Predictions → Netherlands Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II

AZ Alkmaar
1:1
Full Time · 11 Sep 2026
Willem II

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Home 92% 70.7% @1.14 — 87.4% -16.7 pp ❌
Double Chance 1X 81% 84.5% @1.01 — 95.7% -11.2 pp ✅
BTTS Yes 84% 54.6% @1.80 — 51.4% +3.2 pp ✅
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 87% 60.6% @1.28 — 74.7% -14.1 pp ❌
Correct Score 2-0 68% 10% @8.00 — 5.3% +4.7 pp ❌
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Over 9.5 82% 90.9% @1.47 — 63.3% +27.6 pp ✅

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

AZ Alkmaar

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Willem II

Lost 2 in a row Winless 7
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar

2nd best defence (1.00 conceded/game) Worst Over 2.5 rate (33%) 2nd best clean sheets (3)

Willem II

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 18 Eredivisie teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

AZ Alkmaar at home · Willem II away — the split that matters for this fixture.

AZ Alkmaar (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–1D–0L
W 3
D 1
Played4
Goals scored (avg)2.30
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets2
Failed to score0

Willem II (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–1D–2L
D 1
L 2
Played3
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)3.30
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
AZ Alkmaar (home)Willem II (away)
W 3
D 1
D 1
L 2
Played
4
3
Goals scored (avg)
2.30
1.00
Goals conceded (avg)
0.80
3.30
Clean sheets
2
0
Failed to score
0
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

📈 Recent Form

AZ Alkmaar

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Feyenoord Away 0–2 L
20/09 Telstar Home 1–0 W
16/09 Sunderland Away 0–1 L
11/09 Willem II Home 1–1 D
06/09 Heerenveen Away 3–2 W

Willem II

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
19/09 Fortuna Sittard Home 0–1 L
15/09 Ajax Away 1–5 L
11/09 AZ Alkmaar Away 1–1 D
05/09 Excelsior Home 0–3 L
30/08 Heerenveen Home 2–2 D

📊 Season Comparison — Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar #3 · 19 pts —  Willem II #18 · 2 pts

AZ Alkmaar

Wins–Draws–Losses6W–1D–1L
W 6
D 1
L 1
Played8
Goals scored (avg)2.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets3
Failed to score1
Yellow cards9
Red cards0
xG for (avg)1.97
xG against (avg)1.32
Corners for (avg)6.20
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Willem II

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–2D–6L
D 2
L 6
Played8
Goals scored (avg)0.90
Goals conceded (avg)2.90
Clean sheets0
Failed to score2
Yellow cards8
Red cards0
xG for (avg)1.19
xG against (avg)2.17
Corners for (avg)4.50
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
AZ AlkmaarWillem II
W 6
D 1
L 1
D 2
L 6
Played
8
8
Goals scored (avg)
2.30
0.90
Goals conceded (avg)
1.00
2.90
Clean sheets
3
0
Failed to score
1
2
Yellow cards
9
8
Red cards
0
0
xG for (avg)
1.97
1.19
xG against (avg)
1.32
2.17
Corners for (avg)
6.20
4.50
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

AZ Alkmaar

1
0-15
2
3
16-30
1
31-45
3
1
46-60
4
1
61-75
4
2
76-90
4
scored conceded

Willem II

1
0-15
1
1
16-30
5
31-45
1
46-60
8
61-75
1
4
76-90
4
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

AZ Alkmaar

  • ❌ J. Clasie — Injury
  • ❌ J. Hornkamp — Ankle Injury
  • ❌ D. Kasius — Groin Injury
  • ❌ A. Natali — Inactive
  • ❌ R. Robbemond — Inactive
  • ❌ M. Sin — Injury
  • ❌ T. Parrott — Inactive
  • ❌ S. Resink — Knee Injury
  • ❌ K. Smit — Groin Injury

Willem II

  • ❌ A. Culum — Foot Injury
  • ❌ A. Lachkar — Groin Injury
  • ❌ J. Schuurman — Knock
  • ❌ A. Zarrouk — Surgery
  • ❌ H. ter Avest — Lacking Match Fitness
  • ❌ T. Didillon Hodl — Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ L. Abildgaard — Inactive
  • ❌ T. Vilhena — Inactive
  • ❌ J. Hoogma — Knee Injury
  • ❌ V. van Crooij — Ankle Injury
  • ❌ K. Boogaard — Knock

More: Eredivisie predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws