Poland Ekstraklasa Predictions and Betting Tips

Upcoming Matches • Next 20 Days • 1 Matches • Round 3 • Updated 16 minutes ago • UTC+3

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Regular Season, Round 3

Today - Monday, October 12

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Prediction Odds Result
21:30 WDWLL
GKS Katowice GKS Katowice vs Wieczysta Kraków Wieczysta Kraków
WWDLD 82% 50.6% Home 2.13 —

Predictlix Ekstraklasa Insights

Data-driven football analysis updated on: October 9, 2026

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Match Outcome Confidence Map

Wisla Plock's clash with Radomiak Radom carries the window's strongest signal at 65.4% for a home win, backed by an 87 confidence rating and a huge lambda split of 1.7114 against 0.6877. Lech Poznan versus Korona Kielce sits close behind on 64.9%, while Gornik Zabrze over Piast Gliwice reaches 62.8%. The PredictLix model's value edge favours GKS Katowice at 2.19, a +6.2pp gap. Back Wisla Plock to win, high confidence.

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Goals Landscape — Over/Under Breakdown

Lech Poznan vs Korona Kielce leans Over 2.5 at 54.8%, driven by home lambda 2.2141 against away 1.1403, and BTTS Yes sits at 51.9%. Widzew Łódź vs Wisla Krakow pushes Over harder at 57.6%, with the visitors' 1.9713 lambda carrying real weight. Cracovia Krakow vs Zaglebie Lubin tilts Under 2.5 at 54.2%, both lambdas sitting near 0.95, and Under is priced at 1.95. Best angle: Over 2.5 in Widzew Łódź vs Wisla Krakow, with BTTS Yes at 59.6% offering the sharper edge.

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Streak & Momentum Signals

Gornik Zabrze arrive on a DWWWW surge and sit top on 22 points, the division's standout run. Legia Warszawa and Korona Kielce share an identical pattern, each unbeaten in 9 of their 10 most recent matches. At the other end, Wieczysta Kraków have managed just 1 win across their 10 latest outings, while Widzew Łódź match that grim tally. Note that Wieczysta's figures rest on partial data, so these streaks come from shorter samples.

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Defensive Lines — Clean Sheets vs Leaky Defences

Lech Poznan and Gornik Zabrze share the tightest defensive records in this window, each conceding just 0.9 goals per game, with Gornik keeping 3 clean sheets from 9 outings. At the opposite end, Raków Częstochowa leak 2.3 goals per game without a single clean sheet, while Radomiak Radom ship 2.2. Wieczysta Kraków and Widzew Łódź also struggle badly, both recording 0 clean sheets across 8 matches.

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Standings Context & Match Motivation

Gornik Zabrze sit top on 22 points and host Piast Gliwice in Regular Season - 11, chasing the Champions League spot. Down at the bottom, Wieczysta Kraków and Raków Częstochowa meet in Regular Season - 11, both in the RELEGATION ZONE — must win. Motor Lublin, also RELEGATION ZONE — must win, face Slask Wroclaw, who are in a relegation battle needing points. Wisla Plock versus Radomiak Radom pits mid-table against a relegation battle.

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Accumulator Builder & Value Picks

Lech Poznan's trip to Slask Wroclaw opens the PredictLix acca at 1.62, with the away side favoured on a confidence of 85. Legia Warszawa then host Wisla Krakow at 2.11, an 81-confidence home call. Rounding it off, GKS Katowice welcome Wieczysta Kraków at 2.19, also rated 81. Combined odds across all three legs sit at 7.49. Back this treble at 7.49 with the stated confidence.

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Model vs Market — Value Edges

GKS Katowice vs Wieczysta Kraków stands out, where the PredictLix model rates the home win at 49.8% against an implied 43.6%, a +6.2pp edge at 2.19. Legia Warszawa vs Wisla Krakow also qualifies, with 49.3% model against 46.1% implied, a +3.2pp edge at 2.11. A positive edge signals long-term value, not a guaranteed win in this specific match. Back GKS Katowice at 2.19 with confidence 81.

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AI Prediction Accuracy — Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

8 matches analysed Updated Oct 11, 2026 Full record — wins and losses → Value bets →
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
75.0% 6/8
⚽ Both Teams to Score
50.0% 4/8
📈 Over / Under 2.5
62.5% 5/8
🔢 Correct Score
12.5% 1/8
🛡️ Double Chance
100.0% 8/8
📐 Corners Over/Under
75.0% 6/8
🤝 Draw Predictions
0.0% 0/3

Recent Form — Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 75.0% 6/8
⚽ Both Teams to Score 50.0% 4/8
📈 Over / Under 2.5 62.5% 5/8
🛡️ Double Chance 100.0% 8/8

Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) · <60% 41.3% 75.0% 8
Both Teams to Score · <60% 52.1% 50.0% 8
Over / Under 2.5 · <60% 51.2% 62.5% 8
Correct Score · <60% 8.0% 12.5% 8
Double Chance · 60-69% 65.7% 100.0% 3
Double Chance · 70-79% 72.5% 100.0% 5
Corners Over/Under · <60% 53.3% 75.0% 8
Draw Predictions · <60% 27.3% 0.0% 3

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: Regular Season, Round 10

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Prediction Odds Result
09/10 19:00 WWDLD
Wieczysta Kraków Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla Plock Wisla Plock
WWDWL 75% 32% Away ❌ N/A 3 – 0 FT
09/10 21:30 LLWLL
Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa vs GKS Katowice GKS Katowice
WDWLL 78% 41.5% Home ❌ @2.09 1 – 4 FT
10/10 15:45 LLLLW
Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow vs Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin
LWWDL 79% 43.7% Home ✅ @1.96 3 – 1 FT
11/10 15:45 LWWWW
Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź
DDDLL 76% 34.7% Home ✅ @2.81 2 – 1 FT
11/10 18:30 DWWDL
Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce Korona Kielce
WLWDW 82% 51.1% Home ✅ N/A 2 – 0 FT
11/10 21:15 WDWLD
Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa vs Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow
WWDLW 81% 48.7% Home ✅ @2.10 2 – 0 FT