Mexico Liga MX Draw Football Predictions

Upcoming Matches β€’ Next 20 Days β€’ 4 Matches β€’ Round 12 β€’ Updated 1 hour ago β€’ UTC+3

πŸ“Œ Prediction Type
πŸ† Match Tips (1x2) ⚽ BTTS πŸ“ˆ Over/Under 2.5 🎯 Correct Score πŸ”€ Double Chance 🚩 Corners O/U 🀝 Draws
Value bets in Liga MX: 3 bets Β· 33.3% win Β· profit $-91.07 (ΒΌ-Kelly stakes) Full portfolio β†’

Apertura, Round 12

Saturday, October 17

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Draw Odds Result
04:00 DLLLD
Necaxa Necaxa vs Atlas Atlas
DWDLD 59% 26.8% Draw 3.60 β€”
06:00 LWDLD
Atlante FC Atlante FC vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas
DLDLW 61% 27.1% Draw 3.60 β€”
02:00 WWWWL
Santos Laguna Santos Laguna vs Club Queretaro Club Queretaro
WWDWW 56% 26.5% Draw 3.75 β€”

Sunday, October 18

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Draw Odds Result
04:00 DWDWL
Leon Leon vs Club America Club America
DLDWD 56% 26.5% Draw 3.75 β€”

Top Trends from Liga MX Teams for Draws

Atlante FC Drew 4 of 10

Atlante FC have drawn 4 of their last 10 matches

Atlante FC — U.N.A.M. - Pumas
U.N.A.M. - Pumas Drew 4 of 10

U.N.A.M. - Pumas have drawn 4 of their last 10 matches

Atlante FC — U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Tigres UANL Drew 4 of 10

Tigres UANL have drawn 4 of their last 10 matches

Guadalajara Chivas — Tigres UANL
CF Pachuca Drew 4 of 10

CF Pachuca have drawn 4 of their last 10 matches

Monterrey — CF Pachuca
πŸ“‘

AI Prediction Accuracy β€” Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types β€” wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

43 matches analysed Updated Oct 12, 2026 Full record β€” wins and losses β†’ Value bets β†’
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
37.2% 16/43
⚽ Both Teams to Score
55.8% 24/43
πŸ“ˆ Over / Under 2.5
60.5% 26/43
πŸ”’ Correct Score
4.7% 2/43
πŸ›‘οΈ Double Chance
69.8% 30/43
πŸ“ Corners Over/Under
62.8% 27/43
🀝 Draw Predictions
45.5% 5/11

Recent Form β€” Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 25.0% 7/28
⚽ Both Teams to Score 64.3% 18/28
πŸ“ˆ Over / Under 2.5 60.7% 17/28
πŸ›‘οΈ Double Chance 57.1% 16/28

Probability Calibration β€” Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) Β· <60% 45.8% 35.1% 37
Match Result (1X2) Β· 60-69% 65.5% 60.0% 5
Match Result (1X2) Β· 80+% 80.4% 0.0% 1
Both Teams to Score Β· <60% 52.1% 57.5% 40
Both Teams to Score Β· 60-69% 61.3% 33.3% 3
Over / Under 2.5 Β· <60% 51.4% 58.5% 41
Over / Under 2.5 Β· 60-69% 61.1% 100.0% 2
Correct Score Β· <60% 9.1% 4.7% 43
Double Chance Β· 70-79% 74.5% 85.2% 27
Double Chance Β· 80+% 83.4% 55.6% 9
Double Chance Β· 60-69% 68.4% 28.6% 7
Corners Over/Under Β· <60% 54.7% 70.8% 24
Corners Over/Under Β· 60-69% 64.1% 50.0% 16
Corners Over/Under Β· 70-79% 75.2% 66.7% 3
Draw Predictions Β· <60% 27.4% 45.5% 11

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: Apertura, Round 11

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Draw Odds Result
10/10 04:00 LDLWL
Puebla Puebla vs Leon Leon
DWDWL 63% 27.3% Draw βœ… @3.40 1 – 1 FT
10/10 06:00 WLDDD
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL vs Toluca Toluca
DLWWW 63% 27.4% Draw ❌ N/A 3 – 2 FT
11/10 02:00 WWDWW
Club Queretaro Club Queretaro vs Atlante FC Atlante FC
LWDLD β€” 25.9% No tip N/A 2 – 0 FT
11/10 02:00 LWLLL
FC Juarez FC Juarez vs Club Tijuana Club Tijuana
LDLWL 66% 27.8% Draw βœ… N/A 1 – 1 FT
11/10 04:00 DWDLD
Atlas Atlas vs Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas
LDWWD β€” 27% No tip @3.60 1 – 1 FT
11/10 06:10 DLDWD
Club America Club America vs Monterrey Monterrey
LWDLL β€” 25.4% No tip N/A 1 – 1 FT
12/10 02:00 WWLLW
Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna Santos Laguna
WWWWL β€” 26% No tip N/A 1 – 2 FT
12/10 02:10 LDWWD
CF Pachuca CF Pachuca vs Necaxa Necaxa
DLLLD β€” 25.5% No tip N/A 3 – 3 FT
12/10 04:15 DLDLW
U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
DLLWW β€” 26.6% No tip @3.80 3 – 3 FT