latest head-to-head, on 3 March 2026, ended 2-1 to Virtus Entella at home, but the two meetings before that went Modena's way: 2-0 in October 2025 and 2-0 in January 2022. Modena's recent record of three wins in five, with 10 goals scored, is stronger than Entella's single win and four goals. Modena's model expected goals of 1.57 also sit above Entella's 1.31, supporting a realistic away win. The evidence supports Modena win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Virtus Entella 1.31 – 1.57 Modena · expected total 2.87
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Virtus Entella
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Virtus Entella
Modena
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Serie B
Virtus Entella
Modena
Rank among 20 Serie B teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Virtus Entella at home · Modena away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Virtus Entella (home)
Modena (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Modena 2 wins · 0 draws · Virtus Entella 2 wins · avg 2.5 goals · BTTS in 2 of 4
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar 2026 | Virtus Entella | 2–1 | Modena | Serie B |
| 05 Oct 2025 | Modena | 2–0 | Virtus Entella | Serie B |
| 30 Jan 2022 | Virtus Entella | 0–2 | Modena | Serie C - Girone B |
| 25 Sep 2021 | Modena | 1–2 | Virtus Entella | Serie C - Girone B |
📈 Recent Form
Virtus Entella
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Sampdoria | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 27/10 | Avellino | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 24/10 | Mantova | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 17/10 | Padova | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 10/10 | Juve Stabia | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 19/09 | Cremonese | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 11/09 | Pisa | Away | 4–1 | W |
| 06/09 | Vicenza Virtus | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 29/08 | Cesena | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 22/08 | Sudtirol | Away | 0–1 | L |
Modena
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Mantova | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 27/10 | Vicenza Virtus | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 24/10 | Cesena | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 17/10 | Carrarese | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 11/10 | Hellas Verona | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 20/09 | Empoli | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 12/09 | Sudtirol | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 06/09 | Avellino | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 28/08 | Cremonese | Away | 3–0 | W |
| 22/08 | Benevento | Away | 2–1 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Serie B
Virtus Entella #14 · 10 pts · Modena #2 · 20 pts
Virtus Entella
Modena
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Virtus Entella
Modena
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Serie B predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws