AFAD have drawn 6 of their last 10 matches
Ivory Coast Ligue 1 Draw Football Predictions
No Upcoming Fixtures • Previous Round 4 • Updated 1 hour ago • UTC+3
Recent Team Trends — Ligue 1 for Draws
Historical team trends, not probabilities for the next match. Cards are picked by transparent rules: the upcoming match, confirmed results, a declared sample size (e.g. last 10 matches, all competitions) and the most distinctive fact versus the league baseline.
ASEC Mimosas have drawn 5 of their last 10 matches
SOA have drawn 4 of their last 10 matches
Stella have drawn 4 of their last 10 matches
Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27
Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.
Recent Form — Last 30 Days
Calibration coverage
- Match Result (1X2): 36/36. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Both Teams to Score: 36/36. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Over / Under 2.5: 36/36. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Correct Score: 36/36. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Double Chance: 36/36. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Draw Predictions: 10/11. Excluded: 1 without stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?
Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.
| Market | Predicted | Actual | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) · <60% | 39.7% | 20.6% | 34 |
| Match Result (1X2) · 60-69% | 65.4% | 0.0% | 2 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · <60% | 51.5% | 28.1% | 32 |
| Both Teams to Score · 60-69% | 62.3% | 33.3% | 3 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · 70-79% | 78.3% | 100.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · <60% | 52.2% | 51.9% | 27 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% | 63.8% | 75.0% | 4 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · 70-79% | 72.1% | 50.0% | 4 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · 80+% | 87.4% | 100.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Correct Score · <60% | 13.1% | 5.6% | 36 |
| Double Chance · 70-79% | 74.1% | 66.7% | 21 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 60-69% | 67.7% | 84.6% | 13 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 80+% | 81.0% | 50.0% | 2 (small sample) |
| Draw Predictions · <60% | 31.6% | 10.0% | 10 (small sample) |
Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.
Previous Round Results: Regular Season, Round 4
| Date / Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Draw | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 18:30 | WLLLW |
Bouaké
vs
Korhogo
|
LLLDD | 43.5% | Draw ❌ | N/A | — | 2 – 0 FT |
| 05/11 18:30 | WLLWW |
San-Pédro
vs
SOA
|
LWWDW | 28.8% | Draw ❌ | N/A | — | 1 – 0 FT |
| 05/11 18:30 | DWDDL |
Stella
vs
AFAD
|
DWLDD | 31.7% | Draw ✅ | @2.88Betfair | -8.7% | 1 – 1 FT |