Predictions → Portugal Primeira Liga

Estoril vs Casa Pia

Estoril
1:2
Full Time · 20 Sep 2026
Casa Pia

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Home 80% 48.7% @1.75 — 57.6% -8.9 pp ❌
Double Chance 1X 73% 73.9% @1.21 — 80.8% -6.9 pp ❌
BTTS No 85% 56.9% @2.04 — 45.5% +11.4 pp ❌
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 88% 61.6% @2.10 — 46.2% +15.4 pp ❌
Correct Score 1-0 74% 13.4% @7.50 — 5.7% +7.7 pp ❌
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Over 9.5 62% 53.2% @2.00 — 46.1% +7.1 pp ✅

⚽ Model expected goals: Estoril 0.98 – 0.75 Casa Pia · expected total 1.73

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Estoril

Lost 3 in a row Winless 10
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
3/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Casa Pia

BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
2/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — Primeira Liga

Estoril

2nd worst attack (0.50 goals/game)

Casa Pia

Worst attack (0.40 goals/game)

Rank among 18 Primeira Liga teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Estoril at home · Casa Pia away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Estoril (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–2D–2L
D 2
L 2
Played4
Goals scored (avg)0.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2

Casa Pia (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–2L
W 1
D 1
L 2
Played4
Goals scored (avg)0.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score3
Estoril (home)Casa Pia (away)
D 2
L 2
W 1
D 1
L 2
Played
4
4
Goals scored (avg)
0.50
0.50
Goals conceded (avg)
1.30
1.00
Clean sheets
1
1
Failed to score
2
3

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

📈 Recent Form

Estoril

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Academico Viseu Away 1–2 L
20/09 Casa Pia Home 1–2 L
14/09 SC Braga Away 0–1 L
07/09 Arouca Home 0–0 D
31/08 Benfica Away 1–2 L

Casa Pia

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Santa Clara Home 0–1 L
20/09 Estoril Away 2–1 W
12/09 FC Porto Home 1–4 L
06/09 Vitória SC Away 0–0 D
30/08 Moreirense Home 0–1 L

📊 Season Comparison — Primeira Liga

Estoril #18 · 2 pts —  Casa Pia #17 · 4 pts

Estoril

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–2D–6L
D 2
L 6
Played8
Goals scored (avg)0.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets1
Failed to score4
Yellow cards19
Red cards2
xG for (avg)0.82
xG against (avg)1.67
Corners for (avg)4.80
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Casa Pia

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–6L
W 1
D 1
L 6
Played8
Goals scored (avg)0.40
Goals conceded (avg)2.10
Clean sheets1
Failed to score6
Yellow cards18
Red cards2
xG for (avg)1.27
xG against (avg)1.63
Corners for (avg)4.40
Penalties (scored/missed)1/1
EstorilCasa Pia
D 2
L 6
W 1
D 1
L 6
Played
8
8
Goals scored (avg)
0.50
0.40
Goals conceded (avg)
1.50
2.10
Clean sheets
1
1
Failed to score
4
6
Yellow cards
19
18
Red cards
2
2
xG for (avg)
0.82
1.27
xG against (avg)
1.67
1.63
Corners for (avg)
4.80
4.40
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
1/1

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Estoril

1
0-15
1
16-30
2
31-45
1
46-60
1
3
61-75
2
4
76-90
1
scored conceded

Casa Pia

2
0-15
2
16-30
2
31-45
1
4
46-60
1
4
61-75
1
2
76-90
1
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Primeira Liga predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws