New Zealand National League Over 2.5 Goals Football Predictions

Upcoming Matches β€’ Next 20 Days β€’ 5 Matches β€’ Round 4 β€’ Updated 1 hour ago β€’ UTC+3

Championship Group, Round 4

Saturday, October 17

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Goals O/U Odds Result
03:00 WWWLD
Miramar Miramar vs Auckland City Auckland City
DWWWW 85% 56.4% Over 2.5 N/A β€”
05:00 DLWWW
Wellington Olympic Wellington Olympic vs Eastern Suburbs Eastern Suburbs
LDWDL 84% 54.7% Over 2.5 N/A β€”

Sunday, October 18

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Goals O/U Odds Result
04:00 WLWWL
Birkenhead United Birkenhead United vs Napier City Rovers Napier City Rovers
LDLWW 88% 61.7% Over 2.5 N/A β€”
04:00 WWLWW
Cashmere Technical Cashmere Technical vs Auckland FC 2 Auckland FC 2
LLWWW 86% 58% Over 2.5 N/A β€”
06:00 WDLLL
Auckland United Auckland United vs Ferrymead Bays Ferrymead Bays
LWDLW 83% 53.6% Over 2.5 N/A β€”
πŸ“‘

AI Prediction Accuracy β€” Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types β€” wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

10 matches analysed Updated Oct 11, 2026 Full record β€” wins and losses β†’ Value bets β†’
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
40.0% 4/10
⚽ Both Teams to Score
80.0% 8/10
πŸ“ˆ Over / Under 2.5
90.0% 9/10
πŸ”’ Correct Score
10.0% 1/10
πŸ›‘οΈ Double Chance
80.0% 8/10
🀝 Draw Predictions
0.0% 0/1

Recent Form β€” Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 40.0% 4/10
⚽ Both Teams to Score 80.0% 8/10
πŸ“ˆ Over / Under 2.5 90.0% 9/10
πŸ›‘οΈ Double Chance 80.0% 8/10

Probability Calibration β€” Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) Β· 60-69% 63.0% 33.3% 3
Match Result (1X2) Β· <60% 40.9% 33.3% 6
Match Result (1X2) Β· 80+% 84.2% 100.0% 1
Both Teams to Score Β· <60% 53.5% 88.9% 9
Both Teams to Score Β· 60-69% 60.2% 0.0% 1
Over / Under 2.5 Β· <60% 53.7% 100.0% 8
Over / Under 2.5 Β· 60-69% 61.1% 50.0% 2
Correct Score Β· <60% 7.2% 10.0% 10
Double Chance Β· 70-79% 75.3% 85.7% 7
Double Chance Β· 80+% 82.3% 0.0% 1
Double Chance Β· 60-69% 69.4% 100.0% 2
Draw Predictions Β· <60% 27.1% 0.0% 1

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: Championship Group, Round 3

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Goals O/U Odds Result
10/10 04:30 LDWLL
Wellington Phoenix II Wellington Phoenix II vs Birkenhead United Birkenhead United
WLWWL 88% 61.5% Over 2.5 ❌ N/A 0 – 1 FT
10/10 05:00 DWWWW
Auckland City Auckland City vs Wellington Olympic Wellington Olympic
DLWWW 87% 60.7% Over 2.5 βœ… @1.49 2 – 2 FT
10/10 06:00 LWDLW
Ferrymead Bays Ferrymead Bays vs Miramar Miramar
WWWLD 81% 50.1% Over 2.5 βœ… N/A 1 – 4 FT
11/10 02:00 LLWWW
Auckland FC 2 Auckland FC 2 vs Auckland United Auckland United
WDLLL 82% 51.5% Over 2.5 βœ… N/A 2 – 2 FT
11/10 03:00 LDLWW
Napier City Rovers Napier City Rovers vs Cashmere Technical Cashmere Technical
WWLWW 86% 58.2% Over 2.5 βœ… N/A 2 – 1 FT