Mexico Liga MX Over 2.5 Goals Football Predictions

Upcoming Matches β€’ Next 20 Days β€’ 9 Matches β€’ Round 12 β€’ Updated 1 hour ago β€’ UTC+3

πŸ“Œ Prediction Type
πŸ† Match Tips (1x2) ⚽ BTTS πŸ“ˆ Over/Under 2.5 🎯 Correct Score πŸ”€ Double Chance 🚩 Corners O/U 🀝 Draws
Value bets in Liga MX: 3 bets Β· 33.3% win Β· profit $-91.07 (ΒΌ-Kelly stakes) Full portfolio β†’

Apertura, Round 12

Saturday, October 17

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Goals O/U Odds Result
04:00 DLLLD
Necaxa Necaxa vs Atlas Atlas
DWDLD 82% 50.7% Over 2.5 1.76 β€”
06:00 DLDLW
Club Tijuana Club Tijuana vs Puebla Puebla
DLDLW 81% 49.7% Over 2.5 1.80 β€”
06:00 LWDLD
Atlante FC Atlante FC vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas
DLDLW 82% 51.4% Under 2.5 2.05 β€”
02:00 WWWWL
Santos Laguna Santos Laguna vs Club Queretaro Club Queretaro
WWDWW 81% 49.5% Over 2.5 1.67 β€”
02:07 DWLDW
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL Tigres UANL
WWLDD 81% 49.5% Under 2.5 2.05 β€”

Sunday, October 18

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Goals O/U Odds Result
04:00 LLDLW
Toluca Toluca vs Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis
LWWLL 84% 55% Over 2.5 1.45 β€”
04:00 DWDWL
Leon Leon vs Club America Club America
DLDWD 82% 51.1% Over 2.5 1.70 β€”
06:10 DDDLL
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez FC Juarez
DLWLL 85% 56.2% Over 2.5 1.55 β€”

Monday, October 19

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Goals O/U Odds Result
04:00 DWLWD
Monterrey Monterrey vs CF Pachuca CF Pachuca
DLDWW 82% 51.5% Over 2.5 1.65 β€”

Top Trends from Liga MX Teams for Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Toluca 2+ scored in 8/10

Toluca scored 2+ goals in 8 of their last 10 matches

Toluca — Atletico San Luis
Atletico San Luis Over 2.5 in 8/10

Over 2.5 goals in 8 of Atletico San Luis's last 10 matches

Toluca — Atletico San Luis
FC Juarez 2+ conceded in 7/10

FC Juarez have conceded 2+ goals in 7 of their last 10 matches

Cruz Azul — FC Juarez
Necaxa Over 2.5 in 7/10

Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Necaxa's last 10 matches

Necaxa — Atlas
Leon Under 2.5 in 7/10

Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Leon's last 10 matches

Leon — Club America
Puebla Under 2.5 in 6

Under 2.5 goals in Puebla's last 6 matches in a row

Club Tijuana — Puebla
Atlante FC 2+ conceded in 6/10

Atlante FC have conceded 2+ goals in 6 of their last 10 matches

Atlante FC — U.N.A.M. - Pumas
πŸ“‘

AI Prediction Accuracy β€” Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types β€” wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

43 matches analysed Updated Oct 12, 2026 Full record β€” wins and losses β†’ Value bets β†’
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
37.2% 16/43
⚽ Both Teams to Score
55.8% 24/43
πŸ“ˆ Over / Under 2.5
60.5% 26/43
πŸ”’ Correct Score
4.7% 2/43
πŸ›‘οΈ Double Chance
69.8% 30/43
πŸ“ Corners Over/Under
62.8% 27/43
🀝 Draw Predictions
45.5% 5/11

Recent Form β€” Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 25.0% 7/28
⚽ Both Teams to Score 64.3% 18/28
πŸ“ˆ Over / Under 2.5 60.7% 17/28
πŸ›‘οΈ Double Chance 57.1% 16/28

Probability Calibration β€” Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) Β· <60% 45.8% 35.1% 37
Match Result (1X2) Β· 60-69% 65.5% 60.0% 5
Match Result (1X2) Β· 80+% 80.4% 0.0% 1
Both Teams to Score Β· <60% 52.1% 57.5% 40
Both Teams to Score Β· 60-69% 61.3% 33.3% 3
Over / Under 2.5 Β· <60% 51.4% 58.5% 41
Over / Under 2.5 Β· 60-69% 61.1% 100.0% 2
Correct Score Β· <60% 9.1% 4.7% 43
Double Chance Β· 70-79% 74.5% 85.2% 27
Double Chance Β· 80+% 83.4% 55.6% 9
Double Chance Β· 60-69% 68.4% 28.6% 7
Corners Over/Under Β· <60% 54.7% 70.8% 24
Corners Over/Under Β· 60-69% 64.1% 50.0% 16
Corners Over/Under Β· 70-79% 75.2% 66.7% 3
Draw Predictions Β· <60% 27.4% 45.5% 11

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: Apertura, Round 11

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Goals O/U Odds Result
10/10 04:00 DLDLW
Puebla Puebla vs Leon Leon
DWDWL 81% 48.3% Under 2.5 βœ… @1.93 1 – 1 FT
10/10 06:00 WWLDD
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL vs Toluca Toluca
LLDLW 81% 48.9% Under 2.5 ❌ N/A 3 – 2 FT
11/10 02:00 WWDWW
Club Queretaro Club Queretaro vs Atlante FC Atlante FC
LWDLD 81% 48.7% Under 2.5 βœ… N/A 2 – 0 FT
11/10 02:00 DLWLL
FC Juarez FC Juarez vs Club Tijuana Club Tijuana
DLDLW 81% 49% Under 2.5 βœ… N/A 1 – 1 FT
11/10 04:00 DWDLD
Atlas Atlas vs Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas
DWLDW 80% 47.5% Under 2.5 βœ… @2.12 1 – 1 FT
11/10 06:10 DLDWD
Club America Club America vs Monterrey Monterrey
DWLWD 81% 49.8% Over 2.5 ❌ N/A 1 – 1 FT
12/10 02:00 LWWLL
Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna Santos Laguna
WWWWL 83% 53.7% Over 2.5 βœ… N/A 1 – 2 FT
12/10 02:10 DLDWW
CF Pachuca CF Pachuca vs Necaxa Necaxa
DLLLD 82% 51.2% Over 2.5 βœ… N/A 3 – 3 FT
12/10 04:15 DLDLW
U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
DDDLL 80% 47.4% Under 2.5 ❌ @2.20 3 – 3 FT