Ivory Coast Ligue 1 Predictions and Betting Tips

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PredictLix Ligue 1 Facts and Insights

League facts from all completed matches · Updated: November 2, 2026, 21:16 UTC

Results and goal volume

Metric Current2026 · 36 matches Previous2025/26 · 240 matches Change
Home wins 30.6% 33.3% -2.7 pp
Draws 33.3% 26.7% +6.6 pp
Away wins 36.1% 40.0% -3.9 pp
Total goals per match 2.14 2.00 +0.14
Home goals per match 1.03 0.95 +0.08
Away goals per match 1.11 1.05 +0.06
First-half goals per match 1.13 0.83 +0.30
Over 1.5 goals 63.9% 55.8% +8.1 pp
Over 2.5 goals 30.6% 33.3% -2.7 pp
Over 3.5 goals 5.6% 14.6% -9.0 pp

Scoring and match patterns

Metric Current2026 · 36 matches Previous2025/26 · 240 matches Change
Over 4.5 goals 5.6% 7.1% -1.5 pp
First-half Over 1.5 goals 25.8% 21.1% +4.7 pp
First-half both teams scored 16.1% 10.5% +5.6 pp
Both teams scored 44.4% 36.7% +7.7 pp
BTTS and Over 2.5 25.0% 26.7% -1.7 pp
Goalless draws (0–0) 11.1% 13.3% -2.2 pp
Home clean sheets 30.6% 37.9% -7.3 pp
Away clean sheets 36.1% 38.8% -2.7 pp
One-goal winning margins 47.2% 49.2% -2.0 pp
Second-half Over 1.5 goals 19.4% 32.9% -13.5 pp

pp = percentage points. Final scores are listed with the home team first. First-half sample: 2026: 31 matches with half-time scores; 2025/26: 237 matches with half-time scores.

Most common final scores

Twelve scorelines in descending current-season frequency, continuing from the first table to the second.

Final score Current season2026 Previous season2025/26 Change
1–1 19.4%7 of 36 10.0%24 of 240 +9.4 pp
0–1 13.9%5 of 36 15.8%38 of 240 -1.9 pp
1–0 11.1%4 of 36 15.0%36 of 240 -3.9 pp
0–0 11.1%4 of 36 13.3%32 of 240 -2.2 pp
2–1 11.1%4 of 36 5.8%14 of 240 +5.3 pp
1–2 8.3%3 of 36 8.8%21 of 240 -0.4 pp
Final score Current season2026 Previous season2025/26 Change
0–2 8.3%3 of 36 5.0%12 of 240 +3.3 pp
2–0 5.6%2 of 36 7.5%18 of 240 -1.9 pp
0–3 2.8%1 of 36 3.3%8 of 240 -0.6 pp
3–0 2.8%1 of 36 0.8%2 of 240 +1.9 pp
3–3 2.8%1 of 36 0.0%0 of 240 +2.8 pp
5–6 2.8%1 of 36 0.0%0 of 240 +2.8 pp

Five key insights from the season data

  • Home wins are 30.6% this season versus 33.3% last season, while draws rose to 33.3% from 26.7%; this points to more matches staying level rather than hosts converting. One possible explanation is more cautious opening approaches that keep games tight into the later stages, though the small current sample could also be a factor.
  • Both teams scored in 44.4% of matches this season versus 36.7% last season, and first-half BTTS rose to 16.1% from 10.5%; the pattern suggests both sides are finding the net earlier and more often within the same match. One possible explanation is that early goals are opening games up and encouraging end-to-end transitions rather than settled possession.
  • First-half goals per match are 1.13 this season versus 0.83 last season, with first-half Over 1.5 at 25.8% versus 21.1%; scoring is arriving earlier even though total goals per match only moved to 2.14 from 2.00. This could reflect more proactive starts or early-game pressing that creates chances before sides settle.
  • Over 3.5 goals fell to 5.6% this season from 14.6% last season, and second-half Over 1.5 dropped to 19.4% from 32.9%; high-scoring games are much rarer and second halves are producing fewer goals. One possible explanation is that matches are tightening after the break, perhaps through more conservative game management once an early goal lands.
  • Over 2.5 goals is 30.6% this season versus 33.3% last season even as BTTS rose to 44.4% from 36.7%; this fits a pattern of both teams scoring in lower-total games rather than matches becoming shootouts. A possible mechanism is that goals are spread across the sides but finishing variance or cautious closing phases keep the aggregate down; a regression towards last season's total is only a forward-looking possibility for remaining matches.

AI-selected and written from the verified figures above · Published: November 1, 2026, 21:22 UTC

Current Standings

Ligue 1 · 2026

Updated: Nov 7, 2026, 00:00 UTC
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Form
1
SOA Leader
5 3 1 1 6 3 +3 10
L W W D W
2
ES Agboville
5 3 1 1 6 4 +2 10
W L W D W
3
Stade d'Abidjan
5 2 3 0 10 7 +3 9
D W W D D
4
San-Pédro
5 3 0 2 6 3 +3 9
W L W W L
5
Yamoussoukro
5 2 2 1 5 5 0 8
L D D W W
6
SOL
5 2 1 2 9 9 0 7
L D L W W
7
Zoman
5 2 1 2 4 5 -1 7
L L W D W
8
Mouna
5 2 1 2 2 3 -1 7
W W L L D
9
AFAD
5 1 3 1 7 5 +2 6
D W D D L
10
ASEC Mimosas
5 1 3 1 4 3 +1 6
D W D D L
11
Stella
5 1 3 1 5 5 0 6
D W D D L
12
Bouaké
5 2 0 3 5 7 -2 6
W L L L W
13
ISCA
5 1 2 2 3 4 -1 5
D L L W D
14
US Tchologo
5 0 4 1 4 6 -2 4
D D D L D
15
Adiake
5 1 1 3 4 6 -2 4
W D L L L
16
Korhogo
5 0 2 3 4 9 -5 2
L L D D L

League-only form: five most recent matches in this competition, newest first. Prediction tables show form across all competitions.

📡

Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

36 matches analysed Updated Nov 5, 2026 Full record — wins and losses → Value bets →
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
19.4% 7/36
⚽ Both Teams to Score
30.6% 11/36
📈 Over / Under 2.5
55.6% 20/36
🔢 Correct Score
5.6% 2/36
🛡️ Double Chance
72.2% 26/36
🤝 Draw Predictions
18.2% 2/11
📌 1X2 · home/away picks
20.0% 5/25
📌 1X2 · draw picks
18.2% 2/11

Recent Form — Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 31.8% 7/22
⚽ Both Teams to Score 22.7% 5/22
📈 Over / Under 2.5 54.5% 12/22
🛡️ Double Chance 81.8% 18/22
Calibration coverage
  • Match Result (1X2): 36/36. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Both Teams to Score: 36/36. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Over / Under 2.5: 36/36. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Correct Score: 36/36. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Double Chance: 36/36. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Draw Predictions: 10/11. Excluded: 1 without stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) · <60% 39.7% 20.6% 34
Match Result (1X2) · 60-69% 65.4% 0.0% 2 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · <60% 51.5% 28.1% 32
Both Teams to Score · 60-69% 62.3% 33.3% 3 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · 70-79% 78.3% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · <60% 52.2% 51.9% 27 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% 63.8% 75.0% 4 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · 70-79% 72.1% 50.0% 4 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · 80+% 87.4% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Correct Score · <60% 13.1% 5.6% 36
Double Chance · 70-79% 74.1% 66.7% 21 (small sample)
Double Chance · 60-69% 67.7% 84.6% 13 (small sample)
Double Chance · 80+% 81.0% 50.0% 2 (small sample)
Draw Predictions · <60% 31.6% 10.0% 10 (small sample)

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: Regular Season, Round 4

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Prediction Odds Model EV Result
13/09 18:30 DWLDD
ASEC Mimosas ASEC Mimosas vs SOA SOA
LWWDW — No data N/A — 0 – 1 FT
13/09 18:30 WLLWW
San-Pédro San-Pédro vs US Tchologo US Tchologo
DD — No data N/A — 4 – 0 FT
13/09 18:30 WW
Mouna Mouna vs Bouaké Bouaké
WLLLW — No data N/A — 2 – 2 FT
13/09 21:00 LDL
SOL SOL vs Stella Stella
DWDDL — No data N/A — 0 – 3 FT
14/09 16:30 -----
Olympique Sport d'Abobo Olympique Sport d'Abobo vs Racing d'Abidjan Racing d'Abidjan
----- — No data N/A — 2 – 2 FT
14/09 18:30 DWLDD
AFAD AFAD vs Korhogo Korhogo
LLLDD — No data N/A — 0 – 0 FT
14/09 18:30 LL
Zoman Zoman vs ES Agboville ES Agboville
WLW — No data N/A — 2 – 0 FT
12/11 18:30 DLLWD
ISCA ISCA vs Stade d'Abidjan Stade d'Abidjan
DWW — No data N/A — 0 – 1 FT
18/10 18:30 LL
Zoman Zoman vs Stade d'Abidjan Stade d'Abidjan
DWW — No data N/A — 0 – 2 FT
18/10 18:30 LD
Yamoussoukro Yamoussoukro vs SOL SOL
LDL — No data N/A — 1 – 1 FT
19/10 18:30 WLW
ES Agboville ES Agboville vs Mouna Mouna
WW — No data N/A — 0 – 1 FT
20/10 18:30 WDL
Adiake Adiake vs US Tchologo US Tchologo
DD — No data N/A — 0 – 0 FT
05/11 18:30 WLLLW
Bouaké Bouaké vs Korhogo Korhogo
LLLDD 43.5% Draw ❌ N/A — 2 – 0 FT
05/11 18:30 WLLWW
San-Pédro San-Pédro vs SOA SOA
LWWDW 28.8% Draw ❌ N/A — 1 – 0 FT
05/11 18:30 DWDDL
Stella Stella vs AFAD AFAD
DWLDD 31.7% Draw ✅ @2.88Betfair -8.7% 1 – 1 FT
05/11 21:00 DLLWD
ISCA ISCA vs ASEC Mimosas ASEC Mimosas
DWLDD 44% Away ❌ @1.80William Hill -20.8% 1 – 1 FT