Under 2.5 goals in 8 of Raja Casablanca's last 10 matches
Morocco Botola Pro Over 2.5 Goals Football Predictions
Round 7 • 3 Upcoming This Round • Updated 1 hour ago • UTC+3
Regular Season, Round 7
Today - Sunday, November 08
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Goals O/U | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:00 | LLDLL |
CR Khemis Zemamra
vs
Widad Témara
|
WWLLL | 64.6% | Under 2.5 | Bet3651.50 | -3.1% | — |
| 21:00 | LDWWD |
FAR Rabat
vs
Difaa EL Jadida
|
DDWWL | 50.7% | Under 2.5 | Bet3651.90 | -3.7% | — |
| 23:00 | WLDWD |
Raja Casablanca
vs
Ittihad Tanger
|
WLWLD | 43.5% | Over 2.5 | Bet3652.35 | +2.2% | — |
Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.
How to Read the Prediction Table
Recent Team Trends — Botola Pro for Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Historical team trends, not probabilities for the next match. Cards are picked by transparent rules: the upcoming match, confirmed results, a declared sample size (e.g. last 10 matches, all competitions) and the most distinctive fact versus the league baseline.
Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Moghreb Tetouan's last 10 matches
Under 2.5 goals in 7 of CR Khemis Zemamra's last 10 matches
Under 2.5 goals in 6 of FAR Rabat's last 10 matches
Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27
Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.
Recent Form — Last 30 Days
Calibration coverage
- Match Result (1X2): 51/51. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Both Teams to Score: 51/51. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Over / Under 2.5: 51/51. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Correct Score: 51/51. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Double Chance: 51/51. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Draw Predictions: 7/7. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Corners Over/Under: 16/16. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?
Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.
| Market | Predicted | Actual | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) · <60% | 39.9% | 28.9% | 45 |
| Match Result (1X2) · 60-69% | 64.3% | 50.0% | 4 (small sample) |
| Match Result (1X2) · 70-79% | 71.8% | 50.0% | 2 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · <60% | 51.4% | 47.7% | 44 |
| Both Teams to Score · 70-79% | 70.3% | 0.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · 60-69% | 63.5% | 66.7% | 6 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · <60% | 52.9% | 53.8% | 39 |
| Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% | 63.6% | 66.7% | 9 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · 70-79% | 72.5% | 66.7% | 3 (small sample) |
| Correct Score · <60% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 51 |
| Double Chance · 70-79% | 73.3% | 56.0% | 25 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 80+% | 83.6% | 77.8% | 9 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 60-69% | 68.0% | 58.8% | 17 (small sample) |
| Draw Predictions · <60% | 29.1% | 14.3% | 7 (small sample) |
| Corners Over/Under · <60% | 55.9% | 40.0% | 10 (small sample) |
| Corners Over/Under · 60-69% | 63.3% | 83.3% | 6 (small sample) |
Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.
Previous Round Results: Regular Season, Round 1
| Date / Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Goals O/U | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 18:00 | WLWLD |
Ittihad Tanger
vs
Hassania Agadir
|
DLD | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 1 FT |
| 12/09 20:00 | ----- |
Olympique Safi
vs
UTS Rabat
|
LDLLD | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 1 FT |
| 12/09 20:00 | ----- |
Olympique Dcheïra
vs
Renaissance Berkane
|
DWD | — | No data | N/A | — | 0 – 4 FT |
| 12/09 22:00 | LWWDD |
Wydad AC
vs
Kawkab Marrakech
|
WWDWW | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 0 FT |
| 13/09 20:00 | LWWDD |
FUS Rabat
vs
Raja Casablanca
|
WLDWD | — | No data | N/A | — | 0 – 2 FT |
| 13/09 22:00 | LDWWD |
FAR Rabat
vs
Yacoub El Mansour
|
----- | — | No data | N/A | — | 2 – 0 FT |
| 14/09 20:00 | DDWWL |
Difaa EL Jadida
vs
CODM Meknès
|
DWWDL | — | No data | N/A | — | 0 – 0 FT |
| 14/09 22:00 | WLDWD |
Maghreb Fès
vs
CR Khemis Zemamra
|
LLDLL | — | No data | N/A | — | 2 – 0 FT |
| 24/09 23:00 | WLLDL |
Amal Tiznit
vs
Ittihad Tanger
|
WLWLD | 53.4% | Under 2.5 ❌ | N/A | — | 1 – 3 FT |
| 26/09 19:00 | LDLLD |
UTS Rabat
vs
FUS Rabat
|
LWWDD | 52.6% | Under 2.5 ❌ | @1.44 | -24.3% | 2 – 1 FT |
| 26/09 21:00 | DDWWL |
Difaa EL Jadida
vs
CODM Meknès
|
DWWDL | 48.1% | Under 2.5 ❌ | @1.47 | -29.3% | 2 – 6 FT |
| 26/09 23:00 | LWWDD |
Wydad AC
vs
Widad Témara
|
WWLLL | 54.3% | Under 2.5 ❌ | @1.62 | -12% | 1 – 3 FT |
| 27/09 19:00 | LLLDD |
Moghreb Tetouan
vs
Renaissance Berkane
|
DWD | 50.3% | Over 2.5 ❌ | @1.92 | -3.4% | 0 – 0 FT |
| 27/09 21:00 | WLDWD |
Maghreb Fès
vs
CR Khemis Zemamra
|
LLDLL | 48.1% | Under 2.5 ❌ | @1.45 | -30.3% | 2 – 1 FT |
| 27/09 23:00 | WWDWW |
Kawkab Marrakech
vs
Hassania Agadir
|
DLD | 54.9% | Under 2.5 ❌ | @1.42 | -22% | 2 – 3 FT |
| 04/11 23:00 | LDWWD |
FAR Rabat
vs
Raja Casablanca
|
WLDWD | 61.2% | Under 2.5 ❌ | @1.67Bet365 | +2.2% | 1 – 2 FT |