Predictions → Netherlands Eredivisie

Excelsior vs Utrecht

Excelsior
1:2
Full Time · 13 Sep 2026
Utrecht

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Home 85% 59.2% @2.22 — 44.6% +14.6 pp ❌
Double Chance 1X 79% 83.1% @1.39 — 68.8% +14.3 pp ❌
BTTS Yes 81% 49% @1.46 — 63.4% -14.4 pp ✅
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 81% 49.5% @1.55 — 62.2% -12.7 pp ✅
Correct Score 2-0 65% 8.5% @12.00 — 3.6% +4.9 pp ❌
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Over 9.5 62% 53.1% @1.75 — 53.7% -0.6 pp ❌

⚽ Model expected goals: Excelsior 1.98 – 0.94 Utrecht · expected total 2.92

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Excelsior

Winless 3
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
6/6
Scored
6/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Utrecht

BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
6/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — Eredivisie

Excelsior

2nd best BTTS rate (83%) Best Over 2.5 rate (100%)

Utrecht

Worst defence (3.40 conceded/game) 2nd best BTTS rate (83%) Best Over 2.5 rate (100%)

Rank among 18 Eredivisie teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Excelsior at home · Utrecht away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Excelsior (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–0D–2L
W 1
L 2
Played3
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.70
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0

Utrecht (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–2L
W 1
D 1
L 2
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)2.80
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1
Excelsior (home)Utrecht (away)
W 1
L 2
W 1
D 1
L 2
Played
3
4
Goals scored (avg)
1.30
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
1.70
2.80
Clean sheets
0
0
Failed to score
0
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Excelsior 1 win · 5 draws · Utrecht 4 wins · avg 3.2 goals · BTTS in 6 of 10

1
5
4
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
26 Apr 2026 Excelsior 5–0 Utrecht Eredivisie
24 Aug 2025 Utrecht 4–1 Excelsior Eredivisie
27 Jan 2024 Excelsior 1–1 Utrecht Eredivisie
12 Nov 2023 Utrecht 2–2 Excelsior Eredivisie
25 Jan 2023 Utrecht 1–0 Excelsior Eredivisie
02 Oct 2022 Excelsior 0–1 Utrecht Eredivisie
23 Feb 2019 Utrecht 0–0 Excelsior Eredivisie
30 Nov 2018 Excelsior 3–3 Utrecht Eredivisie
04 Feb 2018 Excelsior 2–2 Utrecht Eredivisie
19 Nov 2017 Utrecht 3–1 Excelsior Eredivisie

📈 Recent Form

Excelsior

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
19/09 Ajax Away 2–2 D
13/09 Utrecht Home 1–2 L
08/09 NEC Nijmegen Away 2–2 D
05/09 Willem II Away 3–0 W
29/08 Sparta Rotterdam Home 2–1 W

Utrecht

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
20/09 Feyenoord Away 0–5 L
13/09 Excelsior Away 2–1 W
08/09 GO Ahead Eagles Home 3–3 D
30/08 PSV Eindhoven Home 1–6 L
22/08 Sparta Rotterdam Away 3–3 D

📊 Season Comparison — Eredivisie

Excelsior #9 · 11 pts —  Utrecht #13 · 8 pts

Excelsior

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–2D–3L
W 3
D 2
L 3
Played8
Goals scored (avg)2.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets2
Failed to score0
Yellow cards11
Red cards0
xG for (avg)1.14
xG against (avg)1.60
Corners for (avg)3.60
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Utrecht

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–4L
W 2
D 2
L 4
Played8
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)3.40
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1
Yellow cards15
Red cards0
xG for (avg)0.79
xG against (avg)1.83
Corners for (avg)3.60
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
ExcelsiorUtrecht
W 3
D 2
L 3
W 2
D 2
L 4
Played
8
8
Goals scored (avg)
2.10
1.60
Goals conceded (avg)
1.30
3.40
Clean sheets
2
0
Failed to score
0
1
Yellow cards
11
15
Red cards
0
0
xG for (avg)
1.14
0.79
xG against (avg)
1.60
1.83
Corners for (avg)
3.60
3.60
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Excelsior

2
0-15
1
16-30
2
2
31-45
5
2
46-60
1
1
61-75
3
2
76-90
3
scored conceded

Utrecht

4
0-15
1
1
16-30
1
4
31-45
1
6
46-60
1
2
61-75
2
7
76-90
5
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Excelsior

  • ❌ K. Bos — Shoulder Injury
  • ❌ N. Naujoks — Inactive

Utrecht

  • ❌ O. Agougil — Injury
  • ❌ A. Engwanda — Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ V. Jensen — Knee Injury
  • ❌ M. Jonathans — Knee Injury
  • ❌ N. Ohio — Knee Injury
  • ❌ J. van Ommeren — Back Injury
  • ❌ M. Broholm — Inactive
  • ❌ K. Paredes — Inactive
  • ❌ N. Vesterlund — Injury
  • ❌ J. van Overeem — Inactive
  • ❌ A. Stepanov — Ankle Injury

More: Eredivisie predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws