Predictions → Portugal Primeira Liga

Rio Ave vs Estrela

Rio Ave
3:3
Full Time · 14 Sep 2026
Estrela

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Away 76% 40.3% @2.74 — 35.5% +4.8 pp ❌
Double Chance 12 70% 70.9% @1.37 — 71.2% -0.3 pp ❌
BTTS Yes 81% 49.5% @1.78 — 52% -2.5 pp ✅
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 80% 46.4% @1.80 — 53.7% -7.3 pp ❌
Correct Score 0-1 63% 7.2% @8.00 — 5.3% +1.9 pp ❌
Draw (value pick) Draw 64% 28.4% @3.31 — 28.8% -0.4 pp ✅
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Under 9.5 78% 66.6% @1.62 — 57.9% +8.7 pp ✅

⚽ Model expected goals: Rio Ave 1.19 – 1.42 Estrela · expected total 2.62

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Rio Ave

Winless 4
BTTS
1/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
2/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Estrela

BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — Primeira Liga

Rio Ave

Worst BTTS rate (17%)

Estrela

Best BTTS rate (83%) Best Over 2.5 rate (83%) Worst clean sheets (0)

Rank among 18 Primeira Liga teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Rio Ave at home · Estrela away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Rio Ave (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–1D–2L
D 1
L 2
Played3
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)3.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score2

Estrela (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–2D–0L
W 1
D 2
Played3
Goals scored (avg)2.70
Goals conceded (avg)2.30
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Rio Ave (home)Estrela (away)
D 1
L 2
W 1
D 2
Played
3
3
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
2.70
Goals conceded (avg)
3.00
2.30
Clean sheets
0
0
Failed to score
2
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

📈 Recent Form

Rio Ave

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
19/09 Alverca Away 0–1 L
14/09 Estrela Home 3–3 D
06/09 Santa Clara Away 0–4 L
28/08 Sporting CP Home 0–4 L
22/08 Estoril Away 2–0 W

Estrela

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
20/09 Academico Viseu Home 0–2 L
14/09 Rio Ave Away 3–3 D
10/09 SC Braga Home 2–1 W
05/09 Famalicao Home 2–2 D
30/08 Nacional Away 3–2 W

📊 Season Comparison — Primeira Liga

Rio Ave #14 · 7 pts —  Estrela #9 · 10 pts

Rio Ave

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–1D–5L
W 2
D 1
L 5
Played8
Goals scored (avg)0.70
Goals conceded (avg)2.10
Clean sheets1
Failed to score5
Yellow cards10
Red cards1
xG for (avg)0.60
xG against (avg)2.16
Corners for (avg)2.90
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Estrela

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–4D–2L
W 2
D 4
L 2
Played8
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1
Yellow cards17
Red cards0
xG for (avg)0.95
xG against (avg)0.78
Corners for (avg)4.80
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
Rio AveEstrela
W 2
D 1
L 5
W 2
D 4
L 2
Played
8
8
Goals scored (avg)
0.70
2.00
Goals conceded (avg)
2.10
2.00
Clean sheets
1
0
Failed to score
5
1
Yellow cards
10
17
Red cards
1
0
xG for (avg)
0.60
0.95
xG against (avg)
2.16
0.78
Corners for (avg)
2.90
4.80
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Rio Ave

4
0-15
1
3
16-30
1
31-45
1
3
46-60
1
1
61-75
1
3
76-90
1
scored conceded

Estrela

4
0-15
1
16-30
1
1
31-45
2
4
46-60
4
2
61-75
5
3
76-90
1
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Primeira Liga predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws