Predictions → Portugal Primeira Liga

Nacional vs Alverca

Nacional
1:3
Full Time · 12 Sep 2026
Alverca

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Home 77% 40.8% @2.87 — 33.8% +7 pp ❌
Double Chance 1X 76% 78.3% @1.51 — 63.7% +14.6 pp ❌
BTTS No 92% 69.4% @1.94 — 47.7% +21.7 pp ❌
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 92% 75.4% @1.77 — 54.6% +20.8 pp ❌
Correct Score 0-0 85% 21.4% @7.50 — 5.6% +15.8 pp ❌
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Over 9.5 82% 65.7% @2.05 — 45.9% +19.8 pp ❌

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Nacional

Lost 5 in a row Winless 5
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
3/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Alverca

Won 2 in a row
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
6/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — Primeira Liga

Nacional

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Alverca

Best BTTS rate (83%)

Rank among 18 Primeira Liga teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Nacional at home · Alverca away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Nacional (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–0D–3L
W 1
L 3
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)2.50
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1

Alverca (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–0D–2L
W 1
L 2
Played3
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1
Nacional (home)Alverca (away)
W 1
L 3
W 1
L 2
Played
4
3
Goals scored (avg)
1.30
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
2.50
2.00
Clean sheets
1
0
Failed to score
1
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

📈 Recent Form

Nacional

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
19/09 Famalicao Home 0–4 L
12/09 Alverca Home 1–3 L
05/09 Sporting CP Away 0–2 L
30/08 Estrela Home 2–3 L
23/08 Vitória SC Away 0–1 L

Alverca

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
19/09 Rio Ave Home 1–0 W
12/09 Nacional Away 3–1 W
05/09 SC Braga Home 1–2 L
29/08 Santa Clara Home 1–1 D
22/08 Sporting CP Away 1–3 L

📊 Season Comparison — Primeira Liga

Nacional #16 · 4 pts —  Alverca #10 · 8 pts

Nacional

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–6L
W 1
D 1
L 6
Played8
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)2.10
Clean sheets1
Failed to score3
Yellow cards11
Red cards1
xG for (avg)1.08
xG against (avg)1.98
Corners for (avg)3.50
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Alverca

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–3L
W 2
D 2
L 3
Played7
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.60
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1
Yellow cards16
Red cards1
xG for (avg)1.58
xG against (avg)1.52
Corners for (avg)4.80
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
NacionalAlverca
W 1
D 1
L 6
W 2
D 2
L 3
Played
8
7
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
2.10
1.60
Clean sheets
1
1
Failed to score
3
1
Yellow cards
11
16
Red cards
1
1
xG for (avg)
1.08
1.58
xG against (avg)
1.98
1.52
Corners for (avg)
3.50
4.80
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Nacional

3
0-15
1
2
16-30
6
31-45
2
1
46-60
2
61-75
2
1
76-90
2
scored conceded

Alverca

2
0-15
1
16-30
1
1
31-45
3
4
46-60
2
1
61-75
2
2
76-90
1
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Primeira Liga predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws