Ajax vs Willem II
Ajax
No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual
| Market | Tip | Confidence | Probability | Odds | Bookmaker | Market implied | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | 92% | 80% | @1.12 | — | 88.4% | -8.4 pp | ✅ |
| Double Chance | 1X | 83% | 87.8% | @1.01 | — | 95.5% | -7.7 pp | ✅ |
| BTTS | Yes | 82% | 50.3% | @1.82 | — | 50.8% | -0.5 pp | ✅ |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 81% | 49.3% | @1.21 | — | 78.5% | -29.2 pp | ✅ |
| Correct Score | 2-0 | 69% | 11% | @8.50 | — | 5% | +6 pp | ❌ |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) | Under 9.5 | 64% | 55.3% | @2.44 | — | 38.2% | +17.1 pp | ❌ |
⚽ Model expected goals: Ajax 1.96 – 0.70 Willem II · expected total 2.66
Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.
📈 Team Trends
Ajax
Willem II
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks — Eredivisie
Ajax
Willem II
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Rank among 18 Eredivisie teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Ajax at home · Willem II away — the split that matters for this fixture.
Ajax (home)
Willem II (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
📈 Recent Form
Ajax
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | NEC Nijmegen | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 19/09 | Excelsior | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 15/09 | Willem II | Home | 5–1 | W |
| 12/09 | Fortuna Sittard | Away | 5–1 | W |
| 05/09 | PSV Eindhoven | Home | 1–3 | L |
Willem II
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Fortuna Sittard | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 15/09 | Ajax | Away | 1–5 | L |
| 11/09 | AZ Alkmaar | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 05/09 | Excelsior | Home | 0–3 | L |
| 30/08 | Heerenveen | Home | 2–2 | D |
📊 Season Comparison — Eredivisie
Ajax #5 · 15 pts — Willem II #18 · 2 pts
Ajax
Willem II
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Ajax
Willem II
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
Ajax
- ❌ R. Bounida — Injury
- ❌ J. Faberski — Knee Injury
- ❌ A. Kaplan — Knee Injury
- ❌ J. Sutalo — Injury
- ❌ A. van Axel Dongen — Thigh Injury
- ❌ D. Blind — Injury
- ❌ M. Carrizo — Inactive
- ❌ Y. Regeer — Injury
- ❌ P. Reverson — Injury
- ❌ S. Adingra — Foot Injury
- ❌ A. Bouwman — Knock
- ❌ S. Berghuis — Inactive
- ❌ Caio Henrique — Injury
- ❌ K. Dolberg — Knee Injury
- ❌ A. Gaaei — Inactive
Willem II
- ❌ A. Culum — Foot Injury
- ❌ A. Lachkar — Groin Injury
- ❌ J. Schuurman — Knock
- ❌ A. Zarrouk — Surgery
- ❌ H. ter Avest — Lacking Match Fitness
- ❌ T. Didillon Hodl — Hamstring Injury
- ❌ L. Abildgaard — Inactive
- ❌ T. Vilhena — Inactive
- ❌ J. Hoogma — Knee Injury
- ❌ V. van Crooij — Ankle Injury
- ❌ K. Boogaard — Knock
More: Eredivisie predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws